08-31-2003, 06:07 PM | #1 (permalink) | |
is a shoggoth
Location: LA
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robotic doom?
Linked to from a link on slashdot... its kind of long.
http://www.marshallbrain.com/manna1.htm Quote:
What do people here think? Will the class devide get bigger and uglyer? Is it the end of a sort of golden age? If you think new jobs will spring up to replace old ones what do you think they will be. Do you think the system will crash, or do you think this is all rubish?
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Use the star one and you'll be fighting off the old ones with your bare hands -A Shoggoth on the Roof |
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08-31-2003, 06:25 PM | #2 (permalink) |
Please touch this.
Owner/Admin
Location: Manhattan
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You have found this post informative. -The Administrator [Don't Feed The Animals] |
09-01-2003, 02:35 PM | #4 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Chicago
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"Dave? What are you doing? Dave...?"
Man, I told you. Beware, people. Beware. When a friendly voice comes from a cash register telling you to take out the trash, you know you're owned.
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"I can normally tell how intelligent a man is by how stupid he thinks I am" - Cormac McCarthy, All The Pretty Horses |
09-01-2003, 07:06 PM | #7 (permalink) |
is a shoggoth
Location: LA
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ARTV: I think that the point of this article is that while it's inevitable, its not necessarily going to happen in a good way.
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Use the star one and you'll be fighting off the old ones with your bare hands -A Shoggoth on the Roof |
09-02-2003, 11:44 AM | #9 (permalink) |
ClerkMan!
Location: Tulsa, Ok.
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What sad is while reading this the only thing I could think is "Thats actully a pretty good idea" I mean manna and all that. If I had the means I would probably do it. But again all that is is a program that asks people to do things. You could simply ignore it and it couldn't do anything about it.
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Meridae'n once played "death" at a game of chess that lasted for over two years. He finally beat death in a best 34 out of 67 match. At that time he could ask for any one thing and he could wish for the hope of all mankind... he looked death right in the eye and said ... "I would like about three fiddy" |
09-02-2003, 12:08 PM | #10 (permalink) |
Gastrolithuanian
Location: low-velocity Earth orbit
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Hail Future Robots!
I, for one, will welcome our soon-to-be-electronic taskmasters if, and only if, Burger-G produces a tasty hamburger. Sacrifices must be made in order to produce a low-cost and yet flavorful sandwich. I am now being told, "Please submit reply, Giant Hamburger." -GH |
09-02-2003, 01:11 PM | #12 (permalink) | |
Junkie
Location: Chicago
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Quote:
__________________
"I can normally tell how intelligent a man is by how stupid he thinks I am" - Cormac McCarthy, All The Pretty Horses |
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09-02-2003, 02:38 PM | #13 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Sydney, Australia
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I think that computers would have to become much more advanced to be able to micromanage humans whilst maintaining a harmonious and sustainable work environment. Humans would have to become used to the idea too. I see both computers and humans "evolving" towards one another gradually but that would take time.
The hypothetical presented here rushes that evolution and ultimately does not seem like it would work: 1) There still exists a generation that finds the idea unacceptable (the father) and 2) the computer still has relatively poor communication skills (being told to get the mop, get the bucket, pour water in bucket, pour detergent in the bucket, place mop in bucket, etc, would drive you up the wall very quickly). Modern computers are certainly capable of managing things like inventory, finances and physical environment. Micromanaging humans though is a big step and they're definitely not there yet. |
09-02-2003, 03:21 PM | #14 (permalink) |
Mencken
Location: College
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Sounds like the Borg to me. Without the groupthink at least, but everyone is plugged in, everyone is on task. Definitely an intriguing article.
Would it work? Hell yes. It might even be feasible right now. A fast food restaurant is a fairly simple animal. A Wal-Mart Supercenter, on the other hand, might be a challenge of a different level of magnitude.
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09-02-2003, 03:41 PM | #15 (permalink) |
is a shoggoth
Location: LA
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Macheath, I mus disagree.
Computers are moving fast, and its really hard to comprehend what exponential growth means. 2015 is a long way of in terms of computers, and personally I as a computer scientist don't need to suspend disbelief to see that happening. I have done some work in A.I. and I can tell you that what the Manna system in there is described as doing is *not* out of the range of what computers even now can do. A.I. is sort of odd, very simple things for humans (seeing, talking, reading, walking, picking up objects) are often quite difficult, but taking a statistical guess at when the trashcans are full is something that an A.I. is really uncannily good at. (pardon the pun) The other thing they are good at is multitasking... I.E. riding many employees at once. The poor communication skills of the computer as outlined were intentionally that way... and probably more to drive home an emotional response than to be an accurate prediction. The point with it stating every little detail is that you could stop thinking and start listening. Its something that is surprisingly easy to do, and doesn't in fact drive you nuts. The other thing is that it doesn't need to work exactly as described to work. you could leave 1 manager to try catching employees doing novel things and still end up in pretty much the same fucked up place. BBtB: your totally right. What totally creeped me out about it ws that I was thinking "hey, if I implemented that system I would get rich, it would work great" Thats what makes it seem so scary and inevitable. ARTV: your optimism and faith in humanity is refreshing. Mine has been ground away long ago. Perhaps I will rediscover it some day.
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Use the star one and you'll be fighting off the old ones with your bare hands -A Shoggoth on the Roof |
09-02-2003, 04:26 PM | #16 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Sydney, Australia
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giblfiz, I agree that computers are developing quickly and I want to really focus on software here rather than hardware.
I'm just interested to know if programs are going to develop in a direction that would allow them to really interact with humans in an overt manager/subordinate relationship, with the concept of direct authority present in that relationship. I just wonder to what extent there is a truly multidisciplnary approach where philosophers, psychologists and sociolgists have a hand in designing AI programs together. If that multidisciplinary approach isn't taken, will there be a fundamental flaw in the "relationship" between humans and computers? I know humans are CAPABLE of listening to orders without thinking, I just wonder whether that will be good for peoples' long term psychological wellbeing. Under a good human manager, a worker who shows initiative may be rewaded with commendation and maybe even promotion into management. Would a bright, ambitious and creative human working for a computer become quickly depressed at being unable to "impress" the computer. Would the stifled go-getter eventually respond with a shotgun blast to the CPU? How do you go about writing the "promotion program"? Units sold? Customer interaction? Morale boosted? We have whole social systems based on things like creativity, prejudice, laziness, brilliance, ambition, class, ego, dishonesty, lenience, mercy, anger, pride, humility and honour. Would a people management program be able to take all of those things into account or would it need human guidance? Is it actually a human trait to NEED at least the illusion of human control and, if so, how do you overcome that need? |
09-02-2003, 05:08 PM | #18 (permalink) |
Psycho
Location: whereever my portable hard drive takes me
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Interesting read, I still need to gather my thoughts about the issue.
My major opinion is that humans are going to destroy themselves somehow, and although quickly advancing technology will probably contribute to it, I don't think it's possible for human will to submit themselves totally. For the restaurant, I guess it helped employees to make the day go faster, make tasks easier, but the employees welcomed it, and I don't think if the will is there to accept the instructions, humans won't. |
09-02-2003, 09:05 PM | #20 (permalink) |
BFG Builder
Location: University of Maryland
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<Paranoia>
Hail Friend Computer! Troubleshooter FUCK-U-ALL-1 is ready and awaiting commands! My Bouncy Bubble Beverage was extremely tasty this morning! Computer! I have discovered a Commie Mutant Traitor! Requesting a Termination Voucher Request Form so I might fill out his violation of failing to comply with Regulation 135.17/69A-12B. No friend computer, I do not know what Regulation 135.17/69A-12B is! That is above my clearance! In fact, I do not know what a Regulation 135.17/69A-12B is! All I know is that I have encountered a Commie Mutant Traitor and he has violated it! Yes friend Computer! I will gladly enter the reprocessing chamber for advanced hygenic discombobulation! </Paranoia> On a more serious note, I think a system like Manna would cause more trouble than it's worth. Although it would feasibly work on low-level menial jobs, as you get into more and more advanced situation you encounter things which simply cannot be broken down into steps. Areas such as innovation, research and development, and entertainment all require a level of competence and experience that goes far beyond a little voice telling you to do specific steps. The hacking possibilities are extremely amusing. Imagine what would happen... "Good morning Sally. Your first task will be to help the first customer. Is he male?" "Yes." "Excellent. Start by removing your blouse." It could happen.
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If ignorance is bliss, you must be having an orgasm. |
09-02-2003, 11:05 PM | #21 (permalink) | |
Upright
Location: Philippines
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Quote:
I wouldn't be surprised if this even came partly true. Note the part where he mentions that shareholders were ecstatic, yadda yadda yadda, money money money. I wouldn't put it past mankind to do whatever it takes to make that extra buck. Money screws with your priorities. Which is why I'm poor
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09-03-2003, 06:48 AM | #23 (permalink) |
I aim to misbehave!
Location: SW Oklahoma
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Interesting article. I'll still bet on the humans. One virus, one power surge, one hacker and how will it work?
What happens to your business when NO ONE thinks for themsleves when the computer dies? No way would I have a business in which no one could think on their own. I'm sure we will see some things like this occur but we will also see some spectacular failures.
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09-03-2003, 07:02 AM | #24 (permalink) | |
Tilted Cat Head
Administrator
Location: Manhattan, NY
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Quote:
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I don't care if you are black, white, purple, green, Chinese, Japanese, Korean, hippie, cop, bum, admin, user, English, Irish, French, Catholic, Protestant, Jewish, Buddhist, Muslim, indian, cowboy, tall, short, fat, skinny, emo, punk, mod, rocker, straight, gay, lesbian, jock, nerd, geek, Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Independent, driver, pedestrian, or bicyclist, either you're an asshole or you're not. |
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09-03-2003, 07:35 AM | #25 (permalink) |
Watcher
Location: Ohio
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There is a certain pain I feel every time a human being hands me a burger.
The human being serving me food has dreams, emotions, and feelings. Serving burgers is not a task that humans should have to do. Mopping floors, wiping windows, and jobs that fall in the "drudgery" catagory are below human capabilities. I hope that as soon as we are capable of pulling people out of those types of jobs, we do so. Evolution means we're going to have to move above work like that. I can only hope I live to see some of it.
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I can sum up the clash of religion in one sentence: "My Invisible Friend is better than your Invisible Friend." |
09-03-2003, 12:41 PM | #26 (permalink) | |
Addict
Location: The Land Down Under
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Quote:
The article was fascinating! I just about screamed when I saw that the end of it hasn't been posted yet. There are some really, really interesting ideas there.
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Strewth |
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09-03-2003, 02:12 PM | #27 (permalink) | |||
is a shoggoth
Location: LA
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Quote:
Well for what its worth A.I. is very very multidisciplinary. Developers draw from everything and anything that humans have done, learned or endeavored to do. And no, the system outlined here is *bad* for peoples well being.. psychologically and even physically. Thats sort of the point. This story is an all too plausible work of dystopian fiction. Quote:
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For those of you who mentioned that pissed off employs would just take a hammer to the "Manna". Well your probably right, but all that does is set back the company ~$2000 in off the shelf hardware. The employee is fired, and the new system is in by lunch. As for things not operating in the case of a power surge or power out I worked at chili's and when the power went out the place ground to a standstill. We already have that vulnerability, its not really a new ore even additional problem.
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Use the star one and you'll be fighting off the old ones with your bare hands -A Shoggoth on the Roof |
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09-03-2003, 10:11 PM | #28 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Sydney, Australia
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I don't know if the equation between true slavery and wage slavery can be upheld. A person working in McDonalds can't reasonably be called a slave because their live outside of the job is "free". They are not a chattel of McDonalds either. If they get sick and die, McDonalds doesn't lose a piece of its "property". That issue of ownership was probably one of the only things in human history that prompted masters to even try to feed their slaves.
I really want to discuss this whole topic in terms of TOTAL control of all society because that is what the article implies. Depending on how you want to think about it, it was funny or inevitable or symbolic that the robotic takeover did not start at MIT, NASA, Microsoft or Ford. It started at a Burger-G restaurant in Cary, NC on May 17, 2010. The implication is this program led to total robotic control of society. Calling a burger flipper a 'slave of robots' is silly if the managing director is still human - If anything, 'manna' too is a slave of the human CEO. They can only ever truly be slave masters when they are running the company without any human authority above them. Even the means to use force (a basis of social control) can't be in human hands; hence no 'men with guns' are allowed. Now could humans be slaves to robots if this scenario of absolute power with no ultimate human authority were in place? Could this be done without a 'promotion program' or the illusion of human control? Well let's look at historical slavery. Could slaves be 'promoted'? Yes. In the US you had house slaves and field slaves. This promotion served a pupose. By separating out the lighter skinned house slaves you promoted division in the slave population and ensured that they would never unite and rise up against you. It was a social control. If they could save up the money, slaves in Ancient Rome could purchase their freedom. There was dissent and uprisings too, the largest of these being the Spartacus uprising with an army of 120 000 slaves. Rome defeated this group of course, but in the course of history Rome fell and the fall would not have been delayed by the efforts of a slave poulation who had no loyalty or love for the Empire. It could be said without a program of social control through division (the promotion program) slaves will revolt. The 'illusion program' would be an even more powerful control. I think even a 'cultural awareness' program would be needed. Would manna be programmed to encourage workers to talk, sing, laugh and interact or would it see that as prohibited redundant activity. If humans rose up, could they win? In this scenario, it's possible to give the computer all kinds of Godlike power. It could be said that a human hacker would not be skilled enough to stop the program. It could be said that a group of guerillas blowing up the robotics factory could never stop the whole operation. If faced with hopeless odds fighting against a Godlike power, would all humans give up and end their folly? Satan didn't; and a good many atheists would not accept the 'justice' of being sent to purgatory for their lack of belief. Would a computer faced with irrational resistance to its rule continue with heavy-handed oppression? Would it perhaps consider more subtle methods of social control such as cultivating an illusion of autonomy and bread and circuses? In the end, would it not discover that the 'illusion' and 'promotion' programs increased population and productivity 78% more than the 'robots with guns' and 'starvation threat' programs? |
09-06-2003, 07:26 PM | #30 (permalink) |
Addict
Location: Seattle, WA
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As a member of "middle management" and a pretty well paid member at that, I already see things like this in how corporations replenish stock, and attempt to schedule employees.
Let me reassure you on one very important thing: Every single one of these programs that I have ever dealt with sucks giant donkey dick compared to a real person who knows what they are doing and is properly trainined. Technology as it stands now is not capable of relating to people and adjusting well enough to ever accomplish such a task effectively. |
09-06-2003, 07:41 PM | #31 (permalink) | |
BFG Builder
Location: University of Maryland
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Quote:
It's an interesting premise, but it would be too easy to sabotage the manager.
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If ignorance is bliss, you must be having an orgasm. |
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01-18-2004, 08:21 PM | #32 (permalink) | |
Optimistic Skeptic
Location: Midway between a Beehive and Centennial
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Quote:
The story has progressed a lot since this thread started. I've read most if it, but I'll reserve the rest of my comments until I finish reading it.
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IS THAT IT ???!!! Do you even know what 'it' is? When the last man dies for just words that he said... We Shall Be Free |
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01-18-2004, 08:59 PM | #33 (permalink) |
Tilted
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http://www.plyojump.com/quro.html
Qrio has a 60,000 word vocabulary, can learn the faces and voices of 10 people, and will learn about you over time, integrating this knowledge into your conversations as time goes on. According to Moores Law, your average $500 Compaq will have more processing power and memory than the human brain by 2050. Sony predicts that personal robots will be as common as PC's and cell phones in the 2010's. It's interesting how much money and resources Japan (including the government) is putting into Robotics. You do the math. BTW - I think the topic of this thread is a little bassackwards. I think it will be the robots doing all the grunt work, and it will be the few humans who still have jobs programming them. Doesn't it make more sense to pay a robot nothing to scrub the toilet? Why pay humans to do it?
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- apexGrin Last edited by ApexgriN; 01-18-2004 at 09:17 PM.. |
01-18-2004, 09:13 PM | #34 (permalink) | |
Tilted
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Physical access to these systems isn't going to be practical. It never was when it came to hacking computers, and it never will be. It's all software.
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- apexGrin |
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01-18-2004, 09:23 PM | #35 (permalink) | |
Tilted
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Quote:
Robotics is facinating and scary at the same time. EDIT: http://marshallbrain.com/robotic-nation.htm
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- apexGrin Last edited by ApexgriN; 01-18-2004 at 09:25 PM.. |
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01-18-2004, 11:10 PM | #36 (permalink) |
Warrior Smith
Location: missouri
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it is already starting- computerized inventory is taking descisions out of "middle manager's" hands- the comp keeps track of all the stuff sold, and reorders, keeps track of sales- I just watched a walmart fabric department shut down for 30 minutes because the beepy scanny thingy went out and no one could do anything manualy- even though they were trained to- three employees could not figure out a course of action, untill a fourth (older) one (to clarify, older= late fifties, and worknig on 20 yrs there) came along and did the stuff by hand- comp inventory makes sense and keeps stuff cheap, so it will spread and improve- the good news is that the bigger the system the more bugs / loopholes for us to exploit- hard work no longer = prosperity around here, its all about the loopholes and sneakyness.....
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01-23-2004, 10:47 AM | #38 (permalink) | ||
Optimistic Skeptic
Location: Midway between a Beehive and Centennial
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Quote:
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PS Thanks!
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IS THAT IT ???!!! Do you even know what 'it' is? When the last man dies for just words that he said... We Shall Be Free |
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doom, robotic |
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