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-   -   Swine Flu... worried yet? (https://thetfp.com/tfp/general-discussion/147166-swine-flu-worried-yet.html)

snowy 04-27-2009 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CinnamonGirl (Post 2629246)
I think you're a little too excited about a zombie attack.


Then again, maybe you're prepared. I am not. I realized this today.

It's important to be prepared for certain events: nuclear holocaust, the rise of the machines, and zombies.

I have no doubt that Crompsin is prepared for any of those possibilities.

dlish 04-27-2009 12:04 PM

snowy..snowy snowy..tsk tsk tsk

crompsin IS a machine from the future.

elsesomebody 04-27-2009 12:30 PM

I'm a little worried, but only because I have kids. Its amazing how much having kids changes your concerns.

cdwonderful 04-27-2009 12:58 PM

not worried, not caring,
denial is a wonderful thing......

snowy 04-27-2009 01:57 PM

I don't know how they do it, but xkcd always gets a laugh out of me:
http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/swine_flu.png

QuasiMondo 04-27-2009 02:05 PM

Quote of the day:

"We will call it Mexico flu. We won't call it swine flu."

-YAKOV LITZMAN, Israel's Deputy Health Minister, on the country's decision to rename the flu outbreak because of kosher dietary laws.

FuglyStick 04-27-2009 02:14 PM

:eek: My tail is curlin'...

Grasshopper Green 04-27-2009 03:36 PM

One of my coworkers is going to Mexico for vacation tomorrow. Should he come back with the sniffles, I'll be concerned.

Charlatan 04-27-2009 03:49 PM

The precautions have been enacted in most of the airports in Asia. Just read this morning that Hong Kong and the Philippines have thermal sensors on all arrivals to the country. As I said above, Changi airport has been screening as well.

SARS hit this part of the world quite hard. Their economies were greatly affected. In the current economic situation, that could be disastrous.

I think Mexico, already in a tough spot will crushed. The repercussions will be felt for years to come.

JumpinJesus 04-27-2009 05:03 PM

It's the end of the human race.

Now the dolphins take over.

genuinegirly 04-27-2009 05:38 PM

K. My buddy in Mexico City is terrified. Between an earthquake and the outbreak of the swine flu, he is done with that city. He's moving back to the US. Apparently there's quite a hysterical fear there among the residents.

ASU2003 04-27-2009 11:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by genuinegirly (Post 2629396)
K. My buddy in Mexico City is terrified. Between an earthquake and the outbreak of the swine flu, he is done with that city. He's moving back to the US. Apparently there's quite a hysterical fear there among the residents.

The big question is, are they actually reporting what is really going on there?

http://nbcsportsmedia4.msnbc.com/j/M...7p.hmedium.jpg
http://media.sacbee.com/smedia/2009/...ffiliate.4.jpg
Swine flu leaves Mexican soccer stadiums empty | CharlotteObserver.com


http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/talking_point/8018428.stm

Here are some stories from people in Mexico. It would be interesting to see if the US government/military would be able to control the people like this, or if the people are acting in their own self-preservation and choosing not to travel or congregate around others. Maybe we need this to thin out those people here in the US that don't listen to warnings and protests things the government recommends.

Then again, is it a slow news day and they are hyping up this to have something to talk about? Or will the CDC, WHO and other government and public/private companies be able to stop this before it gets really bad?

Is twitter causing people to repeat the same false news or made up events over and over again? How do you know it is real? How do you know it isn't?
Swine flu: Twitter's power to misinform - By Evgeny Morozov | Net Effect

Should the people start worrying? Are we 8 months too soon, that is my fear, that this will spread slowing around the globe, until temperatures are below 60 outside and airborne transmission becomes much easier. But, then again, the regular flu was bad this year and it didn't reach really high levels here until last month.

----------------------------------

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467 (Post 2629044)
All depends on how well they hold the border.

What I find truly interesting is that Nova Scotia has cases. That means it's probably hitting the shipping, in which case, there won't be a safe area.

What's the incubation period and how easily is it transmitted? I mean if someone carries it for a few days or a week before showing any symptoms, it could be a serious "The Stand" type disease in a matter of months possibly as little as weeks... if the incubation period is a day or 2 and it's transmitted through bodily fluids such as a sneeze or cough, it could be contained and over soon not affecting that many.

I'm worried about the Virus X type outbreak as well. A virus you get and can transmit to others through the air for 14 to 28 days before coming down with any symptoms, but then you have a high probability of dying would be really bad.

I should probably watch 'The Stand' again. There are some other good movies, but I'm not sure how realistic some of them are.

--------------------------------------------

Quote:

Originally Posted by genuinegirly (Post 2629134)
We're visiting relatives in California the first couple of weekends in May, flying through LAX. We're getting flu shots before we go. We don't want to take any chances. I'm worried about our friend who lives in Mexico City.

Thanks for that link, Pony. It's super handy. Hm. Anyone else find it slightly humorous that Africa has no cases? The continent that is plagued with sweeping epidemic levels of Malaria and AIDS isn't touched by the flu.

I'm not sure the current flu shot will do anything. I'm sure they are working on trying to come up with a vaccine for next winter right now, but the US got rid of a lot of our vaccine labs (due to lawsuits and not as much profit compared to daily drugs)

-----------------------------------

As for me, I am watching it, and I think if there are hundreds or thousands of deaths in the US, I will have to start staying away from people and raise my biohazard level. And if there is a full blown pandemic, I have no problems wearing my bio suit to the grocery store or other places. I do need to stockpile some canned food and drinking water though. And I probably should get some more duct tape, bleach and clear plastic if I need to seal up my windows and make an airlock in the front entryway of my house. Then again, I may be better off moving someplace else, but I'm not sure I have a good 'Into The Wild' type plan anymore to get away from the rioting mobs and violent anarchists.

I wonder if this could be the Captain Trips virus? Captain Trips - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
(Evil people start moving toward Vegas. Good people will be found in Colorado.)

Gabbyness 04-28-2009 12:44 AM

Every time I hear the word "pandemic" I keep thinking about Danny Devito's character in "It's Always Sunny in Philadelphia" when they're running around Chinatown looking for something newsworthy.

"Let's get the scoop about the latest paaaandemikk!"

Nimetic 04-28-2009 12:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by snowy (Post 2629142)
the fact that young people are coming down with this illness is a concern.


I got the feeling that the young people bit was just a statistical fluke. ie that it was a bunch of traveling students who got sick first or something (?)

dlish 04-28-2009 01:05 AM

ill be grabbing the popcorn and a copy of Outbreak with dustin hoffman and renee russo and watching it tonight.

i seriously think that this is all overdone. the media is having a field day...or month.

carrot glace 04-28-2009 01:13 AM

i loved 'the stand', but to be blunt i cant remember where colorado is on the map, guess im going to vegas

nine 04-28-2009 02:13 AM

You can track it spread here. Interesting to see the updates over the last 48 hours

H1N1 Swine Flu - Google Maps

PonyPotato 04-28-2009 02:35 AM

nine - I posted that link in post #21 on the first page of the thread. :P There are quite a few more pointers on the map now, though.

nine 04-28-2009 02:41 AM

Sorry. I did a quick scan to see if it had been posted. But obviously missed it.

Crack 04-28-2009 04:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by carrot glace (Post 2629473)
i loved 'the stand', but to be blunt i cant remember where colorado is on the map, guess im going to vegas

My life for YOU!
http://i.realone.com/assets/rn/img/4...9677-large.jpg

silent_jay 04-28-2009 05:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467 (Post 2629044)
All depends on how well they hold the border.

What I find truly interesting is that Nova Scotia has cases. That means it's probably hitting the shipping, in which case, there won't be a safe area.

Those are kids who go to a private school and went on a trip to Mexicio, so I wouldn't say it has hit 'the shipping' yet. Not that you'll see this or anything, ..........
Quote:

Four students at a private school in Windsor have contracted the virus. Officials believe students who went on a school trip to Mexico carried it back to Nova Scotia.
Swine flu symptoms spreading beyond Windsor, N.S., campus
Health officials confirm 6 cases of swine flu in Canada

ring 04-28-2009 06:02 AM

I am concerned, saddened, and angry.

People that continue to rely on faux-news, cable programs,
are going to receive a dribble of real news, laced with the usual heavy dose of fear,
hype, and pretty graphics.

There are reliable sources available that hopefully folks will utilize,
to help dispel rumors and general ignorance about how this virus is transmitted.
( some people are truly afraid to eat a pork chop)

There are studies being done regarding the practice of raising animals
for consumption, ( the massive production farms, poultry, swine, etc.)
It is unwise, in my opinion, to have that many 'livestock', in such concentration.
(perhaps another thread for this)


Accidents do happen:
Baxter International, did ship some Avian Flu vaccine, that contained live H5N1.

Fortunately, it was tested before distribution.

dlish 04-28-2009 06:05 AM

my question is, how lethal is it?

if a hundred and something mexicans have died, but only 1 american who has it has died, is there something we're missing here?

are the immune systems different? i'd guess not.

are the health systems different? hell yeah!

i'd say this is a bad case of mexico not being able to manage its health service properly.

many people die from the flue every year, im still not seeing the big hoo-haa yet

MSD 04-28-2009 07:09 AM

Mexico, at least population centers, has a decent healthcare system. The problem is that they were the first hit, and authorities did nothing because it seemed like just another cluster of flu cases. Then young people started dying, likely because they are the age group who congregates most freely in public places with large groups of people, and speculation is flying that cytokine storms may be playing a part and younger people in the US (high school rather than mid-20s) are the first known cases. If it is a cytokine-storm-inducing flu, we have a lot to worry about. If not, we have mass hysteria to worry about and relatively healthy people will clog our ERs and tie up medical resources that should go to people who need antivirals and IV corticosteroids to keep them alive.

Leto 04-28-2009 08:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pan6467 (Post 2629044)
All depends on how well they hold the border.

What I find truly interesting is that Nova Scotia has cases. That means it's probably hitting the shipping, in which case, there won't be a safe area.

What's the incubation period and how easily is it transmitted? I mean if someone carries it for a few days or a week before showing any symptoms, it could be a serious "The Stand" type disease in a matter of months possibly as little as weeks... if the incubation period is a day or 2 and it's transmitted through bodily fluids such as a sneeze or cough, it could be contained and over soon not affecting that many.


Most likely source of the Nova Scotia cases are tourists who returned from Mexico. Same with NZ.

---------- Post added at 12:25 PM ---------- Previous post was at 12:25 PM ----------

Quote:

Originally Posted by spindles (Post 2629042)
No, but then Australia is a fairly distant place to where the main outbreak is. I'd suggest the amount of traffic from Mexico to here is fairly limited. I may become worried if it spreads wildly from Mexico...

shades of Neville Shute (On The Beach)....

nomcat 04-28-2009 08:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dlish (Post 2629534)
my question is, how lethal is it?

WHO reckon it has about 1 - 4% kill rate.... hardly Captain Trips.

pan6467 04-28-2009 09:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dlish (Post 2629470)
ill be grabbing the popcorn and a copy of Outbreak with dustin hoffman and renee russo and watching it tonight.

i seriously think that this is all overdone. the media is having a field day...or month.

Hey has all the ingredients: inspires irrational fears, has people wanting government to help, is spreading fast and sells newspapers/gets people to watch the news..... It's a money maker.

I rate it a 7 tho Dick.... the beat is very nice but I can't dance to it.

World's King 04-28-2009 09:39 AM

I would just like everyone to know that I'm eating a turkey club sandwich right now.


I figure if Swine Flu has traces of the Avian Flu... I might as well eat pig and bird at the same time.





OMG PANIC!!!

Redlemon 04-28-2009 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nimetic (Post 2629469)
I got the feeling that the young people bit was just a statistical fluke. ie that it was a bunch of traveling students who got sick first or something (?)

Scientist: Spring break a likely factor in flu's spread - SantaFeNewMexican.com

The_Jazz 04-28-2009 10:52 AM

I just sent one of my assistants home. She's married to a cop.






Dammit, it was funny in my head!

Strange Famous 04-28-2009 01:08 PM

I cannot deny following the news with a certain sense of nervousness... but things like this have happened before (flu pandemics) and I think we are better placed than ever to try and deal with it and minimise the damage done. Its important to keep in mind as well no one outside Mexico has been seriously ill yet.

highthief 04-28-2009 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nimetic (Post 2629469)
I got the feeling that the young people bit was just a statistical fluke. ie that it was a bunch of traveling students who got sick first or something (?)

Or it's like 1918 again - where people in the prime of life were the ones who dropped in the largest numbers!

Too soon to say.

Charlatan 04-28-2009 03:59 PM

It has now officially spread to the middle east and Asia and WHO says there is no way to contain it.

That said, the urgency here seems to be that it is spreading a lot faster than other Type A flus. The good news is that it isn't appearing to be as deadly as first feared (so far it is less fatal than SARS) and the safeguards put in place for early detection appear to be working.

I am convinced there is cause for concern but not for panic.

yournamehere 04-28-2009 05:02 PM

I've heard that the "experts" will know better by Friday how this might play out.

I'm on the fence on this one. While I certainly understand the media's need to keep us in a state of fear, I can also remember how everyone thought that all the hand-wringing every hurricane season about New Orleans was over-hyped. Then Katrina happened.

Funny how being unemployed has a silver lining - the only time I'm out in public is to go to the grocery store. I carry a small bottle of Purel with me and use it after touching anything.

Oh - more good news - pork is on sale this week!

highthief 04-28-2009 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlatan (Post 2629878)
It has now officially spread to the middle east and Asia and WHO says there is no way to contain it.

That said, the urgency here seems to be that it is spreading a lot faster than other Type A flus. The good news is that it isn't appearing to be as deadly as first feared (so far it is less fatal than SARS) and the safeguards put in place for early detection appear to be working.

I am convinced there is cause for concern but not for panic.

It could be that there is a co-infection - specific to Mexico - working in conjunction with the influenza to make it more deadly in Mexico itself, and without that co-infection it won't be so deadly in the rest of the world, but only time will tell.

As for the travel restrictions - meh, in 1918, with much more limited travel, 40 million died, including in the world's most remote communities in Alaska, Africa, India, etc. I question how much such travel restrictions will help.

Manic_Skafe 04-28-2009 05:57 PM

Where's Tully in all of this and when shall we burn Pig at the stake in a fit of hysteria?

dlish 04-28-2009 06:59 PM

maybe its not as bad as first thought..

charlatan, where in the ME has it spread to? im yet to hear any news on it here

Quote:

WHO disputes '150 swine flu deaths' in Mexico | National Breaking News | News.com.au
WHO disputes '150 swine flu deaths' in Mexico

AAP
April 29, 2009 11:07am
Text size
+ - Print Email Share Add to MySpace Add to Digg Add to del.icio.us Add to Fark Post to Facebook Add to Kwoff What are these? A MEMBER of the World Health Organisation has dismissed claims that more than 150 people have died from swine flu, saying it has officially recorded only seven deaths around the world.
Reports have put the likely death toll from the virus at 152, with Mexican officials confirming 20 deaths.

The number of cases under observation in Mexico alone has reportedly reached 1614.

But Vivienne Allan, from WHO's patient safety program, said the body had confirmed that worldwide there had been just seven deaths - all in Mexico - and 79 confirmed cases of the disease.

"Unfortunately that (150-plus deaths) is incorrect information and it does happen, but that's not information that's come from the World Health Organisation,'' Ms Allan said.

"That figure is not a figure that's come from the World Health Organisation and, I repeat, the death toll is seven and they are all from Mexico.''

Ms Allan said WHO had confirmed 40 cases of swine flu in the Americas, 26 in Mexico, six in Canada, two in Spain, two in the UK and three in New Zealand.

Ms Allan said it was difficult to measure how fast the virus was spreading.

Related Coverage
Aussies on NZ swine flu plane
Perth Now, 29 Apr 2009
Cuba, Canada suspend Mexico flights
NEWS.com.au, 29 Apr 2009
World flu fears turn to panic
NEWS.com.au, 29 Apr 2009
Aussies on NZ swine flu flight
NEWS.com.au, 29 Apr 2009
WHO warns of pandemic
The Australian, 29 Apr 2009 She said a real concern would be if the flu virus manifested in a country where a person had had no contact with Mexico, and authorities were watching all countries for signs of that.

She said the WHO was not recommending against overseas travel, but urged those who felt sick to stay home and others to ensure they kept their hands clean.

No decision had yet been made about vaccinations.

"This virus is not airborne, it's caused by droplets ... so it's not a time for worry. It's a time to be prepared,'' Ms Allan said.

Charlatan 04-28-2009 07:02 PM

In 1918, there was limited travel but it was exacerbated by soldiers returning from WW1. They were travelling from populated areas to just about every corner of the Western world.

---------- Post added at 11:02 AM ---------- Previous post was at 11:01 AM ----------

dlish... there is a confirmed case in Israel.

highthief 04-29-2009 02:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Charlatan (Post 2629936)
In 1918, there was limited travel but it was exacerbated by soldiers returning from WW1. They were travelling from populated areas to just about every corner of the Western world.[COLOR="DarkSlateGray"]

That amount of movement is fractional - really fractional - compared with today's day to day movement of people. The only thing the war did was mimic what happens in heavily populated places today like Guandong, Mexico City, etc - bring a lot of people (soldiers in regiments) into a densely packed area making transmission easier within that community, creating a critical mass of infected persons.

Baraka_Guru 04-29-2009 07:41 AM

U.S. confirms swine flu-related death in Texas
 
CTV.ca | U.S. confirms swine flu-related death in Texas

The kid was Mexican, but he had been receiving treatment in Texas, as he was visiting there with relatives.


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