As many know by now, both the U.S. and Canada are headed to the polls this fall for federal elections. Although much is still up in the air, it's natural to speculate what the outcome might be even this early.
When I think of the current climate, the recent past, and how things can often happen, a part of me sees the distinct possibility of a conservative bloc in North America, the first of its time since Reagan/Mulroney. The difference, of course, is that the mode (and mood) of politics has changed since the '80s.
How do you see a conservative bloc acting in the post-9/11 era?
Personally, I'm concerned. The increased boldness of the Neocons has yet to be reinforced by a Tory majority in Canada. Think of how things have changed since Reagan. There hasn't yet been a strong Conservative government in Canada since he was president.
Harper has in the past already proven he likes the idea of aligning his politics with the Bush administration. An example:
Harper, Bush Share Roots in Controversial Philosophy :: Mediacheck :: thetyee.ca. The article generally states that Harper and Bush (and their advisors) share some of the same Neocon roots. Harper, however, has been relatively cautious, being that his minority is but slight.
How would a Tory majority change things? What would a Harper/McCain North America look like?
Current polls:
Canada–
(
Ipsos Reid)
Conservative 33%
Liberal 31%
NDP 16%
Green 10%
America–
(
American Research Group)
McCain 46%
Obama 47%
Undecided 7%