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If a prison escape is ruled out, then one must assume that the four were deliberately released from Bagram. The Antara article suggests these as possible reasons:
- Released and Killed. This seems implausible to me, because they knew al-Faruq's position in a'Q. I would think he would remain a valuable intel source for years to come.
- Released as part of our intelligence network. This scenerio would imply that either al-Faruq infiltrated a'Q years ago, or agreed to turn while in prison. The first seems doubtful, and the second highly unlikely.
- Released in a prisoner exchange. It was also suggested that these four were exchanged for captured special forces/agents. I believe it would need to be someone incredibly important to garner an exchange for al'Faruq, so once again, I think this is doubtful.
- Released with the purpose of sustaining terrorism in Indonesia. I will need my tinfoil hat to give some thought as to what benefit this would serve the US. I'll be back on this one.
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I was beaten to it, but I'm going with the DEA tactics. You release a big fish, and without his knowledge you track where he goes and who he talks to. He'll try to get in contact with his trusted friends, then you watch who his friends talk to, where they get their money, and where they send it.
Suddenly you have two dozen more terrorists caught, and you release another blind fish.