|
Its really going to have to depend on the Dems nomination I think as well. Many fear that if Dean is elected he will scare away many moderate democrats/swing independents etc. This does seem like a problem to me, and I'm hoping that Dean doesn't get the vote. Right now hes riding on a wave of support from far lefties who absolutely despise Bush and love Deans rhetoric against him. But come the real thing, such a position won't be holding much water I think.
I heard some poll that a disturbing 70% or so of Americans believe Saddam had connections directly with 9/11. Theres no evidence of this of course, and I don't *think*Bush has made any "misleading" statements over this. This still seems to lend quite a bit of support to Iraq...
Economy should be the front and center issue. It is improving, but job improvement suffers time lag so it might not be enough for those voting from their pocketbooks.
I'd give Bush a higher chance then 50/50 still, but its definitely not a sure thing like I think it was just 6 months ago.
__________________
"Convictions are more dangerous enemies of truth then lies." - Nietzsche
|