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Old 08-14-2009, 12:43 PM   #6 (permalink)
Jetée
The Reforms
 
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Location: Rarely, if ever, here or there, but always in transition
I think you should keep MJD/Turner inherently because both are top-5 consensus picks, (although for my tastes, I'd rather avoid Turner if possible, something in my gut is just not clicking with him).

For your third keeper, I think you are left with a choice of either Smith/Moss/Brady, based on average, that all three of these players will be unavailable in normal drafts once the third round starts.

It truly depends on whichever player you truly think will breakout once again and/or duplicate the success they had a season ago (Tom's case, 2007), and you wouldn't mind having them on your roster for another go-around. I like to shuffle my cards around, but in the keeper league I'm in, I chose to keep Fitz, A. Johnson, & Megatron, 3 elite receivers that I trust to net me at least a solid 10-11 points week-in, week-out (instead of choosing among a Clinton/Gore combo, Warner, Cassel, B. Marshall, D. Bowe, or Pierre Thomas, and the Steelers/Ravens Ds)

If it were me, I'd keep Moss instead of Brady or Smith, just because Moss is going at an ADP right now of around 11-15, right after Andre and Calvin Johnson, and before Westbrook and Jacobs. Moss is a higher commodity. If you are lucky, and get a good draft position once again this season, you can pick Brady back up if you want, but there are certainly other choices that can suit you if Brady is out of play once it comes back to you.

Do you happen to have a list of everyone else's keepers, and also know what draft position you will have this year? This way, you can cross off the top names that are unavailable when drafting, and what talent pool is still left, so you at least have an idea if Tom Brady or Steve Smith will go with the 5th pick of the draft, or the 12th. Best of luck.
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