Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - Hugo Chavez Opens the Door to Long-Term Rule

Baraka_Guru · 02-16-2009, 08:06 AM

Quote:

"Hugo Chávez wins referendum allowing indefinite re-election"
Electoral authorities say 54% of Venezuelan voters backed amendment abolishing term limits for elected officials

Rory Carroll in Caracas
guardian.co.uk, Monday 16 February 2009 08.04 GMT

Venezuelans yesterday voted to abolish term limits for elected officials, boosting Hugo Chávez's ambition to rule the country for decades.

Electoral authorities said 54% of voters in the referendum backed a constitutional amendment allowing indefinite re-election, with 46% rejecting it – a margin of almost 1 million voters.

An exultant Chávez appeared on the balcony of the presidential palace in Caracas to address cheering supporters after the result was announced. "It is a clear victory for the people," he said. "It is a clear victory for the revolution."

The result will boost his effort to transform the Opec country into a socialist state and burnish his leadership of Latin America's "pink tide" of leftwing governments.

The president's mentor and ally Fidel Castro sent congratulations from his sickbed in Cuba.

The US made no immediate comment, but the Obama administration will be dismayed at the prospect of an emboldened foe in Caracas.

Chávez, a 54-year-old former tank commander, has been in power for a decade and plans to run for election again when his term ends in 2013. He has spoken of ruling beyond 2030.

However, plunging oil revenues are expected to hit the Venezuelan economy and the petro-fuelled Chavez diplomacy soon.

Some analysts predict stagflation and devaluation of the bolivar currency – the kind of grim cycle that undid previous Venezuelan leaders – and there was speculation that Chávez had rushed through the referendum before the crisis hit.

The unexpectedly wide margin of victory prompted rapturous celebrations among "chavistas", who credit their charismatic leader for poverty-alleviating social programmes, notably free health care and discounted food.

"We did it, we won – this is a great night," Freddy Ramirez, a 48-year-old security guard, said.

Fireworks lit up the night sky and cars filled with flag-waving supporters drove around the capital.

However, not everybody celebrated. "Chavez has screwed this country enough already," Ricardo Torres, a 56-year-old courier, said.

He blamed the president for crumbling infrastructure and high crime and inflation.

Voters had narrowly rejected a referendum to abolish presidential term limits in December 2007.

Chávez learned lessons from that defeat, this time widening the terms of the referendum to allow mayors and governors to run indefinitely, giving them an incentive to mobilise support.

The government's "red machine" waged a formidable campaign. Posters urging a "yes" vote saturated the country, state TV networks cheered for the "si" and civil servants were sent out to canvass.

A flyer gave 10 reasons for voting yes. Number one said: "Chávez loves us and love is repaid with love", and the second stated: "Chávez is incapable of doing us harm".

The opposition, a fragmented coalition of small political parties and university students, accepted defeat but complained that the government had hijacked state resources and hobbled the "no" campaign.

"There was an abuse of power," David Smolanksy, a student leader, said.

Analysts said Venezuela's vote could embolden leaders in countries such as Bolivia, Colombia and Ecuador to seek indefinite re-election, a return of the "big man" syndrome of charismatic autocrats that marked much of the region's 20th-century history.

"Many who are worried about unlimited executive power will be dispirited by the results. The record of such indefinite re-election in the region has been very unhappy," Michael Shifter, of the Inter-American Dialogue thinktank, said.

At a news conference on Saturday, Chávez sought to allay such concerns and said staying in office for more than a decade was not unusual. He cited examples including the US president Franklin Roosevelt.

The outcome of this recent referendum effectively permits Chavez to continue to rule in Venezuela indefinitely. Mind you, in Canada, a prime minister can do the same thing so long as his or her party gets re-elected. Quite a difference here, especially in terms of balance of power.

I think this will indeed embolden other South American leaders. I think this is an enabler of South American socialism. I think the U.S. doesn't like this one bit, but we have yet to see a response.

Is this an issue of a balance of political power on a level of the Americas (i.e. North vs. South)? Or is this limited to Venezuela? Will Chavez's power weaken, or will he increase it?

What do you make of it?
What position do you hope the Obama administration takes?
What do you think Chavez will do with Venezuela after recent declines in prosperity?
How will this affect South American politics and trade?
What good can come out of this? What harm?