That's where I'm basing my answer from. I had a friend who was in a horrible relationship with a guy, and I let her know that I didn't think he was right for her, that I wasn't going to listen to her bitch about how he controlled her if she wasn't going to leave. It just didn't help. She felt like I was taking a stand against her, when I was only taking a stand against a decision she'd made.
It took her being left alone to change her mind. When left alone, she DID have to turn to him exclusively, and she realized herself that yes, he really, really was a dick. THEN she left and apologized to me for not taking my advice.
As a compromise, you can be sketchy on why you're not spending as much time talking for a little while, then mention offhandedly when she asks that you don't really like X. Then just keep fading away.
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