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-   -   VP Debate, who won? (https://thetfp.com/tfp/tilted-politics/141101-vp-debate-who-won.html)

guyy 10-04-2008 01:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pig (Post 2538373)
All I can say is that if I hear "maverick" or "straight-talk express" again, I might throw up.

A straight-talker answers questions. Palin and McCain do not. They are typical dodge and weavers.

Considering that McCain surrendered to his inevitable defeat in Michigan right after the debate, i'd have to say that the Moose Skinner's effect was negligible.

Tully Mars 10-04-2008 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by guyy (Post 2538576)
Considering that McCain surrendered to his inevitable defeat in Michigan right after the debate, i'd have to say that the Moose Skinner's effect was negligible.

I thought the timing was odd on that. Do you think it was only a funding issue? Or did they think her debate performance was going to be so bad they decided to release this news at the same time, kind of overload the press and hide this little fact. Seems like if they start bailing on states the donations are going to start drying up rather quickly. No one wants to bet on a loosing horse.

guyy 10-04-2008 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tully Mars (Post 2538581)
I thought the timing was odd on that. Do you think it was only a funding issue?

Well, he is losing. I think his internals said what i've been saying about Michigan for a while: he had no chance. Given that he has a fight in Indiana (which is simply amazing), that he's now losing ground in Ohio, Virginia, NC, that Iowa (which went for Bush in '04) is out of reach... he had to go on the defensive. He simply had no choice.

There are rumours that he's about to give up in Ohio, which would mean that this one's pretty much over.

Tully Mars 10-04-2008 02:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by guyy (Post 2538587)
Well, he is losing. I think his internals said what i've been saying about Michigan for a while: he had no chance. Given that he has a fight in Indiana (which is simply amazing), that he's now losing ground in Ohio, Virginia, NC, that Iowa (which went for Bush in '04) is out of reach... he had to go on the defensive. He simply had no choice.

There are rumours that he's about to give up in Ohio, which would mean that this one's pretty much over.

Very interesting. Haven't been watching the state by state match ups that close. I agree if he's cooked in Ohio he's cooked. Any particular place you're hearing these rumored Ohio towel toss?

Just went and took a glanced at Real Clear Politics and the polls there. McCain was up in Florida by over 6pts on 9/16 now he's down by 3pts. He can't win if he doesn't win Florida, IMO.

I don't think this financial crisis (if it is a crisis) has been good for McCain at all.

guyy 10-04-2008 03:55 PM

Tully -- it was someone involved in the campaign in Wisconsin. I don't really believe it, because if McCain folds in Ohio, he really has no chance -- even with Florida. He could even take MN & WI & Fla. (doubtful), yet still lose if he can't take Ohio. All Obama would have to do is seal the deal in New Mexico and Colorado, where he is doing pretty well.

On the other hand, that abandoning Ohio is even a rumour suggests that he is in deep shit.

Tully Mars 10-04-2008 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by guyy (Post 2538634)
Tully -- it was someone involved in the campaign in Wisconsin. I don't really believe it, because if McCain folds in Ohio, he really has no chance -- even with Florida. He could even take MN & WI & Fla. (doubtful), yet still lose if he can't take Ohio. All Obama would have to do is seal the deal in New Mexico and Colorado, where he is doing pretty well.

On the other hand, that abandoning Ohio is even a rumour suggests that he is in deep shit.

Take a gander over at RCP and their polls. If Obama takes all the states he's got solid, leaning his way and even wins a state like Virginia then McCain is toast. That means Obama could lose Florida and Ohio and still get over the 270 mark.

This is some the Obama people have proved themselves at, where and how many votes specifically it takes to win. They caught Hilary flat footed and she never recovered, IMHO.

guyy 10-04-2008 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tully Mars (Post 2538646)
Take a gander over at RCP and their polls. If Obama takes all the states he's got solid, leaning his way and even wins a state like Virginia then McCain is toast. That means Obama could lose Florida and Ohio and still get over the 270 mark.

You're right. If Obama can hold on to the states he has, then he only needs to pick up 6 more electoral votes. These could come from any one of the seven toss-up states. Those are: Virginia, N. Carolina, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, Missouri, or Colorado. (Nevada is very close, too, but it only has 5 electoral votes.)

McCain has to win all of those states, or win most of them and pry away an Obama state or two. Given Obama's funding advantage, that's going to be very difficult. I wouldn't call him toast quite yet, but it doesn't look good for him.

Paq 10-09-2008 06:40 PM

wow
http://i219.photobucket.com/albums/c...54bc0adc5d.jpg

and i thought bush didn't do that well...i was wrong :)

pig 10-10-2008 03:59 AM

paq: that can't be real, and how did it get leaked?

Tully Mars 10-10-2008 04:29 AM

That was my thought too pig. People were releasing Bush Jr's IQ scores at 91. That turned out to be BS, I think this will be too.

However I still wonder why she went to so many colleges to get her degree.

pig 10-10-2008 05:38 AM

if it is true, and people focus on it, it will play nicely into the liberal elitism angle.

Poppinjay 10-10-2008 05:50 AM

Palin's IQ is 116. That puts her in the "bright" category.

roachboy 10-10-2008 06:48 AM

i had a dream the other night from which i only remember a fragment.
i was standing at the end of a bowling alley watching a ball roll up the lane. it would rotate twice as a ball, then switch to sarah palin's head. sarah palin's head would rotate once and switch back into being a bowling ball. this happened several times.

like i said, i don't remember anything else directly. the score of the game seemed indifferent, and whatever else happened was such that it was equally plausible that i had launched the ball down the lane or that i just happened to occupy the viewpoint of someone else who had launched the ball down the lane.

the bowling ball/sarah palin's head did not seem particularly bright or not bright.
it just rolled along the wood of the lane, switching back and forth, over and over.

Paq 10-10-2008 08:11 AM

WikiAnswers - What was sarah palin's SAT score this is about the most reasonable assumption that can be made IF the pic in question isn't true.

Quote:

You're not going to be able to find that information available to the general public, but you will be able to tell, from looking at her school, what type of score, generally, she received. Because it is unlikely that she would have chosen a school with worse SAT score averages than she received, it's fair to assume that her SAT is within the average range for the first school she chose.

Palin went to five universities in six years to get a four year degree.

Her first college, Hawaii Pacific University, has average SAT scores which show their average student is less intelligent than the average person.
While the average score is 500 on each of the two SAT categories, verbal and math, HPU's average scores are:
Average SAT scores: V 487 M 488 (Source: http://www.collegeprofiles.com/hawaiipacific.htm)

Then, for reasons which are not disclosed, she withdrew and enrolled in a series of schools over six years before finally graduating from University of Idaho with a Bachelors of Science. The average SAT scores from U of I are:

University of Idaho
549 Verbal
559 Math
23 ACT
the hawaiian university seems in line with the pic if you're going by 'first choices' but i've also read that the hawaiian university has no record of her ever attending....

hannukah harry 10-10-2008 10:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Poppinjay (Post 2542511)
Palin's IQ is 116. That puts her in the "bright" category.


the problem with IQ is it really doesn't tell us much. it says (at best) that some has 'x' capability. but if you're really bright, or even genius level based on IQ, and have no real interest in the world around you, it doesn't do you very much good.

i don't doubt that she's got at least some intelligence (how much can be argued), but she seems to have very little interest in the world around her outside of a very narrow area. if she were a scientist researching cancer cures or how to make drought resistant grain, taht'd be fine. but for a president or VP, that's not a good trait.


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