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I would be curious to see how it works out at the end of the year. I think that that would be the only true way to know if your formula is worth a crap. Right now, it looks like you are giving a HUGE benefit to teams that upset a higher ranked team. Does your formula take into affect teams that were ranked highly and then were found to be over-ranked? Does it lower the score of the teams that beat them after they fall out of the rankings?
I think that the best way to test a formula would be to apply it to a prior season and tweak it to get it right. Congrats on the hard work. Like I said, it will be interesting to see how it ends up at the end of the year. I totally agree with you for teams like Ohio State who continually barely edges mediocre teams, yet stays in the top of the polls. You show them at #10 which is more reasonable to me.
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