|
Canada is 1/4 "West", 1/3 "Ontario", 1/4 "Quebec" and 1/6 "Other".
West: BC and Alberta
Ontario: Ontario
Quebec: Quebec
Other: Sask. Man. & Maritimes
To get a Majority government, you need 50% support. You can't expect to carry every seat in multiple regions, so...
If Dion can carry Ontario and Quebec, he has 1/4+1/3 = 7/12th of Canada. Toss in a bit of Other, and you have a Majority.
So you need to pretty much sweep:
Ontario + (West or Quebec)
West + Quebec + Other
for a Majority government.
For a Minority, with Quebec locked down by the Bloc, you need:
Ontario + Smattering elsewhere
or
West + Other
or
Split Ontario, and West
...
The West is growing. In a decade or two it will probably have the population of Ontario, and become a larger factor in elections.
__________________
Last edited by JHVH : 10-29-4004 BC at 09:00 PM. Reason: Time for a rest.
|