01-14-2008, 10:47 AM | #1 (permalink) | |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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a ham radio operator and the us-iran antagonism
last week there was another short round of bellicose talk between the bush administration and iran--the immediate cause was a potentially quite explosive naval confrontation in the persian gulf.
today this article appeared in the guardian. it is quite strange: Quote:
this is very odd--and it could have been a disastrous turn of events. at one level, this demonstrates something obvious: chaos and arbitrariness continue to disrupt communications systems despite the illusion of transparency and control that displays provide for users. but it's also an indicator of the dangers of adopting a bellicose posture and translating that into assumptions about what iran is doing. what do you make of this? i haven't seen anything about it in the american press as yet. which is also curious.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite Last edited by roachboy; 01-14-2008 at 11:04 AM.. |
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01-14-2008, 11:10 AM | #2 (permalink) |
let me be clear
Location: Waddy Peytona
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Very interesting. I could see this kind of destablizing tactic being attractive to countless governments, movements, etc. Much like internet terrorism... cheap and somewhat easy to mask (if you know how).
Here's an article from the New York Post 'FILIPINO MONKEY' MAY BE BEHIND IRAN, US BOAT ENCOUNTER and the Navy Times ‘Filipino Monkey’ behind threats? (Here's one for tilted paranoia: Ham radio used with DSP can hack stand-alone computers. crazy stuff on the horizon)
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"It rubs the lotion on Buffy, Jodi and Mr. French's skin" - Uncle Bill from Buffalo Last edited by ottopilot; 01-14-2008 at 11:26 AM.. |
01-14-2008, 11:13 AM | #3 (permalink) |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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adopting a bellicose posture
Well they call it a warship for a reason, approaching a warship at sea is by default a bellicose posture, so I don't think our distrust of Iran is going to add that much extra fuel to the fire. You don't really have to assume anything, you react to a potential threat. Since we did not fire on the Iranian boats, and we are the ones suspecting it was a 'prank' of sorts, then its hard to draw a conclusion. I'm more interested in how they haven't caught this guy, you would think they could triangulate the transmission.
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01-14-2008, 12:15 PM | #4 (permalink) | |
Banned
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9/11, 9/11, WMD, Chemical and Biological Weapons, Evil Dictator, Axis of Evil, 9/11.....
A "convenient" incident in the Straits, off the Iranian coast, timed for Bush's "in person" demonization of Iran on his imminent M.E. trip, as in the summer of 2002, "fix the facts to match the policy...." It's getting old, but some of you still answer the knock on the door and let the salesman in, to pitch his product. ...and a batshit crazy president driving the good ole, US of A, right into the ground....(I hear dead people.....daddy....) Quote:
I'm guessing that they are pulled still "steaming", straight out of Cheney's ass ! Last edited by host; 01-14-2008 at 12:35 PM.. |
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01-14-2008, 01:00 PM | #5 (permalink) | |
Devoted
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01-14-2008, 04:26 PM | #6 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Fort Worth, TX
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I think we handled ourselves amazingly well. Contrary to Host's insistence that Bush wants another war, we've ran into similar situation before.
The Navy taught us on multiple occasions there is a balance (especially with Iran) in self defense and caution in confusion. Last time a similar incident happened ended in many wounded and a heavily damaged ship (USS Cole). The time before is a little less known. The US fleet had an incoming aircraft with is IFF (Identification Friend or Foe) turned off, which in itself is considered a hostile act. The aircraft was headed directly towards the Carrier (the lifeblood of the fleet), and did not reply to multiple US attempts to determine intent or have it alter it's trajectory. We assumed it was a hostile aircraft attempting to attack our ships (very soon after the Kadafi's Circle of Death incident), so we shot down the aircraft. Turns out it was an airliner taking pilgrims to Mecca. All in all it's a very weird situation, we handled ourselves well. Personally if I was the Captain I would have opened fire at 200 yards, but this Captain's decision was the correct one (thankfully).
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01-14-2008, 06:06 PM | #7 (permalink) |
Deja Moo
Location: Olympic Peninsula, WA
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The Captain is on record that there was nothing out of the ordinary during this Hormuz passage. The Pentagon official who exaggerated the threat has been fully discredited and the video used as proof of a "dangerous confrontation" had audio spliced into it using the normal rants of a goofball.
Roachboy, if you consider Olbermann a representative of the MSP, he covered the entire fraud this evening. Host's analysis is spot on, once again.
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01-14-2008, 06:35 PM | #9 (permalink) | |
Deja Moo
Location: Olympic Peninsula, WA
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On January 10th, Truthout.org hosted the following article by the Inter Press Service:
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01-14-2008, 06:41 PM | #10 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Fort Worth, TX
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I'll agree, the more that comes out the stranger it becomes.
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"Smite the rocks with the rod of knowledge, and fountains of unstinted wealth will gush forth." - Ashbel Smith as he laid the first cornerstone of the University of Texas |
01-14-2008, 08:44 PM | #11 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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ustwo: it's kinda hard to triangulate someone who's mobile, and if this cat's (these folk?) been doing this for 25 years, he's (they're?) *definitely* mobile and not interested in being nabbed.
and isn't bellicose a nice word? ======================= this is becoming curiouser and curiouser. kinda makes you wonder what the hell the pentagon was doing...though host's take seems quite likely. this morning i smelled a slight whiff of the tonkin gulf. i still smell a little of it, though now some visuals come into the mix and what i see are mostly clowns.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-14-2008, 09:00 PM | #12 (permalink) | ||
Pissing in the cornflakes
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Mind you the radio has nothing to do with the Iranian ships 'buzzing' the US ships but since nothing happened its kinda hard to go all gulf of tonkin on it. Maybe if another democrat was in charge
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Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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01-14-2008, 09:22 PM | #13 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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i know a few pirate radio people. you can continue for a very long time doing that if you move around...but more generally, you're right in that you have to be looking to find anything.
the tonkin reference was more general...you know, manufactured incident. thing is that i see little way around host's take on it above--a kind of fumbled p.r. event conocted to add a little drama to bush-posturings in the region. not as "real" as tonkin was, obviously--a kind of parallel. this is is most curious and i'm kinda looking forward to gathering more information about it. and it is bizarrely difficult to find any--i just paged through about 40 ppg of links, almost all of which were repeats of the same two or three wire service stories. one strange tidbit from somewhere claims that this character has been silent since the late 1990s...trying a different tack, but i now smell wholesale fabrication, too. and while i normally do not link bogs--i mean, who the hell knows who's writing them?---this cat: http://gcaptain.com/maritime/blog/ argues that there is no filippino monkey.... a hall of mirrors.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite Last edited by roachboy; 01-14-2008 at 09:37 PM.. |
01-14-2008, 09:52 PM | #14 (permalink) |
Pickles
Location: Shirt and Pants (NJ)
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Everything here just comes down to one thing - nothing happened. Iranian boats come into sight of American ships, ask wtf they're doing near their country.. and drive off. Honestly, if Iranian Warships were off the coasts of Canada and America in international waters doing something don't you all think we would go and check it out? Ask what they're doing there? I think we would. Thats all that happened here.
As for the mysterious transmission? Where did it come from? Did it even happen? At this point it doesn't matter. From what i can gather it didn't matter at the time either as the commanders of the American ships never felt threatened. They were not "seconds away from firing". There is absolutely nothing those little speed boats could have done to the American ships unless they were bogged down with explosives. If that were the case they would have needed to get a hell of a lot closer than 200 meters. Its just 1 more Bush administration concoction of lies. Same old same old. Bush can push all he wants for a war with Iran, it isn't going to happen before his term is over.
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01-14-2008, 11:58 PM | #15 (permalink) | |||||||||
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How many more Jessica Lynch and Pat Tillman "stories", and pentagon Rendon and Lincoln Group disinformation "Op's, and right wing, DOD "Bloggers Roundtables", must be documented in posts in this forum, before the rest of you "get it", and resent it enough to join me in calling for these resignations. Is it a waste of tax payer funds to employ someone at the Inteligence "Czar's" office to provide PDB's to Bush, since he has "his own way" of making intelligence "estimates" contradicting the real fucking ones? Most troubling, what happened this month, is nothing new: Quote:
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01-15-2008, 05:32 PM | #16 (permalink) | |
Junkie
Location: Fort Worth, TX
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Regardless I think the parallel was correct, that it is very similar situation. Confusion mixed with high tensions between the two countries can result in simple and costly mistakes. Thankfully this was not one of them.
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"Smite the rocks with the rod of knowledge, and fountains of unstinted wealth will gush forth." - Ashbel Smith as he laid the first cornerstone of the University of Texas |
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01-15-2008, 05:39 PM | #17 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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seems to me that one problem amongst many is that the situation in the pentagon tape and the situation that actually happened are wildly at variance one with the other. if the situation in real-time actually resembled that in the chopped pentagon video art-work, then i'd agree with seaver that there was real restraint shown.
but i dont think this happened outside some crude editing room in some office in washington. something vaguely like it happened in the straits of hormuz--but only vaguely.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-15-2008, 06:05 PM | #18 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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Why?
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Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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01-15-2008, 06:07 PM | #19 (permalink) | |
Junkie
Location: Fort Worth, TX
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"Smite the rocks with the rod of knowledge, and fountains of unstinted wealth will gush forth." - Ashbel Smith as he laid the first cornerstone of the University of Texas |
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01-15-2008, 06:29 PM | #20 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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i have to say that beyond maybe some pr for the bush tour of the region, i really dont understand what lay behind this.
it's just so strange...
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-15-2008, 11:34 PM | #21 (permalink) | |||||
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Bush went to the M.E. with his reliability and veracity in tatters, after the ridiculously changing justification for war and entrenched occupation in Iraq, and disclosures that the NIE debunking an active Iranian nuclear weapons program was rejected and hidden for at least a year before it's forced release two months ago. Routine encounters between US and Iranian navies in the straits of Hormuz, not anywhere near as tense as unreleased accounts encounters last month, were hyped as a serious threat to US Navy vesselslast week, on the eve of Bush's "mission" to sabotage the findings of the NIE produced by the reorganized US intelligence apparatus that Bush himself has reorganized and appointed new leadership of, as Bush comically and pathetically attempts to bleat the same message of Iran's imminent threat to the region and the rest of the world, that he has repeated so many times in the past two years. Quote:
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Pathetic, but not puzzling....... |
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01-15-2008, 11:47 PM | #22 (permalink) |
Pickles
Location: Shirt and Pants (NJ)
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I just don't get Bush. He goes to the middle east to supposedly work on some kind of peace deal and what does he do? Tries to provoke confrontation with Iran through lies, pressures other arab countries to "put pressure on Iran" and provoke further conflict.. and on top of all that he sells millions of dollars worth of bombs and missiles to the arab countries. I dunno what kind of peace those missiles are supposed to provide, unless its the peaceful silence of death.
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01-15-2008, 11:48 PM | #23 (permalink) |
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Location: essex ma
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host:
i understand that. it's more puzzling in just how--o i dont know---poorly executed it was...
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite |
01-16-2008, 12:13 AM | #24 (permalink) | ||
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They don't give a shit how amateurish they look....never have, because they don't consider you and me to be their audience: Quote:
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01-16-2008, 12:15 AM | #25 (permalink) | |
Deja Moo
Location: Olympic Peninsula, WA
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roachboy, most of what this administration has tried to push forward has always been poorly done and quite obvious in hind sight. With seven years of experience, most of the "terror" fear he continues to promote has become almost laughable to those paying attention. This was indeed poorly executed, but look how many people in the press and here at tfp were caught up in the imagined "threat".
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01-16-2008, 01:12 AM | #26 (permalink) | ||
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Pretty hard to argue with this Iranian take on the last six years....
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01-16-2008, 06:52 AM | #27 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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Most posters on this board, tend to blame the US and ignore other countries motives. I think its just how Liberals view their own government, along with a touch of white guilt. Reasons don't matter, its just the natural reaction. Well driving in to work just now I heard a rather interesting take on the situation with Iran. While we piddle back and forth if it was incited by the US, if it really happened, or why the US would 'do' it, we have ignored, with a arrogance, Iran. Instead of asking 'why would the US pretend that speed boats were mucking around US warships' ask 'Why would Iran send speed boats to muck around US warships' and see if there is an answer. For the liberal, the reason the US would pretend is that Bush wants war with Iran. If this is the case it was done with an extreme level of incompetence. But something has recently happened in Iran. The threat of the US invasion has gone down with the NIE report. Ahmadinejad is not a popular present on the domestic side. HE needs a US threat to maintain his power, and by provoking the US to some minor incident he can maintain that threat and put himself as someone willing to stand up to the US. Also the group believed responsible for yesterdays bombing of the US embassy vehicle in Beirut has strong Iranian ties. Obvious Iran doesn't want a war, but if Ahmadinejad can keep the people of Iran thinking war is on the horizon, he can maintain his power. The problem with the way we are looking at wagging the dog here is we are looking at the wrong dog.
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Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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01-16-2008, 09:22 AM | #28 (permalink) |
has all her shots.
Location: Florida
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I don't totally disagree with you, UsTwo, Iran is a sovereign nation with its own interests in antagonizing the US. This is absolutely true.
And, you're right. I am suspicious of the motives and consequent actions of my government. But it has nothing to do with liberalism or white guilt as I feel this way regardless of who is sitting in the White House. But when we have a democrat sitting in the White House in 2009, I will be sure to remind you of how you are 'viewing your government' when you purport all manner of transgression and intrigue, okay? Don't say I never did anything for you. As for our part in this 'monkey speedboat incident' I am just as puzzled as everyone else. That they exacerbated the drama of the situation to bring an aura of menace back to Iran (which has diminished greatly since the NIE release) seems so obvious as to be implausible. Not to mention, what level of commitment did they put into thinking this through beforehand? Did someone actually think this story would, heh, hold water? It's just bizarre.
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01-16-2008, 10:49 AM | #29 (permalink) | ||||
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Saddam probably slipped in all of the false and misleading details into Powell's Feb., 2003 UN presentation, too. These two reports I previouslu posted, should have shattered this portion of your belief system, that there is any way to spin this that attempts to make the US DOD/whitehouse look as if it is not having another Tillman or Lynch moment....the two reports certainly shatter your new "theory": Quote:
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01-16-2008, 02:04 PM | #30 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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there are maybe three basic ways to look at us relations with iran at the moment
a) following some residual neo-con realpolitik, the plan could be to erase the political damage done by the iraq debacle domestically by extending it into a new, and far more difficult, war. but that would be lunacy. b) the bluster is mostly about generating a pr trail that is linked to efforts to prevent iran from too overtly benefitting from amercan-generated chaos in iraq. concerns about the simple fact that, in this chaos, iran stands to benefit regionally, in political terms and maybe in economic terms, are self-evident, and it hardly matters which side of the political micro-spectrum you fall on/into to see it. a rational assessment of this geo-political situation would have under most circumstances militated against bushwar to begin with---particularly given the abundant information that the un sanctions regime has, in fact, done what they were supposed to do. trying to figure out why the neo-con war happened, given this, tends to push me (personally, as someone sitting in a chair trying to figure this stuff out) back toward thinking that the wolfowitz "strategy" really was the american strategy, and that, if it had (1) been coherent in the first place (which it wasn't) and (2) had worked, maybe these consequences could have been avoided. but it wasn't and it didn't. c) aspects of the situation outlined as (b) still obtain, but as boundary conditions--in other words, they shape the overall tactical situation--but the posture of the bush people in pr terms is shaped entirely by political expediency. this one dovetails with the interpretation that host has been outlining in this thread. it would also explain--maybe--some of the ineptness with which this game has been played. if (b) obtains but (c) is the operative logic, the consequences of it are very strange indeed--the american public posture has---and continues--to work to prop up the present iranian regime. why that would be a desirable goal so far as the bush people are concerned is anyone's guess, frankly. my suspicion is that the administration is flying by the seat of its collective pants on this one. they are concerned about the longer-term advantages that the chaos in iraq will give to a country that is imprinted in the reagan-eer imagination as an Enemy, the "manly" addressing of which explains something of the reasons there was a reagan period at all---remember how "nightline" got started? every night, first thing, a graphic would present the number of days that had passed in the "hostage crisis"... so my theory is that they know that most outcomes over the longer run to the administration's absurd war in iraq are going to play out in ways that are counter to the strategic interests of the americans as the neo-cons define them--which center on oil supply, but which are not limited to that (i still maintain that if you center oil too much in your thinking about this region, you cant understand what the neo-con idea was, no matter how fucked up its implementation has made things.) maybe the calculation is that it is to the american tactical advantage to do what they can to maintain ahmadinejad BECAUSE he is politically weak inside iran and so is maybe not in a position to do a whole lot to exploit the tactical advantage that the iraq debacle has handed him... i am not sure what to make of reports that there has been iranian aid to various milita groups within iraq--i dont doubt that there are linkages, but so far as i have seen (mostly not in the american press, of course) this is INFORMAL, in the sense that there are "elements" within the iranian military which MAY be diverting SOME resources into iraq. but i dont have enough detailed information to know which, how much or even why, really, given the legacy of the 10 year war between iran and iraq. and i dont think it's at all a foregone conclusion that there exists any "natural" affinity between shi'a groups, huntington thesis nonsense notwithstanding. so it's not a huge problem to generate a more complicated picture of what might be happening behind the screen of the administrations "public diplomacy"--but even so, it's still pretty difficult to work out much in response to the question "what the hell were these people thinking" when it comes to the shabby absurd video that was released and the resulting brouhaha.
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite Last edited by roachboy; 01-16-2008 at 02:06 PM.. |
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antagonism, ham, operator, radio, usiran |
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