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The issue is that when there is a power vaccuum, many forces will try to fill it in.
The U.S. obviously wants to instante a gov't friendly to the U.S.
What will the neighbors think though? They are obviously sending their own people to influence the people there.
The irony is that the end will be a result of what the people think (sorta like democracy anyone) - whether the people will want a fundy gov't, a fascist gov't, hell a commie gov't, all comes down to the people there (oh the irony).
But, the problem is, as of now, the U.S. gov't doesn't honestly have a clue what it wants there. It says one thing then later changes its mind. They've switched around people in positions there and shit still happens.
The concern in the end though is how it shapes up. The entire soldier rotation thing is a bit like Vietnam in one way - it hurts morale. Instead of concentrating on the mission (is there even one now? i dunno why but sounds a bit like 'Nam) they concentrate on how many days left before they go home.
Its just a fuckin quagmire there, people say its temporary, but the fact is, as soon as the U.S. pull out the people will be able to change their minds and say "fuck you puppet you're going down" and another gov't comes in.
Iraq used to be very friendly to the west and coup's occured as well. The Mid east has always shown that it cannot be counted upon in terms of consistency - the most constant fact is that the majority are worshipers of islam and that is a factor in how they will react in the future (wehther they embrace democracy or fundamentalist).
One thing to note though is that the majority of Iraq is Shiite which is the same as Iran...
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