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Harper will stay moderate - while in theory the Tories are ahead in the polls right now, if he came out with a very right wing agenda in the Throne Speech that subsequently caused a no-confidence vote, the public would react very negatively to said agenda and punish him in a subsequent election.
I think he'll largely maintain the status quo, push through a couple of things he wants, but nothing radical.
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Si vis pacem parabellum.
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