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Originally Posted by oberon
10-15 years? You might be a little optimistic, methinks. Granted, though, there's still around 25% or so of the address space unallocated. I think your problem is mostly related to how ICANN treats RIRs other than ARIN. I usually don't have a problem getting more IP space fairly cheap (or free). In the US, there are many ISPs that cater to "power users" and don't assume their users don't care about how many IPs they have.
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The APNIC policy around here is similar to RIPE's and ARIN's. Which means basically that ISP's aren't supposedly 'legally' allowed to take monthly rent from things they don't own. Unfortunately for the users anywhere, ISP's mostly ignore this point, especially here. I've been throwing around the idea of founding a new ISP here. Not a big deal, you just need the money :/ Been there, done that before. And I can tell that becoming a LIR was maybe the easiest part.
Here in .jp it's even worse, since there seems to be now way a residential user can get more than 1 IP, not even by subscribing an SOHO connection.
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Originally Posted by oberon
Fortunately, the global IPv6 network is getting a lot better, especially in the US and Europe. Large networks have already deployed them, and the number and quality of the peering arrangements over IPv6 have gotten a lot better only in the last two years. Unfortunately, there still remains the major question of how to bring it to end users. I've had IPv6 access since 2000, but what kind of work will a normal person do to be brought onto an IPv6 network?
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I hope majority of application providers are going to implement the necessary things to get their apps communicate with IPv6 as I see that as the single biggest obstacle. Unix apps have done that already to a greater extent, I think my first v6 connection was when we got the v6 irc server up
Boy my reverse looked weird for majority of masses. Peering is simple after that as you know.