11-24-2004, 11:14 AM | #1 (permalink) | |
Pickles
Location: Shirt and Pants (NJ)
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Ukraine Vote Results
http://www.cnn.com/2004/WORLD/europe...ine/index.html
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I dunno.. it seems this one is gonna come back to bite us in the rump one way or another.
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11-24-2004, 01:30 PM | #4 (permalink) |
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i guess problems with our election would matter more if it would change the outcome. i hope they improve our system, of course. and our exit polls did not reveal such a nation-wide disparity. that's 11 percentage points of a lead, so it's a 14 point difference from the outcome.
over there the fraud may have changed the outcome. the candidate that won is more pro-russia, backed by putin. in case you haven't been paying attention, democracy hasn't been faring so well in russia lately. putin wants to appoint local leaders instead of have them elected. even the communists are complaining about the lack of democratic practice in russia. so we are likely concerned about this election because of the close russian interests. |
11-24-2004, 06:43 PM | #5 (permalink) |
Cracking the Whip
Location: Sexymama's arms...
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I don't know of anyone outside of the far left loony fringe that really believes Bush stole the election. Irregularities? Yes. Causes for concern? Yes. But did Kerry actually win? No.
In the Ukraine, it appears that might have actually happened.
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"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." – C. S. Lewis The ONLY sponsors we have are YOU! Please Donate! |
11-24-2004, 06:49 PM | #6 (permalink) |
This vexes me. I am terribly vexed.
Location: Grantville, Pa
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It's amazing, the mobs of hundreds of thousands of people just partying in the streets as a protest to the way the election was carried out. It's inspiring and puts a bit of hope on an otherwise bleak week in Eurasia.
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11-25-2004, 12:31 AM | #7 (permalink) |
Crazy
Location: USA
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to be realistic, these protests will hurt the Ukrainian economy. I think that they should just do the election again, but properly train the exit poll people, take them to US to learn how exit polls really work, instead of how their boss told them to do it. Exit poll people were brought in by Ushenko (opposition), and they proclamed him winner with 52.7% of the votes. How the exit poll people come up with this % ? : Yakunovic they put 1 on paper, for Ushenko 2...... it looks like this:
Yakunovich 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 etc Ushenko 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 etc but when counting, it all just adds up and you get a higher votes. How come there was no single source siting how many votes did the exit polls count? They never released them. A good investigation is in order, to get the facts strait, first of all in these kind of situations. Actions from the current administration are in order. A recount of all the ballats, recount of all the exit poll data, if it was documented at all. |
11-25-2004, 04:54 AM | #9 (permalink) |
Tilted
Location: Alphen aan den Rijn, the Netherlands (find it on a map, it is there (somewhere))
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At the moment it looks like the elections were rigged. I read there were 2.8 million votes messed with in favor of the current president. So it seems that there are some faults, but what will happen? Lets hope it happens peacefully.
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11-25-2004, 07:29 AM | #10 (permalink) |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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Ukraine is on the "border" between the Western sphere, and the Orthodox Russian sphere. This election is just part of a struggle over that border. In essence, the Ukrainian people are used as pawns in this political and cultural struggle.
Given the relatively good relationship between the EU and Russia, Russia will probably try to keep things peaceful; OTOH, they cannot allow Ukraine moving away from them - that'd mean they'd lose power. A compromise solution can be reached if the pro-western opposition promise they won't get *too* close to the EU. |
11-25-2004, 11:18 AM | #11 (permalink) | ||
Human
Administrator
Location: Chicago
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I find comparisons between the US elections and the Ukranian elections to be quite spurious. Regardless of the fact that allegations of fraud in the US have been addressed and dismissed, there are other things which set these Ukranian elections apart from the US election, no matter how much one would like to believe the US elections were "stolen"...
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Le temps détruit tout "Musicians are the carriers and communicators of spirit in the most immediate sense." - Kurt Elling |
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11-25-2004, 01:53 PM | #12 (permalink) | |
Banned
Location: Gor
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I'll believe Bev 'Send me money" Harris is serious about "disenfranchisement" when she starts checking out the voting irregularities in California. They affect a great many more people, but of course, correcting California's voting procedures won't change who is our next president. |
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11-25-2004, 03:23 PM | #13 (permalink) |
Insane
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well, as one of the "looney fringe" that believes Bush almost certainly did lose, I must say that calling an election fraudulent based on exit poll data seems to be the height of hypocrisy coming from an administration in power despite the astronomical odds of "flawed" exit polls running against them.
It´s enough proof anywhere else in the world to cast doubt on the outcome. But the US exit polls are flawed. hahahahahahaha Respect to the Ukranian people for at least having the balls to contest this. Too bad the rest of the world are sheep. |
11-25-2004, 07:42 PM | #14 (permalink) | |
Junk
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I hope the rest of the world is paying attention because this could happen anywhere, and thank the people demonstrating and democracy for that. For far to long the establishment has had the power to do as it pleases to carry or leave anyone behind at will regardless of conscience. And what if anything could anyone do anything about it? Now in one small instance in the Ukraine, the world is taking note to those who have fucking well had enough and aren't going to take it anymore. My utmost respect to those who aren't stupid fucking brainless sheep whatever the outcome..
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11-25-2004, 08:10 PM | #15 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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Bush won, get over it.
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11-26-2004, 12:10 AM | #17 (permalink) | |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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One example is the number of voters: there was something like a 75% voter turnout overall, but mysteriously, in some pro-government areas, there was a 95% turnout. Just another bit of evidence. As for the US election: it may have been flawed, but it wasn't nearly as bad as the Ukrainian one. During the US elections, there were in fact international observers, and I have yet to hear one credible report of fraud. |
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11-26-2004, 03:06 AM | #18 (permalink) |
Human
Administrator
Location: Chicago
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Regarding the US elections, I had the pleasure of taking a class during the election with a Democratic teacher who also works in the Chicago radio news media, so she saw all the exit polls since she was one of the people on her station doing the reporting of the election. She also teaches a class on the art of polling. What happened was not so much that the exit polls were wrong, but that they were read too hastily by many people. The leaked exit polls represented voters from earlier in the day, and it's a known fact that there may be very different trends in voters from different times of the day. Once you get past the conspiracy theories and accept that the exit poll results CNN now shows are the FULL results, it is clear that there is no disparity not within the margin of error. And I know the CNN results are not falsified because of my discussions with my very much Bush-hating teacher about these exit polls, since she was able to witness the election from within a news organization, doing the calling and everything.
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Le temps détruit tout "Musicians are the carriers and communicators of spirit in the most immediate sense." - Kurt Elling |
11-26-2004, 06:11 AM | #19 (permalink) | |
Upright
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About two days ago, the situation was perfect for Russia. Thier guy "won", but the win would leave Ukraine isolated internationally, leaving them no choice but to turn to the Kremlin, much like Belarus. Now though, things may have gone further than Putin expected, and if you've been following the reports, he has sloppily retracted his original endorsement of Yanukovych as the winner. www.kyivpost.com has had very good up to the minute coverage if you're interested in following the developments. |
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11-26-2004, 08:28 AM | #20 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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Great link. The only thing I'm really worried about is Putin makes moves to help the 'fairly elected democratic government' with troops.
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11-26-2004, 11:28 AM | #21 (permalink) | |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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11-26-2004, 11:34 AM | #22 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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__________________
Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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11-26-2004, 12:44 PM | #23 (permalink) | |
Junk
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O oh,...agreeing with Ustwo twice in one day. I think it's time for beer to bring me back to my senses.
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" In Canada, you can tell the most blatant lie in a calm voice, and people will believe you over someone who's a little passionate about the truth." David Warren, Western Standard. |
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11-27-2004, 01:28 AM | #24 (permalink) | |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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That scenario will simply not work, and even Putin can see that. |
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11-27-2004, 01:41 AM | #25 (permalink) | |||||
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stench now emanating from this election's aftermath in certain precincts and counties in just 2 key states, Ohio and Florida, fanned by your "loony fringe", name calling, and your declaration; "But did Kerry actually win? No.", mesh neatly with this: Quote:
below. I think that we will "move on", only after we examine the short comings in the recent voting. Bush has no mandate now, or previously. If Bush still has more votes after a closer look in Ohio and in Florida, that can only serve to strengthen his stature among all Americans. If it turns out that Bush actually has less votes than Kerry in Ohio or in Florida, it would be un-American for that circumstance not to be revealed, and dealt with. Quote:
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11-27-2004, 02:08 AM | #26 (permalink) | |
Tilted
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11-27-2004, 06:10 AM | #27 (permalink) |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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New development: the Ukrainian parliament, including the current ruling members, declared the elections as invalid. A majority of MPs also passed a vote of no-confidence in the country's Central Elections Commission.
These votes aren't legally binding, but it's a significant development nonetheless. link: <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4047421.stm">http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4047421.stm</a> |
11-27-2004, 08:34 AM | #28 (permalink) |
Cracking the Whip
Location: Sexymama's arms...
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Host,
To be honest, I don't follow how my statements "neatly mesh" with anything you've posted. And as for name calling, I will stand behind what I said and restate that anyone who believes that Kerry actually won the election has taken an unreasonable position in light of current evidence. In other words, given what we know, believing Kerry won is as unreasonable as believing that there was a second shooter on the grassy knoll, that aliens crashed in Roswell and that Neil Armstrong never went to the moon. Is it possible that evidence could surface that could make such a belief reasonable? Yes, of course. Many things are possible, but probable, it doesn't look that way. So what then do you call someone who blindly takes such a position and holds it without even acknowledging the untenable nature of it? I call them the loony fringe and will continue to do so. I also note that I specifically addressed your links that "meshed" by saying that I acknowledge that there were irregularities and that we should be concerned. I believe that is one of the valuable side effects of "The Fringe". By their bulldoggedness (is that a word? ), they can force us to look at problems that do need solving, such as the possible problems with electronic voting.
__________________
"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." – C. S. Lewis The ONLY sponsors we have are YOU! Please Donate! |
11-27-2004, 08:52 AM | #29 (permalink) | |
follower of the child's crusade?
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BUT... in this case the media was on the side of the protesters, in the US election for example the media all backed Bush.
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"Do not tell lies, and do not do what you hate, for all things are plain in the sight of Heaven. For nothing hidden will not become manifest, and nothing covered will remain without being uncovered." The Gospel of Thomas |
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11-27-2004, 08:56 AM | #30 (permalink) | |
follower of the child's crusade?
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As for the Kennedy hit.. anyone who believes three gunshot wounds come from two shots (bullet hits one guy, bounces off his wrist, twists round,. hits other guy, bounces down, hits him somewhere else...) would meet the same ridicule you dish out from many people. Wherever the second gunman was, I think it is widely accepted that at least five shots were fired at Kennedy (this is proved by recordings from police radio) and Oswald fired two. Anyway, apologies to creator for thread jack...
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"Do not tell lies, and do not do what you hate, for all things are plain in the sight of Heaven. For nothing hidden will not become manifest, and nothing covered will remain without being uncovered." The Gospel of Thomas |
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11-27-2004, 01:03 PM | #31 (permalink) | |
Cracking the Whip
Location: Sexymama's arms...
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As for the moon shot, if you truely believe that, no comment. You might not mention your belief to Buzz Aldrin however. He's been known to punch people out who claim he never risked his life and went to the moon. I stand behind my original statements.
__________________
"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." – C. S. Lewis The ONLY sponsors we have are YOU! Please Donate! |
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11-27-2004, 04:44 PM | #32 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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__________________
Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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11-27-2004, 04:54 PM | #33 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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__________________
Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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11-27-2004, 05:11 PM | #34 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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no no.
it's too easy...... this has been fascinating to watch unfold. an interesting, relatively in depth article in le monde: http://www.lemonde.fr/web/article/0,...-388631,0.html same basic story with a bit less complexity: http://observer.guardian.co.uk/inter...361309,00.html it is interesting that the parliament does not have the legal authority to do what it did....
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a gramophone its corrugated trumpet silver handle spinning dog. such faithfulness it hear it make you sick. -kamau brathwaite Last edited by roachboy; 11-27-2004 at 05:16 PM.. |
11-28-2004, 12:35 AM | #35 (permalink) | |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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That's the reason the supreme court has to decide these things - they're supposedly impartial. At least they're more impartial than politicians that openly support one of the candidates. |
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11-28-2004, 02:51 AM | #36 (permalink) | ||||
Banned
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In the Ukraine, it appears that might have actually happened.", even though, in 2000 you give me the impression that you embraced Bush's "victory" in Florida, despite that Bush was declared the winner by 537 votes when the SCOTUS issued a ruling at the request of Bush campaign lawyers to halt the vote counting, followed by an unsigned 5 to 4 SCOTUS opinion that determined that there was no time to resume and finish the vote recount, and that specified that the ruling would not be a precedent. Despite that the Florida state official who certified the vote was highly partisan and...in addition holding the office of Secretary of State, was also the State Chairperson of the Bush Campaign. Despite that candidate Bush's brother was also governor of Florida and was deeply involved in the creation of a unique, controversial, (only a maximum of six other U.S. states use a similar statute to bar convicted felons who have completed their prison sentences, from voting) expensive, and surprisingly inaccurate database, intended to identify and purge registered voters from the roles of each county who it identified as convicted felons. And......even if all the above could be dismissed or ignored in order to accept the legitimacy of the 2000 Florida voting, the following has been exposed, since, casting strong doubt on the veracity and integrity of Jeb Bush or of state election officials, in matters related to the Florida felon purge lists Quote:
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and Bush is quoted: "There's just a lot of allegations of vote fraud that placed their election, the validity of their elections, in doubt," Bush said. "The international community is watching very carefully. People are paying very close attention to this, and hopefully it will be resolved in a way that brings credit and confidence to the Ukrainian government." You twice posted: "far left loony fringe that really believes Bush stole the election. Irregularities? Yes. Causes for concern? Yes. But did Kerry actually win? No." From my point of view, what "neatly meshes", is Bush's hypocrisy.......to my knowledge, he has never commented on the questionable conduct of his brother or of two Florida Secretaries of State, but he is quick to talk about possible voter fraud in Ukraine....... and that "the far left loony fringe" could possibly include people who recognize Bush's hypocrisy and the criminality of his brother and Bush's political associates with regard to manipulation of voter eligibility in Florida in 2000 and 2004. Did an informed electorate legitimately give Bush a plurality of votes ? The notion that a majority could be informed and still vote for more of Bush's "leadership" is what's on the "fringe", IMO. |
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11-28-2004, 03:52 AM | #37 (permalink) | |
follower of the child's crusade?
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As for Ukraine, for all the rhetoric, I havent actually seen any real substance to the allegations of electoral fraud. This seems to me more a case of teh West trying to interfere to get the candidate that they want... but I would need to know more of the factual allegations to judge them - which is lacking in all of the various vieled threats from other nations and paranoid claims of the beaten candidate.
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"Do not tell lies, and do not do what you hate, for all things are plain in the sight of Heaven. For nothing hidden will not become manifest, and nothing covered will remain without being uncovered." The Gospel of Thomas |
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11-28-2004, 05:04 AM | #38 (permalink) | |
42, baby!
Location: The Netherlands
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As for the evidence: you might have missed the reports of near-100% voter turnout in pro-government areas, versus a 75% turnout overall. Not necessarily fraud, but very suspicious. Furthermore, you might have missed the OSCE observers calling the election marred with irregularities. Sure, they may be signs of "the west trying to interfere", but they may be as independent as they say they are... especially given the membership of Russia, and other former USSR countries. Then there's the fact that Russia now seems to move towards acceptance of new elections. Why would they do that if there was no actual fraud? Besides, if the Ukrainian parliament itself passes a vote saying the elections were fraudulent, and the election committee was biased, *even with pro-government members present* during the vote, I'd say there's something fishy going on. But we should probably wait and see what the Ukrainian supreme court decides. They have access to the evidence, where we do not. But then again, they could have been influenced by the West. Or Russia. So any decision is sure to be dismissed by the losing side. We'll see what your eventual response will be - I just hope it's not an automatic "the west did it". |
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11-28-2004, 05:35 AM | #39 (permalink) |
follower of the child's crusade?
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Dragonlich, I think you touched on a perhaps more important there... it is getting to the point that whatever happens one side is going to call it fraud, and civil war looks a growing possibility. If the president does not have the confidence of the people, he cannot go forwards, there must be a re-election - but if some of things people are saying are true the opposition leader might not live to see it, the question is - if these plots are real - is he more dangerous dead than alive?
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"Do not tell lies, and do not do what you hate, for all things are plain in the sight of Heaven. For nothing hidden will not become manifest, and nothing covered will remain without being uncovered." The Gospel of Thomas |
11-28-2004, 10:52 AM | #40 (permalink) |
Super Moderator
Location: essex ma
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dragonlich: i understood that, but thanks. what i thought was interesting is that the parliament tried this gambit. it seems to have corresponded to the nature of the situation in kiev, but not to the legal framework within which that situation was being processed. as i kinda thought, the move was rejected.
so now you have this: http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/europe/4049949.stm as my uncle arthur--the eternal 7-year-old--would say, the party's getting rough.
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results, ukraine, vote |
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