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Originally Posted by dc_dux
If the Sadirsts win convincingly in the southern provincial elections in the Fall, strenghen their position for the next national elections in Spring 09 and possibly win a parliamentary majority, particularly with the sentiment of the Iraqi people opposed to the continued and unending US occupation, and ultimately choose the next PM...replacing a US puppet (Malaki)) with a Sadr puppet.
The big winner in this scenario.....IRAN.
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As I pointed out before, Iran has as much or more influence with Maliki and Dawa as it has with Sadr. Iran being a big winner is not a potential; it has happened, that ship has sailed.
Gary Brecher, in his initimable style, also offers a pessimistic (but realistic) take on Basra here:
http://exile.ru/articles/detail.php?...7&IBLOCK_ID=35