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Old 11-16-2005, 06:52 AM   #1 (permalink)
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Bipartisan support for an exit strategy

In the big defense authorization bill yesterday in the Senate, both sides voted overwhelmingly in favor of an amendment that requests that the WH (1) describe a concrete exit strategy from the war in Iraq; and (2) provide a report every three months of the U.S. progress towards achieving the exit goals.

http://www.newsday.com/news/nationwo...nation-big-pix

This is of course a flip-flop by the Republicans in Congress, who have been opposed to such a measure as "cut-and-run" cowardice that just encourages the terrorists. Bill Frist, for example, switched sides just in the course of a single day when he saw that his party supported the amendment.

For the democrats, however, this has been a long time coming. Although language supporting an explicit timetable was voted down, nevertheless the passed amendment contains an implicit timetable of one year to begin withdrawing.

I think the amendment is a very good idea. I think it is indefensible that there has been apparently no accountability to Congress for an exit strategy in this war after two years, with the president simply dodging the question with "we'll leave when we've accomplished the mission" (an ironic and inane comment especially given the "mission accomplished" photo-op).

Does anybody here disagree with the amendment? Regardless of what the exit strategy should be, don't you think that there should be one, and that it should be concrete so that the American people can judge explicitly how close the U.S. is to that goal? And how efficiently and successfully the administration has been moving to achieve that goal?

EDIT: here's the linked article:

Quote:
Senate seeks exit strategy

BY GLENN THRUSH
WASHINGTON BUREAU

November 15, 2005, 10:12 PM EST

WASHINGTON -- Most politicians claim they're never swayed by polls, but GOP senators yesterday said that plummeting support for the Iraq war prompted their extraordinary request for quarterly White House report cards on progress toward withdrawal.

In a symbolic move underscoring growing GOP queasiness about Iraq, the Senate passed a non-binding measure prodding the Bush administration to outline concrete goals leading to the phased withdrawal of U.S. troops.

Earlier in the day, the GOP beat back Democratic attempts to force the administration into drafting a withdrawal timetable.

"I'm not one that follows polls, but I'm not unmindful of the polls and the polls are showing a great deal of concern by the American public," said John Warner (R-Va.), chairman of the Armed Services Committee, who co-sponsored the reporting measure.

"Let's get the thing straightened out and make it work," he said, referring to Iraq.

The measure passed, 79 to 19, as an amendment to the defense authorization package. The amendment also calls on Bush administration officials to "explain to Congress and the American people its strategy for the successful completion of the mission in Iraq."

Minority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) called it "a vote of no confidence in the Bush administration's policy on Iraq."

Differences between the Senate and House defense bills still must be worked out. It's not clear if the House will agree to the new reporting requirements or the Senate's creation of a limited federal court appeals process to allow Guantanamo Bay detainees to dispute their classification as "enemy combatants."

Still, senators on both sides of the aisle said yesterday's vote signals greater congressional oversight on Iraq and a far more skeptical attitude toward administration claims that progress is being made.

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.), perhaps his party's most influential voice on the war, voted against the amendment because he thought that language skated too close to calling for a withdrawal. Still, he endorsed the idea of demanding more accountability from the White House.

"We all know public support is slipping. We've got to start doing better in Iraq," said John McCain, a possible 2008 presidential contender. "The Congress is becoming somewhat more assertive in oversight and that's appropriate."

Armed Services Committee member Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) chalked up the vote to leadership concerns that the GOP will lose seats in next year's mid-term elections.

"I think it speaks to a bit of nervousness about the public perception of how the war is going in terms of the '06 elections," said Graham, who voted no.

"To be honest with you, the war is going be going on long after '06 and I'm more worried about getting it right in Iraq than I am about the '06 elections," he added.

Earlier in the day, a nearly identical amendment sponsored by Sen. Russ Feingold (D-Wis.), which included calls for the administration to set a withdrawal timetable, failed by 54 to 40. New York Sens. Charles Schumer and Hillary Rodham Clinton supported the Feingold amendment.

Majority Leader Bill Frist (R-Tenn.) rejected the Feingold approach as a "cut-and-run exit strategy" that would embolden terrorists.

But when it became apparent that there was significant GOP support for other parts of the measure, Frist's staff simply took out the timetable references, softened some of the language and adopted it as his own. The GOP rewrite included a call for 2006 to be "a period of significant transition to full Iraqi sovereignty," leading to a phased withdrawal.

Last edited by raveneye; 11-16-2005 at 07:00 AM..
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Old 11-16-2005, 07:09 AM   #2 (permalink)
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An exit strategy is great, but a timeline is naive.
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Old 11-16-2005, 09:35 AM   #3 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cyrnel
An exit strategy is great, but a timeline is naive.
I think it's a matter of where you draw the line. If the Bush administration were to say that they fully expect us to still be there 50 years from now, would the ensuing revolt be naive? What about 30 years, 20, 15, 10 years . . . .? On the other hand, it's probably naive to think we should be out by the end of next year. Where the line is that divides naivete from pragmatism is a matter of opinion, but I think everybody if pushed is going to draw the line somewhere. Our resources are not infinite.

I get the feeling that the administration thinks it's naive to expect us to be out earlier than 10 years from now. I think that is completely unacceptable to the vast majority of Americans, of both parties, and both are saying that the year 2006 is going to be the defining, make-or-break year, and that year is mentioned in the amendment as a year during which there should be a significant transition to complete Iraqi sovereignty.
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Old 11-16-2005, 10:00 AM   #4 (permalink)
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Granted, we need realistic goals. Set them, measure progress, respond, repeat. In the deepest recess of war planning schedules are part of the game, but they're fluid. What I don't like is a public schedule becoming the tail that wags the dog. The fluidity becomes another horse race of failures for anyone with a microphone. Then media stokes the public which fuels useless knee-jerking fires.

Feels like we're all the children asking the parents "are we there yet?"

I agree we haven't seen a well-defined set of goals beyond "deposing then democracy". This was "a difficult" war without definitions against an enemy who's happy to bob & weave where we aren't. Not a great formula for success.

I, like most of us I think, would like to see the coordination between US and Iraqi actions gradually improve to a point it's safe to turn things over entirely. As quickly as possible, but without damaging the process. We can't expect perfection, and we can't expect a mirror of ourselves, but we need to give them the best chance to decide their own fate without the pointless chaos of cutting & running. While I'd love to be privy to timelines & tactics, making them public would be conceding a roadmap to our failure to the enemy. So we have to trust the generals to some extent, which isn't made easier by the ups & downs.

It isn't pleasant, this stuff.
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Old 11-16-2005, 10:03 AM   #5 (permalink)
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Old 11-16-2005, 10:46 AM   #6 (permalink)
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This amendment was entirely pointless for one simple reason: the Whitehouse doesn't know when we'll be able to withdraw from Iraq. Sure, it makes Congress feel important to receive periodic updates about the status of the reconstruction, but what good does it do?

We should not set a timetable for withdrawal because military campaigns should always be governed by military concerns, not political ones. It doesn't matter if it is politically convenient to, say, bring troops home right before an election: the troops should leave or stay based on the available military intelligence, not on some Berlin Conference-style plan drawn up in a bunker 5,000 miles away.

We also should not create a document outlining the conditions that need to be met before we can withdraw. This document would otherwise be known as "Al-Qaida's Guide on How to Indefinitely Postpone the Withdrawal of American Forces". The conditions must of strategic necessity be flexible. Generally speaking, American forces should be withdrawn in proportion to the availability of Iraqi police and military units that are able to take over security work.

I'm with McCain on this one.
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Old 11-16-2005, 10:54 AM   #7 (permalink)
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I think the most important thing about this is that Republican senators came out in support of this. They are starting to distance themselves from a President who is down in the polls. It looks like the GOP is starting to treat Bush like a lame duck president. I guess we shouldn't be surprised.
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Old 11-16-2005, 11:08 AM   #8 (permalink)
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Quote:
Originally Posted by politicophile
We should not set a timetable for withdrawal because military campaigns should always be governed by military concerns, not political ones.
You can be more forthcoming about what the military objectives are without having a specific timetable.

Quote:
Originally Posted by politicophile
I'm with McCain on this one.
McCain wants more accountability from the WH on the military objectives of the war. His objection to the amendment is simply that its language is too strong regarding a timeline for withdrawal. I also agree with him that we need more accountability from the WH.
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