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If you truly believe that he is capable of better than he's shown, then don't do it. He won't get his chops back that way, and if he suspects that you are taking a dive, your current uncertain relationship will definitely go sour. I know I'd be pissed and offended.
IDEA: Tell him your observations about his game.... tactfully. Start out by complimenting his strong openings. If you can recall the position from one of your previous games, set it up on the board and start a dialog about your strategies. Do it as a sharing of ideas, rather than a lecture, over a couple of your favorite beverages. If your suspicions about his game are correct, he just needs to refocus his thinking a little and you'll get the competitive games you're looking for.
IDEA 2: Start playing for beers, or groceries, and clean his clock for a few weeks. He'll either sharpen up or tank out altogether ;^) (just a joke).
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"Regret can be a harder pill to swallow than failure .With failure you at least know you gave it a chance..." David Howard
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