03-08-2008, 03:53 PM | #1 (permalink) |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Obama wins Wyoming
Obama won the Wyoming caucuses today.
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/23534864/ Yet another win in a caucus state. He maintains (and has for some time now) a lead in both the popular vote as well as pledged delegates. Yet I keep hearing Clinton and her people make claims like "We've won the larger states" or "We're winning in states that a Dem nominee needs to win to win the White House." Every talking head I've heard and every article I've read has stated neither he nor her can reach the needed number of delegates without the so called super delegates. But they also say she can not catch him in either the popular vote or the delegate count. This leaves her having to make arguments like those above. I think Obama needs to make a pitch to the super delegates like- "Yes, she's won some large states, so have we. And yes she's won some typically Dem states. The two things she hasn't won is the most votes or the most delegates. She seems to have the same problem with the definition of "win" that her husband had in determining what the definition of the word is "is."
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
03-08-2008, 04:17 PM | #2 (permalink) | |
Darth Papa
Location: Yonder
|
Quote:
In my opinion, what cost him the momentum into Texas and Ohio (although it turns out he won Texas) is that he let Clinton set the tone of the discussion. She went negative and he went defensive. What I want from him is a solid answer to her attacks, coupled with a "there you go again" style response about the culture of negative campaigning and old-style politics. He strayed from that message in the last couple weeks, and it's cost him. Frankly, the fervor I felt a few weeks ago has waned, as I've watched him go point for point and set aside the change/hope talk. I want him back to what worked, what inspired me about him. |
|
03-08-2008, 05:13 PM | #4 (permalink) |
Baltimoron
Location: Beeeeeautiful Bel Air, MD
|
With all of this talk about super delegates and a close vote, I wonder if the Democrats can support a candidate that doesn't win the popular vote and only wins the delegate count because of a bunch of party cronies?
This is meant to be half-sarcastic, but it is also an honest question.
__________________
"Final thought: I just rented Michael Moore's Bowling for Columbine. Frankly, it was the worst sports movie I've ever seen." --Peter Schmuck, The (Baltimore) Sun |
03-08-2008, 05:15 PM | #5 (permalink) | ||
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
I blame the momentum loss on Clinton's lies, whining and complete bullshit. That and the press' willingness to play along with her games. Clinton whines about Obama getting preferential when the truth is if he'd lost 12 races in a row every major news outlet would have pulled their "A" team and stopped even pretending to take him seriously. I'd be willing to bet they'd have made that move after 6-8 loses. Clinton shows one face at the debate then the next day screams "shame on you!" about a mailer... a mailer she knew about for at least a week. She states she has all the respect in the world for her opponent and that who ever wins the nomination the country will be better off then another GOP term. Within days she's claiming she and McCain are qualified by their experience but the only experience Obama has is he gave a speech. She then proceeds to call (or have her people call) Obama a two-faced flip-flopper. And I blame Obama for not responding to this BS. One of his top advisers resigned because she stated she thought Clinton was a monster. If I were Obama I would not have let her quit. I would have released a press statement saying he didn't personally feel that way but given the current heat level between the two campaigns and Clinton's recent behavior he could certainly see how someone could feel that way. Basically I think he could have found a real polite way to say if you act like an ass often enough a percentage of people are going to begin to assume it's not an act. Quote:
"It's time the media asked Hillary one simple question: Who is more qualified to be president, John McCain or Barack Obama. Ask her. Then let's see if she weasels out of it or defends the Democrat." Hillary, at this point, will say anything to get elected. She's like a kid on the play ground who owns, or in this case thinks she owns, the ball. Either she gets her way or she takes her ball and goes home. Some one needs to tell her it's not her ball. Who that someone is? I have no idea. Everything she's doing and saying is only hurting the Dems and helping the GOP.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club Last edited by Tully Mars; 03-08-2008 at 05:26 PM.. Reason: Automerged Doublepost |
||
03-08-2008, 08:51 PM | #6 (permalink) | |
Darth Papa
Location: Yonder
|
Quote:
ANYTHING Clinton says can be deflected simply by Obama saying, "Look, that's you going negative. That's you doing politics the old way, the way you and your husband became such huge champions of more than 15 years ago. It's time for something new in Washington, and I'm it. I'm not going to go negative on you, Hillary. No matter how hard you try to get me to, I'm not doing it. With a rising wave of American mandate at my back, I'm building a political culture based on understanding and respect, and I challenge you to do the same. And your failure to do that will only demonstrate your unwillingness or inability to rise above the past." He's lost his way in the last couple weeks. He's forgotten the message that had him develop such a groundswell of support, and instead he got pulled into defending himself against attacks. The lure of old-school politics is strong! He's got to be stronger! |
|
03-09-2008, 03:02 AM | #7 (permalink) | ||
Human
Administrator
Location: Chicago
|
Unfortunately, it's near impossible for Obama to beat Clinton at her game. Not when she's willing to go so far as to praise McCain over her own Democratic colleague. Obama's best bet is not to play.
As for this concept that Clinton's wins are somehow more meaningful, I think "kos" described the situation fairly well... http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/20...557/770/472129 Quote:
__________________
Le temps détruit tout "Musicians are the carriers and communicators of spirit in the most immediate sense." - Kurt Elling |
||
03-09-2008, 05:55 AM | #8 (permalink) | |
Darth Papa
Location: Yonder
|
Quote:
|
|
03-09-2008, 07:40 AM | #9 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
I'm not suggesting he follow her into a negative rat hole. I simply think he should respond in a way that points out she's being negative and then move out of her way and let her fall on her own words. I do believe he needs to point out, or have someone point out, the absurd comments and claims she's making. I mean think about it- you a have person claiming to be winning when they have fewer votes, less delegates and really no chance of catching up in either. Talk about spin. I don't think we're saying things that much different from each other. It seems we disagree on the more on the wording then the message.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-09-2008, 08:18 AM | #10 (permalink) |
Easy Rider
Location: Moscow on the Ohio
|
Obama's campaign should point out to the super delegates that there may be a time bomb waiting to drop when Hillary releases her tax returns. She said she would release them before the general. Of course this could backfire if there is nothing damaging in them and I can't imagine she would even run if there was but who knows. Perhaps it has something to do with where and how Bill is getting his income. As I recall they would not release them once before when they showed a 10,000% profit in an unusual cattle future trade.
|
03-09-2008, 08:30 AM | #11 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-09-2008, 08:33 AM | #12 (permalink) | |
Darth Papa
Location: Yonder
|
Quote:
|
|
03-09-2008, 08:45 AM | #13 (permalink) |
Sir, I have a plan...
Location: 38S NC20943324
|
I love watching a political party tear itself to pieces from the inside. I wasn't sure which one would self-destruct first, and I really didn't care. I'm just hoping this is the beginning of the end of the two party system. Thanks, democrats, for having the vision (or whatever) to move this country forward.
__________________
Fortunato became immured to the sound of the trowel after a while.
|
03-09-2008, 01:22 PM | #14 (permalink) | |
Location: Washington DC
|
Quote:
Clinton is acting out of desperation so her tactics are expected, and again, nothing new. At the very least, it will harden Obama up for the fall campaign, assuming he is the candidate. But Clinton also has a very strong argument in her favor that the super-delegates cant ignore, particularly if she wins Michigan and Florida in re-votes. That would give her the four states - FL, OH, MI, PA - three of which the Democrat MUST win in November to reach the magic electoral number. And, an Obama-Clinton (or Clinton-Obama) ticket is not at all out of the realm of possibility. The whole scenario is playing out somewhat like 1960. A dynamic, young, inexperienced Senator against the seasoned, veteran insider in the party fighting for the nomination....and the party and country united behind JKF/LBJ.
__________________
"The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire Last edited by dc_dux; 03-09-2008 at 01:34 PM.. |
|
03-09-2008, 01:48 PM | #16 (permalink) | |
Location: Washington DC
|
Quote:
__________________
"The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire |
|
03-09-2008, 02:03 PM | #17 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
I wouldn't exactly call 49.7% to 49.5% a united country. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_F....ntial_election
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-09-2008, 02:22 PM | #18 (permalink) | |
Location: Washington DC
|
Quote:
In 1961, Kennedy recorded poll numbers in the 80s....not seen by any President since then. And this was even while the Dems had actually lost seats in the House in the '60 election and JFK taking on (albeit, half-heartedly) the highly controversial issue of race relations and support of Eisenhower's Vietnam policy.
__________________
"The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire Last edited by dc_dux; 03-09-2008 at 02:26 PM.. |
|
03-09-2008, 02:32 PM | #19 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
Ok, I'm listening. Got a link to these poll numbers?
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-09-2008, 02:38 PM | #20 (permalink) | ||
Location: Washington DC
|
Quote:
But here is an article from Time on naming JFK as the person of the year for 1961. Quote:
__________________
"The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire |
||
03-09-2008, 03:00 PM | #21 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Approval_rating I concede your point. I'm a little surprised with his numbers given the events of the time. But considering I was 6mos. old when he was shot- maybe I don't have a completely clear picture of the era.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-12-2008, 06:30 AM | #23 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
Since the press is so in love with Obama it's kind of strange this is the headline of every major press web site.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-12-2008, 07:46 AM | #24 (permalink) |
Lover - Protector - Teacher
Location: Seattle, WA
|
Who blames the media for loving Obama?
How can you not?
__________________
"I'm typing on a computer of science, which is being sent by science wires to a little science server where you can access it. I'm not typing on a computer of philosophy or religion or whatever other thing you think can be used to understand the universe because they're a poor substitute in the role of understanding the universe which exists independent from ourselves." - Willravel |
03-12-2008, 08:00 AM | #25 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
Clinton and her minions have been blaming the media, in part, for her loses for sometime now.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-12-2008, 08:11 AM | #26 (permalink) | |
... a sort of licensed troubleshooter.
|
Quote:
|
|
03-12-2008, 10:55 AM | #27 (permalink) | |
Human
Administrator
Location: Chicago
|
Quote:
Now there's Mississippi, and what are the press reporting? Aside for the obligatory mention that Obama won, they're also quick to point out that he "only" got 25% of the white vote. What they aren't quick to point out is that Clinton only got 10% of the black vote. So, in reality, Obama did a better job of crossing over racial lines than Clinton did. But that's not the spin you'll see in the stories.
__________________
Le temps détruit tout "Musicians are the carriers and communicators of spirit in the most immediate sense." - Kurt Elling |
|
03-12-2008, 01:14 PM | #28 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
I again assert that if the tables were turned and she'd won the number of states and delegates that he has since Feb. 5th no major news outlet would be treating him as a serious option.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-13-2008, 05:29 AM | #29 (permalink) | |
Muffled
Location: Camazotz
|
Quote:
__________________
it's quiet in here |
|
03-13-2008, 06:53 AM | #30 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-13-2008, 10:28 AM | #31 (permalink) |
Human
Administrator
Location: Chicago
|
heh, yeah I'd be interested in seeing the source for that, but I can easily believe it.
__________________
Le temps détruit tout "Musicians are the carriers and communicators of spirit in the most immediate sense." - Kurt Elling |
03-13-2008, 02:04 PM | #32 (permalink) |
Location: Washington DC
|
I assume those stats come from exit polls in Mississippi.
CNN exit polls have different numbers - seven pages of data on white/black vote (pg 4), Repubs in Dem primary, etc. http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/pri.../epolls/#MSDEM
__________________
"The perfect is the enemy of the good." ~ Voltaire |
03-13-2008, 04:25 PM | #33 (permalink) | |
Living in a Warmer Insanity
Super Moderator
Location: Yucatan, Mexico
|
Quote:
Interesting, thanks.
__________________
I used to drink to drown my sorrows, but the damned things have learned how to swim- Frida Kahlo Vice President Starkizzer Fan Club |
|
03-17-2008, 11:23 AM | #35 (permalink) |
Nothing
|
Pure personality politics... Beautiful spectacle.
Enjoy your circus. *eats bread*
__________________
"I do not agree that the dog in a manger has the final right to the manger even though he may have lain there for a very long time. I do not admit that right. I do not admit for instance, that a great wrong has been done to the Red Indians of America or the black people of Australia. I do not admit that a wrong has been done to these people by the fact that a stronger race, a higher-grade race, a more worldly wise race to put it that way, has come in and taken their place." - Winston Churchill, 1937 --{ORLY?}-- |
Tags |
obama, wins, wyoming |
|
|