01-02-2009, 06:39 PM | #1 (permalink) |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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Do you think the US will become socialist in the next 4 years?
Or maybe the question should be, will we have to be? If this turns out to be the Great Depression V.2, where there are no new jobs, no new technology advances, and just the same 'efficient' companies operating with fewer and fewer consumers able to afford, need or desiring their products and services?
I'm not saying it would be a good thing or the right thing to do, but it does seem like the direction we are going in. And technology and the internet might be helping. Are more and more people living like me (really cheaply and frugally?), or am I just strange and weird? But I know that I am not really helping to get the economy moving again. Will the government have to tax me in order to provide basic services for everyone? ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Maybe it is just how I am living my life and thinking that everyone else is doing the same thing. There are many days where I don't spend any money and only have utility bills, some grocery items and taxes as my expenses. The utilities aren't private companies and have price controls/government oversight, farms are subsidized and taxes pay for government services. In my personal life, exercise is free with no re-occurring costs (after acquiring the proper equipment). The internet is free and I can get CNN, NPR, Fox News, Comedy Central shows for free (I am using a 4 year old computer that runs Linux Mint and didn't cost much). Digital over-the-air TV is free and the quality is perfect on my HDTV (I did have to buy the HDTV). Youtube, Hulu, Fox, NBC, even amateur adult videos are free (some have a few seconds of commercials). I use the public library to read books. And I listen to the radio to get my free music, my iPod has plenty of songs from the radio on it (I did buy the iPod and gave Apple a one time fee, but I will be happy with it for years). I have purchased all of the HD DVDs that I need, and maybe in a few years when I get through them all I will rent some. Gas (petrol) and oil I still buy, but I am working on reducing that amount greatly in the next few months. Since I will be able to walk to work, it will go down a lot. And I am working on a way for the Sun to add some heat to my house, so I will use less natural gas too. I'm not in the market for a car anytime soon, and it looks like the government will own part of them anyway. Health insurance is taken out of my paycheck just like taxes. I wouldn't be able to tell the difference if the government run health care system got my money or a company did. I do have a cell phone with a capitalist type of corporation, and I have a monthly fee with that. It is the only monthly service fee I have. |
01-02-2009, 10:32 PM | #3 (permalink) |
Registered User
Location: Dallas, TX
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It's hard to say, I think if Obama was able to actually instate all of the policies that he would like to, we would definitely become more socialist, but it is not likely that ALL of his policies would pass and be put in place. It would take the US a lot longer than 4 years to become as Socialist as Canada. Canada ain't so bad, but I don't really want that here!
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01-03-2009, 10:23 AM | #4 (permalink) |
Who knows what evil lurks in the hearts of men?
Location: right here of course
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I would say no that question, but Obama will likely carry on the Roosevelt/JFK torch as best he can.
I have very dim hopes for this country with this next president - definitely an inauguration I will be missing. But life does go on, and there will no doubt be will be some other Left/Right/Centrist president I am not happy with after him.
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Started talking to yourself I see. Yes, it's the only way I can be certain of an intelligent conversation. Black Adder |
01-04-2009, 07:06 AM | #5 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: bedford, tx
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The upcoming and inevitable federal government expansion will be HUGE compared to the last 70 years. It will not become socialist by any means. What you will see is an ever more powerful central government that becomes staffed with familial rulers. How that pre-determined heirarchy will run the economy is a surprise.
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"no amount of force can control a free man, a man whose mind is free. No, not the rack, not fission bombs, not anything. You cannot conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him." |
01-04-2009, 10:02 AM | #6 (permalink) |
Location: Washington DC
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I dont expect a HUGE federal government expansion.
I do expect a significant overturning (over time) of many of the Bush regulatory "reforms" ANd I do expect a significant short-term investment or infusing of federal spending to kick-start the economy. If it succeeds, it will stimulate HUGE new private investment, particularly in "green" initiatives. -----Added 4/1/2009 at 01 : 05 : 33----- And lastly, I think we will see a much more transparent government.
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"The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire Last edited by dc_dux; 01-04-2009 at 10:05 AM.. Reason: Automerged Doublepost |
01-12-2009, 05:28 AM | #8 (permalink) |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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-National, universal health care
-Government subsidies of business they want to see succeed -Less focus on work and money, more on friends, family, vacation time -Retirement will be provided, less risky way of investing than in the stock market -Prices of certain necessities are controlled or subsidized to be an affordable price I don't know, maybe it would be different, maybe there are other things. I was focusing more on the economic side of things. |
01-12-2009, 07:25 AM | #10 (permalink) |
warrior bodhisattva
Super Moderator
Location: East-central Canada
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Maybe it's not meant as "socialist" as a category so much as "socialist" as an adjective applied to policies not unlike what you find here in Canada--like the policies supported and put forth by, say, the NDP (a minority democratic socialist party within a parliamentary system).
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Knowing that death is certain and that the time of death is uncertain, what's the most important thing? —Bhikkhuni Pema Chödrön Humankind cannot bear very much reality. —From "Burnt Norton," Four Quartets (1936), T. S. Eliot |
01-12-2009, 07:45 AM | #11 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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understood, but even if democratic socialist style policies are put into place, it hardly follows that the united states would "become socialist"....
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-12-2009, 08:45 AM | #12 (permalink) |
warrior bodhisattva
Super Moderator
Location: East-central Canada
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True, and—that said—I doubt it even could be done in only 4 years.
I think the U.S. could become more socialist in that time, and from what I've seen, that would probably be a good thing.
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Knowing that death is certain and that the time of death is uncertain, what's the most important thing? —Bhikkhuni Pema Chödrön Humankind cannot bear very much reality. —From "Burnt Norton," Four Quartets (1936), T. S. Eliot |
01-12-2009, 09:05 AM | #13 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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well, if it did all of a sudden come to pass that the us was magically transformed, guyy's question is about right.
and universal health care seems to me a marker of civilization than of socialism. the point's probably been beat to death now, so i'll stop. carry on.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-12-2009, 11:52 AM | #14 (permalink) | |
Upright
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You also forgot: Entrenched power in government with little hope to change it. Increased Nepotism, a newer and more distinct line between poor and rich. Permanent class of poor (well, increased government dependence anyway) Increased Federal power, decreased State power (kill the Republic) Governmental control of the private sector and the economy (yep, the same folks who couldn't run their own cafeteria want to drill your oil and reap the profits) As much of a right-winger as I can be, I don't see us going 100% socialist. I see us getting feared to death with gullobal warming and being punished for being successful, or being guilted into giving up our prosperity. I see Obamessiah pulling a "great society" and it will be praised to high heaven even though it is why the real and actual great depression lasted longer. |
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01-12-2009, 12:10 PM | #15 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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you know, one of the funniest---and most immediately disqualifying--of these limbaugh-level statements about what you imagine democratic socialism to be are the bits concerning nepotism, the meaning of which you don't seem to quite have nailed down, and the laughable charge that democratic socialism increases class divisions. since you speak from the outer reaches of talk radio conservatism, i wouldn't expect you to know about the massive transfers of wealth under the regimes dominated by your boys reagan and bush.
look it up. i'll help you out later if you can't manage it. it's a bit amazing that folk manage to keep this paleo-conservative worldview intact after it's been pulverized by the real world. but it's not at all amazing that those who hold to this paleo-conservatism have no fucking idea what they're talking about when it comes to democratic socialism.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-12-2009, 12:10 PM | #16 (permalink) | |
... a sort of licensed troubleshooter.
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First, these are not the same thing. Increasing government dependence—like universal healthcare, a 100% public prison system, or public broadcasting—does not necessarily mean that the poor will be enabled. What does it mean? It means that people won't be left behind. Moreover, more social programs aimed at elevating people out of poverty, assuming at least some are succesful, will mean less poor. The conservative assumption that, with government assistance comes unhealthy dependence (and eventually lethargy) is unsupported. Do you know how many people on welfare have full time jobs? The answer might surprise you. |
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01-12-2009, 12:27 PM | #17 (permalink) |
warrior bodhisattva
Super Moderator
Location: East-central Canada
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The poor is a permanent class. The democratic socialists I know are far more concerned about this than the conservatives I know. (Unless you wish to count band-aid-solution vote-buying.)
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Knowing that death is certain and that the time of death is uncertain, what's the most important thing? —Bhikkhuni Pema Chödrön Humankind cannot bear very much reality. —From "Burnt Norton," Four Quartets (1936), T. S. Eliot Last edited by Baraka_Guru; 01-12-2009 at 12:30 PM.. |
01-12-2009, 02:14 PM | #18 (permalink) |
Getting it.
Super Moderator
Location: Lion City
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It is always amazing to me how deeply ingrained the philosophies of neo-liberalism are. So much so that many aren't even aware they are espousing it.
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"My hands are on fire. Hands are on fire. Ain't got no more time for all you charlatans and liars." - Old Man Luedecke |
01-12-2009, 03:16 PM | #19 (permalink) |
warrior bodhisattva
Super Moderator
Location: East-central Canada
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Charlatan, some things are doomed to die a slow death, and then we take a while (sometimes a long while) to recover from the hangover. Kind of like with Romanticism...and postmodernism.
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Knowing that death is certain and that the time of death is uncertain, what's the most important thing? —Bhikkhuni Pema Chödrön Humankind cannot bear very much reality. —From "Burnt Norton," Four Quartets (1936), T. S. Eliot |
01-12-2009, 03:49 PM | #20 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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in the domestic ideological bubble particular to the states, neoliberalism still has no name.
when it's referenced, it isn't even described as an ideology--it's a type of capitalism.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-12-2009, 05:48 PM | #21 (permalink) |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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There were a few more things I forgot to add to the list
-Targeted taxes against 'bad' products or substances -Limited executive pay (14x-25x lowest paid worker) -Strict environmental laws/more mass transit -More government run monopolies/services -Government owning natural resources (or is this only in communism?) I'm sure we will see a little bit more of a mixed-economy in the next decade, and that probably won't be a bad thing. I'm not exactly cheering for massive change, but certain action does need to be taken to fix some problems. If income taxes can be kept at current levels, I'm not going to be impacted very much either way. But with everything, you need to look at who benefits and who loses, and the people who would lose tend to be more vocal about it. |
01-12-2009, 07:02 PM | #22 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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in countries where democratic socialist parties are significant, the objectives are usually to set up mixed economies geared around goals like full employment and/or reducing to the greatest possible extent poverty. the state is what is typically is under capitalism--a mechanism for allocating resources (in a big-ish sense)--what the state ends up doing in a mixed economy is a function of the political goals that frame it.
in other words, the only political situation in which there would be arbitrary state functions is a neo-liberal dominated one, simply because the ideology a priori excludes thinking about the state as functional and so precludes developing goals for it--except of course for military procurement, repressive functions and other such things that benefit the particular interests of the neoliberals who happen to occupy power--but as we've all seen with the bush squad trying to cope with a significant financial crisis, because neoliberals are ideologically opposed to thinking about the state as part of a functional capitalist order, they have little idea what to do when they need to address problems that go beyond killing or controlling people (police functions)... so the main political choice concerns the overall goals that shape system regulation. the state is a mechanism for adjusting the ways in which the capitalist systems operate in the direction of those goals. i say it this way because it's not given in advance what such a system might look like, particularly in a context where a democratic-socialist style approach is unhinged from a strong trade union movement. i'm not sure that there is traditional democratic socialism without unions, frankly. that's one reason why i do not consider obama to be one. there are alot of others, but that's one. the reason i did not really participate in the thread as it was framed up to now is simlpy that to wonder if the us will "become socialist" is a wholesale mis-statement of what democratic socialism was and is, has done and may do. there are very specific historical reasons for this which go back to the splitting away of reformists and revolutionaries just before world war 1--the split ended up being pretty simple, but the jist of it is that the reformists (who became the german spd) iod not think revolution was coming any time soon, so the objective became to work to make the lives of working people materially better in the short run. if you think revolution is coming soon, there's no point in that--the revolution relies on contradictions within capitalism if you like and the outcome would eradicate the problems. so democratic socialism in general produces a variant of capitalism, not something else, not something outside or beyond capitalism. don't believe the american conservatives on this: they have no idea what they're talking about. they're mostly about scaring the shit out of their constituency. socialism is for them just another bogeyman. it only means "something scary" really. what they attribute to it is more about the collective psychology of american conservatism than about phenomena in the world beyond that.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
02-19-2009, 01:47 PM | #23 (permalink) |
Easy Rider
Location: Moscow on the Ohio
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I don't know if we will become more of a socialist country but there is something wrong with a system that rewards financially failed banks (and their officers) with billions/trillions in bailouts but will toss financially failed families out in the street. Governments should try to act with some sense of fairness.
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02-19-2009, 01:57 PM | #24 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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a little over a month later, what i'd say is that the us had bloody well better become more democratic socialist, and quickly, or the house of cards will implode.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
02-19-2009, 02:43 PM | #25 (permalink) |
Tilted Cat Head
Administrator
Location: Manhattan, NY
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I really wish I understood the -isms that everyone is tossing about and understand them from the exact point that is individually being responded. I don't think that Charlatan's neo-liberalism is the same as roachboy's...
maybe I'm just jaded.
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I don't care if you are black, white, purple, green, Chinese, Japanese, Korean, hippie, cop, bum, admin, user, English, Irish, French, Catholic, Protestant, Jewish, Buddhist, Muslim, indian, cowboy, tall, short, fat, skinny, emo, punk, mod, rocker, straight, gay, lesbian, jock, nerd, geek, Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Independent, driver, pedestrian, or bicyclist, either you're an asshole or you're not. |
02-19-2009, 03:26 PM | #26 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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i think there's more or less the same, cyn.
monetarism, "the washington consensus," "free market fundamentalism" "cowboy capitalism"--all more or less the same things.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
02-19-2009, 04:37 PM | #27 (permalink) | |
Junkie
Location: Detroit, MI
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02-19-2009, 05:03 PM | #28 (permalink) |
warrior bodhisattva
Super Moderator
Location: East-central Canada
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Well, if American conservatives knew how to balance a budget, it wouldn't seem so bad at this point in time.
__________________
Knowing that death is certain and that the time of death is uncertain, what's the most important thing? —Bhikkhuni Pema Chödrön Humankind cannot bear very much reality. —From "Burnt Norton," Four Quartets (1936), T. S. Eliot |
02-19-2009, 06:19 PM | #29 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Detroit, MI
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Poppycock. It was Christopher Dodd and Bawney Fwank, both Dems, who refused Bush administration requests to set up a regulatory agency to watch over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, who denied that there were any problems as the bubble was growing and growing, and who were still pushing for these agencies to go even further in promoting sub-prime mortgage loans almost up to the minute they failed. The Dems did this for a specific reason: to 'help' the lower classes by ensuring everyone was entitled to own their own home - qualified and capable or, not.
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02-19-2009, 07:54 PM | #30 (permalink) | |
Crazy
Location: East Texas
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BINGO!!! That's the problem with the stimulus package, it doesn't address the root of the problems that we're having, it just basically gives a big middle finger to america saying, see, lobbying DOES work! Anybody at all who was asking for money got it in this amazing display of political pandering. I thought Obama was going to be better than this...I don't know why...but for the love of God just b/c Rick Wagoner and his band of hooligans show up in a jetstream and ask for a billion dollars doesn't mean you have to give it to them. Or the banks for that matter....jeez they already have all of your money in their hands and now they need more.....then they get the money and hoard all if it? no matter...hand them more! wait the big three need money? Give it to 'em? sex ed classes? bridge to nowhere? redecorate mayor Bob's Office in Gun Barrel city, tx? what the heck! It's only debt when your great-great-great grandchildren will still be paying it off! Don't worry about creating jobs, I'm sure the economy will be nice and stimulated by the time the work from all these CCC-style projects run out... anyway anyone who disagrees about the pork-bus find out for yourself: ReadTheStimulus.org and have fun. I'm still a supporter don't get be wrong but I've definitely lost a lot of faith...hopefully he knows more than I do is all I can say. sounds kinda funny coming from a democrat huh...
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These are the good old days. How did I become upright? Last edited by murp0434; 02-19-2009 at 08:03 PM.. Reason: wasn't finished with the rant |
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02-19-2009, 08:24 PM | #31 (permalink) |
Addict
Location: Cottage Grove, Wisconsin
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Only 1/3 of CRA loans were subprime, which is pretty good when you think about the people they were lending to. On top of that, investment banks and non-bank lenders had nothing to do with CRA -- and surprise, surprise, where do we see the most spectacular crashes? Lehman Bros., Bear Stearns, New Century... oh my.
According to the Bush's Federal Reserve, the vast majority of subprime loans in 2006 -- 84%! -- were made by Heroes of Finance in the private sector. You know that if you even visited an American home during the Glorious Eight. It wasn't Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae that were calling you at dinner time to get you to refinance with Nachtschwärmer Mortgage. No, it was Nachtschwärmer Mortgage with CDO backing by the wise old owls at Bear Stearns or AIG. In fact, the Bush crew kept Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae out of the mortgage market so as not to compete with our Heroes of Finance and their Very Excellent Work. Under Clinton, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac had been the dominant players, with their hands on 82% of the nations mortgages, but the roles of public and private lenders were reversed during those Happy Days of the Bush reign. Why? |
02-19-2009, 08:27 PM | #32 (permalink) | |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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A certain radio host never mentions there was a huge number of first time real estate investors that were getting these 0 down, interest only loans. They wanted to hold on to a house for a few months and then sell it to another people who wasn't going to live in the house, but for a higher price. There were also the real estate investment companies that bought 'ugly houses' and new developments. This increased the price for first time homebuyers that would then be considered 'poor'. This massive move to invest in real estate and get a quick (low tax) buck was what fueled the increase in house prices. Not that massive amounts of minimum wage workers were getting loans for $400,000 houses. You also have people who can afford the payments, but don't see the point when the house they bought two years ago for $350,000 is now worth $200,000. Instead of selling it and still having to pay the bank back the rest over the next 30 years, they choose to walk away because they will lose less. And with unmarried partners, if only one of them is on the first house title/loan, the other one can still buy a house with no problem the next day. |
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02-20-2009, 09:52 AM | #33 (permalink) | |||
Junkie
Location: Detroit, MI
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The Democrats supported lowering lending standards so more minorities could buy homes. Now, in 2009, which groups do you think are suffering the most from foreclosures? |
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02-20-2009, 10:58 AM | #34 (permalink) |
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Location: Cottage Grove, Wisconsin
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The general thrust of Bush regulation of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae was to shift lending to private companies, and the proposed oversight agency would have done exactly that. 84% of subprime mortgages were with private lenders, and as i pointed out above, that is where the problem was. The article you cite doesn't help your case at all.
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02-20-2009, 06:18 PM | #35 (permalink) | |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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Both groups are to blame, and I would support increasing their taxes for the next 10 years. |
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02-20-2009, 11:09 PM | #36 (permalink) | |
Easy Rider
Location: Moscow on the Ohio
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But the terrible thing that has happened here is that these mortgages were bundled and leveraged to the point that the entire world's banking systems and economies are now failing all because of a real estate price correction. A correction that most halfway intelligent people knew was way over due. The people who are responsible for these derivatives, tranches, hedge funds or whatever they are called have done far worse than irresponsible borrowers. Instead of investors just taking a loss we must now go through world wide economic collapse. So it looks like those responsible for this mess will be bailed out and there will be Socialism at the top but most of us will have to fend for ourselves. |
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02-21-2009, 01:29 AM | #37 (permalink) | |
Crazy, indeed
Location: the ether
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And as an aside, the idea that it was the CRA or similar measures that caused this mess is nothing more than unsubstantiated race baiting. About half the sub-prime loans have been made by companies (independent mortgage companies and so on) that are not regulated by the CRA and had no dealings with freddie and fannie, and another 25 to 30% came from companies and banks only partially regulated by it. Now, which groups are suffering the most from foreclosures? Well, I don't know. But Im thinking that the reason that Las Vegas, NV, Boca Raton, Orlando and Miami in FL, and Riverside county in CA are all in the top 10 in foreclosures is not because lenders were trying to offer easy loans to low income minorities. Nevada still tops the nation in foreclosures as a state... Now, if one wanted to really understand this mess, they'd look at papers like http://www.newyorkfed.org/research/s...orts/sr318.pdf instead of easy partisan talking points. |
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02-21-2009, 06:37 AM | #38 (permalink) | |
Easy Rider
Location: Moscow on the Ohio
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I realize that there is probably greed and political corruption involved but even the ruling classes should not want to kill the goose that lays the golden eggs. Last edited by flstf; 02-21-2009 at 06:58 AM.. |
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02-21-2009, 07:16 AM | #39 (permalink) | |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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Here is last week's Frontline. It explains it pretty well. FRONTLINE: inside the meltdown | PBS |
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02-21-2009, 09:51 AM | #40 (permalink) |
Easy Rider
Location: Moscow on the Ohio
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Thanks ASU2003, I watched the Frontline link. It was interesting to see the conservatives torn between "moral hazzard" and "systemic collapse". Some of them transistioned from capitalists to socialists in a few short months when it comes to Wall Street.
I don't think things are as bad as your Florida example and the vast majority of homeowners are making their payments. It seems like these institutions have set themselves up and are so leveraged that they can't survive a small percentage of foreclosures. |
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socialist, years |
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