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Willravel 04-13-2008 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottopilot
Is this a saddistic request for entertainment value? :)

Which post are you referring?

Hardy har har. Okay, touche.
Quote:

Originally Posted by host
how do you know what you know? You were wrong about WMD, about al Qaeda being in Iraq with Saddam's "approval", "before we got there"....wrong about Iran's "ongoing" nuclear weapons development program.... why don't these "setbacks" trigger any reticence, any reflection about your political opinions?


ottopilot 04-13-2008 06:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by roachboy
i think i said that too otto, though i can't tell if that means we agree on this or not. maybe it's the last sentence, following on whatever the hell just happened above.

Yeah ... Definitely the last line.

But I was telling willravel the other day ... I agree with some of you on many subjects, I often just don't have much to add. It's these lopsided conspiracies and broad generalizations that bring me from out of the woodwork. I've been trying to avoid flame feuds lately. I probably need to jump in on things I agree with more often to show support.

Willravel 04-13-2008 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottopilot
Yeah ... Definitely the last line.

But I was telling willravel the other day ... I agree with some of you on many subjects, I often just don't have much to add. It's these lopsided conspiracies and broad generalizations that bring me from out of the woodwork. I've been trying to avoid flame feuds lately. I probably need to jump in on things I agree with more often to show support.

One does get enveloped into a sea of liberal when they agree with the majority, I know. Still, it's nice to be a part of the big group when you agree with them.

host 04-13-2008 06:30 PM

A distillation of my last post:

Quote:

http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/relea...0080410-2.html
For Immediate Release
Office of the Press Secretary
April 10, 2008

President Bush Discusses Iraq

....The regime in Tehran also has a choice to make. It can live in peace with its neighbor, enjoy strong economic and cultural and religious ties. Or <h3>it can continue to arm and train and fund illegal militant groups</h3>
, which are terrorizing the Iraqi people and turning them against Iran. If Iran makes the right choice, America will encourage a peaceful relationship between Iran and Iraq. Iran makes the wrong choice, America will act to protect our interests, and our troops, and our Iraqi partners....

Quote:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...301782_pf.html
Iraq Intensifies Efforts to Expel Iranian Group
Though Labeled Terrorist, MEK Has Updated U.S. on Tehran's Nuclear Program

By Ernesto Londoño and Saad al-Izzi
Washington Post Staff Writers
Wednesday, March 14, 2007; A10

BAGHDAD -- For three years, thousands of members of a militant group dedicated to overthrowing Iran's theocracy have lived in a sprawling compound north of Baghdad <h3>under the protection of the U.S. military.

American soldiers chauffeur top leaders of the group, known as the Mujaheddin-e Khalq, or MEK, to and from their compound, where they have hosted dozens of visitors in an energetic campaign to persuade the State Department to stop designating the group as a terrorist organization.</h3>


Now the Iraqi government is intensifying its efforts to evict the 3,800 or so members of the group who live in Iraq, although U.S. officials say they are in no hurry to change their policy toward the MEK,
which has been a prime source of information about Iran's nuclear program....
Witness the president of the United States, just the other day, accusing Iran of "continue to arm and train and fund illegal militant groups", while the US military in Iraq coddles a US state dept. designated terrorist group, allowing it to buy time while it tries to convince the state dept. not to designate it as a "terrorist" organization, because, even though <h3>the information the terrorist group provides to the US government on Iran's nuclear weapons development clearly contradicts the conclusions in the last two NIEs,</h3> the president and the vice-president clearly agree with the propaganda of the terrorist group it has permitted the US military in Iraq, to coddle, against the express wishes of the Iraqi government.

<h2>People !!! Our troops are dying to maintain this dysfunction !!!</h2>
Quote:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...080101453.html
Iran Is Judged 10 Years From Nuclear Bomb
U.S. Intelligence Review Contrasts With Administration Statements

By Dafna Linzer
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, August 2, 2005; Page A01

A major U.S. intelligence review has projected that Iran is about a decade away from manufacturing the key ingredient for a nuclear weapon, roughly doubling the previous estimate of five years, according to government sources with firsthand knowledge of the new analysis....


http://thinkprogress.org/2007/12/03/iran-white-house/

<a href="http://thinkprogress.org/2007/12/03/nie-iran/">Despite Knowledge That Iran Halted Nuke Program</a>, White House Continued To Warn Of False Threat»

The National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) released today concludes that “in fall 2003, Tehran halted its nuclear weapons program.” It adds that “Tehran had not restarted its nuclear weapons program as of mid-2007,” and the country is “less determined to develop nuclear weapons than we have been judging since 2005.”...

ottopilot 04-14-2008 02:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by willravel
One does get enveloped into a sea of liberal when they agree with the majority, I know. Still, it's nice to be a part of the big group when you agree with them.

Regarding the questions: Because of the way host frames his questions, I'm not the guy to ask. I see a much bigger picture than rabidly obsessing about evil GW Bush and the evil neo-cons ... one worn spoke on a giant wheel. If someone is REALLY interested in getting some answers, I say why stop there? There are multifaceted and multidimensional interests at play on every level of the game. In keeping with my ongoing self-rehabilitation on TFP ... and until host is willing to venture beyond tediously litigating his obsession ... I'm not interested.

Tully Mars 04-14-2008 06:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottopilot
Regarding the questions: Because of the way host frames his questions, I'm not the guy to ask. I see a much bigger picture than rabidly obsessing about evil GW Bush and the evil neo-cons ... one worn spoke on a giant wheel. If someone is REALLY interested in getting some answers, I say why stop there? There are multifaceted and multidimensional interests at play on every level of the game. In keeping with my ongoing self-rehabilitation on TFP ... and until host is willing to venture beyond tediously litigating his obsession ... I'm not interested.

One giant spoke on a worn wheel? I'd say Bush and the neo-cons make up an entire wheel.

Seriously what have these people accomplished? What have they done to make this country better? What has turned out the way they told us it would? Why would anyone still believe anything they say.

roachboy 04-14-2008 06:35 AM

i think that the historical bloc we are looking at here extends back to the formation of the neo-con movement itself, so we are looking at the mid-to-late 1970s with the reagan administration as the surfacing of the Beast. this is the period of the construction of neoliberalism out of thatcherite and reagan-cadre political/ideological materials. what the bush people appear to be the endgame of is the hegemonic period of neoliberalism (noeliberalism being the term used to refer to what you see sometimes called "market fundamentalism" in the states--for some reason, this ideology has gone largely unnamed here, which i think is a HUGE problem because it explains such purchase as this vacant ideology still has on folk--the don't necessarily see it as an ideology, but more as just how the world operates...the problems with the bush administration, had they been more competent, could have been confined to problems for the right--but i think it's much bigger than that now, given the convergence of the financial system crisis and the political fallout from the idiocy of the "war on terror"--this not even to begin really thinking about what it would mean were these asshats to invade or bomb iran...)

i don't see any particular difference ideologically between the reagan, bush 1, clinton and bush 2 administrations--i see differences in tactics within the same basic conceptual world. clinton is a neoliberal who favored multi-lateral arrangements; bush a neo-liberal who favors bilateral agreements. in the difference between the two lay the space of radical nationalism, that lovely neofascist element that the bush people used and used and used in a context of such radical and sustained ineptness that they've managed to shatter much of its appeal...

if you look at the bush people in this longer-term context, much of what's happening makes more sense--and the formation of the neo-con movement and its rise to maxmimized incompetence is a central organizing feature.

that's a frame.

ottopilot 04-14-2008 06:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tully Mars
One giant spoke on a worn wheel? I'd say Bush and the neo-cons make up an entire wheel.

Seriously what have these people accomplished? What have they done to make this country better? What has turned out the way they told us it would? Why would anyone still believe anything they say.

edit ... Tully Mars, sorry for the jab in my original response.

What people? And what do you assume has not been accomplished? The point is, "they" have accomplished much. Try broadening your sense of "they". What's obvious is the tip of the iceberg, I'm not defending anyone here.

"Move ahead, try to detect it" Devo - Whip It

Quote:

Originally Posted by roachboy
i think that the historical bloc we are looking at here extends back to the formation of the neo-con movement itself, so we are looking at the mid-to-late 1970s with the reagan administration as the surfacing of the Beast. this is the period of the construction of neoliberalism out of thatcherite and reagan-cadre political/ideological materials. what the bush people appear to be the endgame of is the hegemonic period of neoliberalism (noeliberalism being the term used to refer to what you see sometimes called "market fundamentalism" in the states--for some reason, this ideology has gone largely unnamed here, which i think is a HUGE problem because it explains such purchase as this vacant ideology still has on folk--the don't necessarily see it as an ideology, but more as just how the world operates...the problems with the bush administration, had they been more competent, could have been confined to problems for the right--but i think it's much bigger than that now, given the convergence of the financial system crisis and the political fallout from the idiocy of the "war on terror"--this not even to begin really thinking about what it would mean were these asshats to invade or bomb iran...)

i don't see any particular difference ideologically between the reagan, bush 1, clinton and bush 2 administrations--i see differences in tactics within the same basic conceptual world. clinton is a neoliberal who favored multi-lateral arrangements; bush a neo-liberal who favors bilateral agreements. in the difference between the two lay the space of radical nationalism, that lovely neofascist element that the bush people used and used and used in a context of such radical and sustained ineptness that they've managed to shatter much of its appeal...

if you look at the bush people in this longer-term context, much of what's happening makes more sense--and the formation of the neo-con movement and its rise to maxmimized incompetence is a central organizing feature.

that's a frame.

That's a reasonable approach ... however, and we've explored this as well, maintaining the status quo in the media (complicit or unaware), global corporatism, and the like. I see lot's of layers managing perceptions and providing/indulging diversions. We can only guess at the end game ... is there an end game?

host 04-14-2008 06:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tully Mars
One giant spoke on a worn wheel? I'd say Bush and the neo-cons make up an entire wheel.

Seriously what have these people accomplished? What have they done to make this country better? What has turned out the way they told us it would? Why would anyone still believe anything they say.

It isn't only that they have not gotten anything right....they don't seem to even want to get it right.

The 2005 and 2007 NIEs refute the core claims of their "prime source", and they're pissing off the Iraqi government as they coddle these terrorists who worked closely with Saddam....terrorists who the administration linked to Saddam in 2002 as a reason to justify invading Iraq!
Quote:

BAGHDAD -- For three years, thousands of members of a militant group dedicated to overthrowing Iran's theocracy have lived in a sprawling compound north of Baghdad
under the protection of the U.S. military.

American soldiers chauffeur top leaders of the group, known as the Mujaheddin-e Khalq, or MEK, to and from their compound, where they have hosted dozens of visitors in an energetic campaign to persuade the State Department to stop designating the group as a terrorist organization.....

.....U.S. officials say they are in no hurry to change their policy toward the MEK, which has been a prime source of information about Iran's nuclear program........
There was no coherence in Bush's statement the other, day, accusing Iran of supporting "militants", as the US supports MEK on the ground, but brands it as a terrorist organization, Bush quotes it's former spokesman's propaganda, and his government permits the man to live here and work for Foxnews, posting new pro-Mek/NCRI "reports" on Fox, several times per month.

Bush talks of reducing Iranian government influence on Iraqi shi'a, even as his policies refuse to recognize the strength of the ties, and deliberately aggravate our own government's relations with the shi'a majority and it's government. MEK has not provided accurate information on Iranian nuclear weapons development, according to two NIEs in a row.....both fiercely challenged by Cheney and his staff....suppressed, delayed, altered....but finally realeased.

So, why not comply with Iraqi demands, and stop supporting MEK?

Bush has come right out and discredited the latest NIE...he has his "own intelligence".....is he fucking nuts?
Quote:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn...401233_pf.html
<B>Bush Chooses What to Believe</B></FONT><br/><P><FONT SIZE="-1">By Dan Froomkin<br/>Special to washingtonpost.com<br/>Monday, January 14, 2008; 2:06 PM<BR></FONT><P><p>President Bush has apparently found a way to reconcile his bellicose views of Iran with the recent National Intelligence Estimate that concluded Iran shelved its nuclear weapons program four years ago.</p><p><a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/91673" target="">Michael Hirsh</a> writes for Newsweek that &quot;in private conversations with Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert last week, the president all but disowned the document, said a senior administration official who accompanied Bush on his six-nation trip to the Mideast. 'He told the Israelis that he can't control what the intelligence community says, but that [the NIE's] conclusions don't reflect his own views' about Iran's nuclear-weapons program, said the official, who would discuss intelligence matters only on the condition of anonymity. . . .</p><p>&quot;A source close to the Israeli leader said Bush first briefed Olmert about the intelligence estimate a week before it was published, during talks in Washington that preceded the Annapolis peace conference in November. According to the source, who also refused to be named discussing the issue, Bush told Olmert he was uncomfortable with the findings and seemed almost apologetic.&quot;</p><B>Bush's Fresh Round of Sabre Rattling</B><br/><p><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/13/AR2008011300342.html?hpid=topnews" target="">Michael Abramowitz</a> writes in the Washington Post from Abu Dhabi: &quot;President Bush on Sunday accused Iran of undermining peace in Lebanon, funding terrorist groups, trying to intimidate its neighbors and refusing to be open about its nuclear program and ambitions.</p><p>&quot;In a <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/01/20080113-1.html" target="">speech</a> described by the White House as the centerpiece of his eight-day trip to the Middle East, Bush urged other countries to help the United States 'confront this danger before it is too late.'. . .</p><p>&quot;Bush is trying to persuade Arab countries to join U.S. efforts to pressure Iran, though many appear ambivalent about the administration's campaign following a new U.S. intelligence report that concluded Iran stopped a nuclear weapons program in 2003.&quot;</p><B>About That NIE</B><br/><p><a href="http://online.wsj.com/public/article/SB120027737099687613.html?mod=blog" target="">Jay Solomon and Siobhan Gorman</a> write in the Wall Street Journal: &quot;The December report by the U.S.'s top spy office stating Iran had abandoned its effort to build nuclear weapons was one of the biggest U-turns in the recent history of U.S. intelligence.</p><p>&quot;Behind the scenes in Washington, it marked a reversal of a different sort: After years in which Bush appointees and White House staff won out on foreign-policy matters, career staffers in the intelligence world had scored a big victory. . . .</p><p>&quot;In the case of the Iran report, the about-face was made possible in part by a 2004 restructuring that gave intelligence chiefs more autonomy.&quot;</p><p>Solomon and Gorman write that the result of &quot;new procedures for vetting and authenticating reports&quot; was that &quot;the White House was essentially locked out of the process. This marked a big change from the years leading up to the Iraq war, when Mr. Cheney and his top aide, I. Lewis 'Scooter' Libby, made repeated visits to Langley to query analysts about their findings on Iraq's weapons capabilities.</p><p>&quot;Through the summer and fall of 2007, as rumors leaked, officials in Mr. Cheney's office and on Capitol Hill grew increasingly concerned about the report's possible conclusions, according to people working at the White House and on Capitol Hill. . . .</p><p>&quot;People in Vice President Cheney's office saw the Dec. 3 announcement as a death blow to their Iran policy. The report's authors 'knew how to pull the rug out from under us,' says a long-time aide to the vice president, referring to the way the key judgments were presented.&quot;</p><B>Cheney's Options</B><br/><p>But what if Cheney is still intent on taking military action against Iran before leaving office? (See, for instance, my June 4 column, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2007/06/04/BL2007060400819.html" target="">Cheney, By Proxy</a>, or my Aug. 10 column, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2007/08/10/BL2007081001161.html" target="">Cheney's Secret Escalation Plan?</a>)</p><p>With the nuclear argument diminished, he could push for an attack in response to some other Iranian provocation -- real or embellished. Or he could get Israel to make the move.</p><B>Provocation Watch</B><br/><p>Twice last week, Bush criticized an encounter between three enormous U.S. warships and five tiny Iranian motorboats as provocative and warned of &quot;serious consequences&quot; if it happens again. But the U.S. version of events continues to unravel.</p><p><a href="http://www.navytimes.com/news/2008/01/navy_hormuz_iran_radio_080111/" target="">Andrew Scutro and David Brown</a> write in the Navy Times: &quot;The threatening radio transmission heard at the end of a video showing harassing maneuvers by Iranian patrol boats in the Strait of Hormuz may have come from a locally famous heckler known among ship drivers as the 'Filipino Monkey.'&quot;</p><p>And <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/11/AR2008011103730.html" target="">Robin Wright and Ann Scott Tyson</a> write in The Washington Post: &quot;The small, boxlike objects dropped in the water by Iranian boats as they approached U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf on Sunday posed no threat to the American vessels, U.S. officials said yesterday, even as the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff charged that the incident reflects Iran's new tactics of asymmetric warfare.&quot;</p><B>Emboldened Israel</B><br/><p>And there's certainly no sign that Bush tried to dissuade the Israelis from attacking Iran's nuclear facilities. Quite the contrary.</p><p><a href="http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3493934,00.html" target="">Amnon Meranda</a> writes for Yedioth Aharonot: &quot;Israel will not accept a nuclear Iran and all options are being considered in this regard, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said Monday during a meeting of the Knesset's Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee. . . .</p><p>&quot;'Despite what has been said in the US National Intelligence Estimate, Iran was a danger and continues to be a danger. There is room to act in order to remove this danger, and the US is definitely aware of this,' the prime minister said Sunday during the weekly cabinet meeting. . . .</p><p>&quot;According to Olmert, although the US intelligence report concludes that Iran had halted its nuclear program, 'Our conclusions are not necessarily similar to what may be understood from the report's wording.</p><p>&quot;'As far as Israel is concerned, the Iranians are continuing their efforts to create unconventional abilities, and we must therefore use all means to stop them.'</p><p>&quot;The prime minister added that he had discussed the issue with President Bush. 'He too said, in the sharpest way, that Iran was and still is a danger in terms of its desire to create nuclear abilities, and this is where the conclusion on what should be done is derived from.. . . .</p><p>&quot;'I made it clear that Israel would not be able to accept a nuclear Iran, and there is no option being rejected in advance. Anything that could lead to the prevention of Iran's nuclearization is part of the legitimate context of dealing with the issue,' Olmert said.&quot;</p><B>Bush's Democracy Talk</B><br/><p><a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/01/13/AR2008011302848.html?hpid=topnews" target="">Michael Abramowitz</a> writes in The Washington Post about &quot;the sharp disappointment with Bush among democracy advocates and dissidents in the region, who were buoyed by Bush's clarion call in 2005 for freedom and democracy in the Middle East. They say the White House has backtracked because of a need to cultivate an alliance against Iran with the region's autocratic leaders and, perhaps, because elections in the Palestinian territories did not go the way it had wanted.&quot;</p><p>Bush is ostensibly placing the promotion of democracy and freedom at the top of his agenda as he makes his way through the Middle East. Writes Abramowitz: &quot;At every stop, from Jerusalem and Ramallah to Bahrain, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates, Bush has discussed the issue, although he has done so with politeness and courtesy to his hosts in a region where most of the countries practice some form of monarchy, or rule of one.&quot;</p><p>In his <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/01/20080113-1.html" target="">speech</a> in Abu Dhabi yesterday, Bush described the promotion of freedom as a key pillar of U.S. foreign policy and asserted that &quot;stability can only come through a free and just Middle East.&quot;</p><p>But, writes Abramowitz: &quot;The reaction in the region to Bush's speech appeared at best mixed, if cynical in some quarters, owing to a widespread belief that the president has practiced a double standard in refusing to recognize Hamas, the armed Islamic movement that won free elections in the Palestinian territories before seizing power in the Gaza Strip last summer. The U.S. government considers Hamas a terrorist group.</p><p>&quot;Many activists, meanwhile, say they believe the White House has flinched from aggressively challenging Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. . . .</p><p>&quot;Oraib al-Rantawi, director of the Al-Quds Center for Political Studies in Amman, Jordan, said reformers have lost faith in the White House, while governments in the region believe they can crack down on the opposition without fear of a stern reaction from the administration.</p><p>&quot;'Nobody believes anymore what Mr. Bush is saying,' he said.&quot;</p><p><a href="http://www.mcclatchydc.com/homepage/story/24721.html" target="">Hannah Allam</a> writes for McClatchy Newspapers: &quot;Bush appears unlikely, based on the regional reaction to his address, to find many Arabs to heed his alarms against Iran, a powerful neighbor and trading partner. Nor did many endorse his speech's other theme -- a vision of 'free and just society' featuring broad political participation and a voice for moderate Muslims in a region where money and family are common keys to leadership.</p><p>&quot;Even political analysts here who share Bush's democratic vision said that his speech painted over the daily reality for most inhabitants of the Middle East, an oil-rich region where power is largely inherited and human rights violations abound.</p><p>&quot;Whether chastising Iran or praising Palestinian elections, analysts said, Bush left out key facts that would have offered a messier -- and more true-to-life -- portrait of the modern Middle East. . . .</p><p>&quot;'You have all types of contradictions,' [Manar Shorbagy, an associate professor who teaches a course on U.S. politics at the American University in Cairo] said. 'Talking about freedom when you're occupying two countries in the region: Afghanistan and Iraq. Talking about justice while you're against the (Palestinian) right of return. Talking about democracy while you're against elected groups you don't like. . . . Was he listening to himself?'&quot;</p><B>What Bush Has in Mind for Iraq</B><br/><p>In a short interview with <a href="http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/21134540/vp/22607102#22607102" target="">David Gregory</a> on Friday, Bush indicated that he intends for U.S. forces to be in Iraq for the long term.</p><p>Gregory: &quot;John McCain has been saying on the campaign trail that the American people would accept U.S. troops remaining in Iraq for 100 years. Do you agree with that?&quot;</p><p>Bush: &quot;I -- I don't know if 100 years is the right number. That's a long time.&quot;</p><p>Gregory: &quot;Sort of long-term presence?&quot;</p><p>Bush: &quot;It could very well be. But it's going to be on the invitation of the Iraqi government. A long-term presence -- and again, I'm not exactly sure how you would define long-term, but it's --&quot;</p><p>Gregory: &quot;Ten years?&quot;</p><p>Bush: &quot;Yeah, it could easily be that, absolutely.&quot;</p><p>The president's cavalier attitude aside, what makes him so confident about what will happen long after he leaves office?</p><p>Newsweek's <a href="http://www.newsweek.com/id/91651" target="">Michael Hirsh</a> writes from Kuwait on Saturday: &quot;In <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/01/20080112-2.html" target="">remarks</a> to the traveling press, delivered from the Third Army operation command center here, Bush said that negotiations were about to begin on a long-term strategic partnership with the Iraqi government modeled on the accords the United States has with Kuwait and many other countries. [U.S. Ambassador to Iraq Ryan C.] Crocker, who flew in from Baghdad with [Gen. David] Petraeus to meet with the president, <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/01/20080112-6.html" target="">elaborated</a>: 'We're putting our team together now, making preparations in Washington,' he told reporters. 'The Iraqis are doing the same. And in the few weeks ahead, we would expect to get together to start this negotiating process.' The target date for concluding the agreement is July, says Gen. Doug Lute, Bush's Iraq coordinator in the White House -- in other words, just in time for the Democratic and Republican national conventions.</p><p>&quot;Most significant of all, the new partnership deal with Iraq, including a status of forces agreement that would then replace the existing Security Council mandate authorizing the presence of the U.S.-led multinational forces in Iraq, will become a sworn obligation for the next president. . . .</p><p>&quot;Last month, Sen. Hillary Clinton urged Bush not to commit to any such agreement without congressional approval. The president said nothing about that on Saturday, but Lute said last fall that the Iraqi agreement would not likely rise to the level of a formal treaty requiring Senate ratification. Even so, it would be difficult if not impossible for future presidents to unilaterally breach such a pact. . . .</p><p>&quot;The upshot is that the next president, Democrat or Republican, is likely to be handed a fait accompli that could well render moot his or her own elaborate withdrawal plans, especially the ones being considered by the two leading Democratic contenders, Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton.&quot;</p><p>For background, see my Nov. 27 column, <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/blog/2007/11/27/BL2007112701239.html" target="">Locking Us Into Iraq?</a></p><p>And here's Bush <a href="http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2008/01/20080112-3.html" target="">talking</a> to U.S. troops in Kuwait: &quot;There is no doubt in my mind that we will succeed. There is no doubt in my mind when history was written, the final page will say: Victory was achieved by the United States of America for the good of the world; that by doing the hard work now, we can look back and say, the United States of America is more secure, and generations of Americans will be able to live in peace.&quot;</p><B>Benchmark Watch</B>......
....and Ottopilot, considering the record of the administration since August, 2001, further aggravated by all of the lies they publicly told about the threat from Iran....right before they knew that the NIE would be released, your attempt in your response to make me look like I'm lowering the level of the discussion here, when you add nothing in your post but vague...."big picture", "higher level", nuances.....is amusing and quite telling.

Tully Mars 04-14-2008 06:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottopilot
Great, another non-reader making a non-point with a redirected misquote. What people? And what do you assume has not been accomplished? The point is, "they" have accomplished much. Try broadening your sense of "they". What's obvious is the tip of the iceberg, I'm not defending anyone here.

"Move ahead, try to detect it" Devo - Whip It


Actually I read a lot.

I read this:

What people? And what do you assume has not been accomplished? The point is, "they" have accomplished much.


In three sentences you seemingly don't know who "they are" and then proceed to exclaim "they" have accomplished much. And I'm the one making a "non-point."?

As to you're not defending anyone, sometimes the best defense is offense. You attack rather often.

host 04-14-2008 06:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by host
....how do you know what you know? You were wrong about WMD, about al Qaeda being in Iraq with Saddam's "approval", "before we got there"....wrong about Iran's "ongoing" nuclear weapons development program.... why don't these "setbacks" trigger any reticence, any reflection about your political opinions?

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ottopilot
Regarding the questions: Because of the way host frames his questions, I'm not the guy to ask. I see a much bigger picture than rabidly obsessing about evil GW Bush and the evil neo-cons ... one worn spoke on a giant wheel. If someone is REALLY interested in getting some answers, I say why stop there?...

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ottopilot
...What people? And what do you assume has not been accomplished? The point is, "they" have accomplished much. Try broadening your sense of "they". What's obvious is the tip of the iceberg, I'm not defending anyone here....

Thanks Ottopilot.....at least you bother to post vague responses. The silence from the rest of what was once a "Mighty Wurlitzer", has lately only been broken to bring us a piece authored by Norman Podheretz to read....
Quote:

Originally Posted by Norman Podheretz
....The upshot is that if Iran is to be prevented from becoming a nuclear power, it is the United States that will have to do the preventing, to do it by means of a bombing campaign, and (because “If we wait for threats to fully materialize, we will have waited too long”) to do it soon.

When I first predicted a year or so ago that Bush would bomb Iran’s nuclear facilities once he had played out the futile diplomatic string, the obstacles that stood in his way were great but they did not strike me as insurmountable. <h3>Now, thanks in large part to the new NIE, they have grown so formidable that I can only stick by my prediction with what the NIE itself would describe as “low-to-moderate confidence.”</h3> For Bush is right about the resemblance between 2008 and 1938. In 1938, as Winston Churchill later said, Hitler could still have been stopped at a relatively low price and many millions of lives could have been saved if England and France had not deceived themselves about the realities of their situation. Mutatis mutandis, it is the same in 2008, when Iran can still be stopped from getting the bomb and even more millions of lives can be saved—but only provided that we summon up the courage to see what is staring us in the face and then act on what we see...

Ahhh...the pesty, but apparently irrelevant new detail that the NIE finds no imminent danger of Iran producing a nuclear weapon! It couldn't be the hopelessly flawed, paranoid, "crimes against humanity be damned", blind ambition and aggression of Podheretz & Co., that is the real problem....it has to be that damned NIE that gets in the way of neocon "reality"!

The US used to believe that preemptive military attack was a war crime....now we have people on this forum. and a US president who seem not even to believe that an NIE defining the imminent threat is a necessary prelude to justify such an attack!

Yet, according to Ottopilot, "the big picture", means that host's posts are the flaw....host asks the wrong questions....too narrow and Bush-centric!

ottopilot 04-14-2008 06:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Tully Mars
Actually I read a lot.

I read this:

What people? And what do you assume has not been accomplished? The point is, "they" have accomplished much.


In three sentences you seemingly don't know who "they are" and then proceed to exclaim "they" have accomplished much. And I'm the one making a "non-point."?

As to you're not defending anyone, sometimes the best defense is offense. You attack rather often.

Fair enough, please accept my apology ... I meant for some of my questions to be philosophical questions. The "what people" was asking for a clarification of your question. The "they" I refer to are players on a broader spectrum. My earlier comments to roachboy were:
Quote:

That's a reasonable approach ... however, and we've explored this as well, maintaining the status quo in the media (complicit or unaware), global corporatism, and the like. I see lot's of layers managing perceptions and providing/indulging diversions. We can only guess at the end game ... is there an end game?
I was in agreement with not liking what Bush and others have done. However, I see cause and effect in these matters with broader diversity.

Regarding attacks, I believe you'll find that I challenge more than attack. If you felt attacked, again, my apologies.

host 04-14-2008 07:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottopilot
Fair enough, please accept my apology ... I meant for some of my questions to be philosophical questions. The "what people" was asking for a clarification of your question. The "they" I refer to are players on a broader spectrum. My earlier comments to roachboy were:
I was in agreement with not liking what Bush and others have done. However, I see cause and effect in these matters with broader diversity.

Regarding attacks, I believe you'll find that I challenge more than attack. If you felt attacked, again, my apologies.

Still....three posts, and not one single specific from you.....

Wait....there is one:
Quote:

Originally Posted by ottopilot
.....Regarding the questions: Because of the way host frames his questions, I'm not the guy to ask. I see a much bigger picture than rabidly obsessing about evil GW Bush and the evil neo-cons ......

I share....to a fault in the eyes of some....what are you sharing?

highthief 07-11-2008 07:41 AM

It always amazes me how bent out of shape Americans get about Iran.

Just how many nations has Iran invaded over the last 50 or 60 years?

Baraka_Guru 07-11-2008 08:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by highthief
Just how many nations has Iran invaded over the last 50 or 60 years?

Considering the hostile neighbourhood? It's surprising.

But, hey, they went through a revolution and were brutalized by Iraq.... they've been kind of busy.

highthief 07-11-2008 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Baraka_Guru
Considering the hostile neighbourhood? It's surprising.

But, hey, they went through a revolution and were brutalized by Iraq.... they've been kind of busy.

The point being Iran hasn't invaded anyone. They sit there, occasionally rattle a sabre or some students hold a few Americans hostage ... their record says they are a relatively peaceful nation. Not to say they don't agitate but that's a pretty minor crime.

Meanwhile, the US and the UK - how many nations have they invaded in the same time frame?

xepherys 07-11-2008 07:18 PM

Well, here's something interesting for you... I'm not sure if the allegations about Iran are true or not, but I can assure you 100% that as of Spring 2007, the US was prepared to send troops into Iran from Afghanistan. In fact, there was a troop mass-up on the western border of Afghanistan for exactly that reason... in areas that are not under US-led forces (but rather other coalition forces). Who knows what happened, but the troops were redisbursed into US-occupied areas about mid-summer.

If you want the next big war, look at Pakistan. With the new government working to appease the "wild west", aka the lawless border region with Afghanistan, they have been putting less pressure on the regional tribes, most of whom are pro-Taliban. A large spike of cross-border snatch and grabs of Afghan citizens known to be working with the US for the sake of execution on the Pakistan side of the border is making things rather uncomfortable in many eastern provinces. An example of this... look up news over the past year or so on Khost province. During the entirety of 2007 and early 2008, it was THE de facto model of the US counterinsurgency in Afghanistan. That status is rapidly falling apart, in great deal due to what I mentioned above. The locals are becoming alarmingly less willing to cooperate with US forces.

At any rate,1) the Iran thing almost escalated heavily and, 2) expect troops on ground in Pakistan before Bush leaves office.

host 07-12-2008 12:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xepherys
....At any rate,1) the Iran thing almost escalated heavily and, 2) expect troops on ground in Pakistan before Bush leaves office.

Cynical..... moi?

Quote:

http://www.counterpunch.org/whitney07062008.html

..Michael Scheuer, former CIA chief of the Bin Laden Issue Station, made this statement at a recent conference at the Middle East Institute in Washington, DC: "Afghanistan is lost for the United States and its allies. To use Kipling's term, 'We are watching NATO bleed to death on the Afghan plains.' But what are we going to do. There are 20 million Pashtuns; are we going to invade? We don't have enough troops to even form a constabulary that would control the country. The disaster occurred at the beginning. The fools that run our country thought that a few hundreds CIA officers and a few hundred special forces officers could take a country the size of Texas and hold it, were quite literally fools. And now we are paying the price."

Scheuer added, "We are closer to defeat in Afghanistan than Iraq at the moment."

Scheuer's pessimism is widely shared among military and political elites. The situation on the ground is hopeless; there is no light in the tunnel. ..

....Bush could care less about drug trafficking. What matters to him is stabilizing Afghanistan so that the myriad US bases that are built along pipeline corridors can provide a safe channel for oil and natural gas heading to markets in the Far East. That's what really counts. The administration has staked America's future on a risky strategy to establish a foothold in Central Asia to control the flow of energy from the Caspian to China and India.

But US policymakers are no longer confident of victory in Afghanistan. In fact, according to a Pentagon report: "Taliban militants have regrouped after their initial fall from power and 'coalesced into a resilient insurgency.' The report paints a grim picture of the conflict, concluding that Afghanistan's security conditions have deteriorated sharply while the fledgling national government in Kabul remains incapable of extending its reach throughout the country or taking effective counternarcotics measures."

The situation is dire and it's forcing Bush to decide whether to shift more troops from Iraq or face growing resistance in Afghanistan. Meanwhile the violence is spreading and combat deaths are on the rise. Pentagon chieftains now believe they can only defeat the Taliban by striking at bases in Pakistan, a reckless plan that could inflame passions in Pakistan and trigger a regional conflict. Gradually, the US is being lured into a bigger quagmire.


ONWARD FIELD-MARSHALL OBAMA

Presidential candidate Barak Obama, "The Peace Candidate", supports a stronger commitment to the war in Afghanistan and has proposed "sending at least two additional combat brigades -- or 7,000 to 10,000 troops -- to Afghanistan, while deploying more Special Operations forces to the Afghan-Pakistan border. He has also proposed increasing non-military aid to Afghanistan by at least $1 billion per year." (Wall Street Journal) Obama, backed by Brzezinski and other Clinton foreign policy advisers, has focussed his attention on the "war on terror", that dismal public relations coup which conceals America's desire to become a major player in the Great Game, the battle for supremacy on the Asian continent.

Quote:

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...oled_again.jpg

.....I'll tip my hat to the new constitution
Take a bow for the new revolution
Smile and grin at the change all around me
Pick up my guitar and play
Just like yesterday
Then I'll get on my knees and pray
We don't get fooled again
No, no!

I'll move myself and my family aside
If we happen to be left half alive
I'll get all my papers and smile at the sky
For I know that the hypnotized never lie

Do ya?

YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!

There's nothing in the street
Looks any different to me
And the slogans are replaced, by-the-bye
And the parting on the left
Is now the parting on the right
And the beards have all grown longer overnight

I'll tip my hat to the new constitution
Take a bow for the new revolution
Smile and grin at the change all around me
Pick up my guitar and play
Just like yesterday
Then I'll get on my knees and pray
We don't get fooled again
Don't get fooled again
No, no!

YAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAH!

Meet the new boss
Same as the old boss


As Obama put it just two weeks ago:
Quote:

http://thepage.time.com/obama-remark...d-afghanistan/

“The people who were responsible for murdering 3,000 Americans on 9/11 have not been brought to justice. They are Osama bin Laden, al Qaeda and their sponsors – the Taliban. They were in Afghanistan. And yet George Bush and John McCain decided in 2002 that we should take our eye off of Afghanistan so that we could invade and occupy a country that had absolutely nothing to do with 9/11…

…We had al Qaeda and the Taliban on the run back in 2002. But then we diverted military, intelligence, financial, and diplomatic resources to Iraq. And yet Senator McCain has said as recently as this April that, ‘Afghanistan is not in trouble because of our diversion to Iraq.’ I think that just shows a dangerous misjudgment of the facts, and a stubborn determination to ignore the need to finish the fight in Afghanistan.”

Obama appears to be even more eager to repeat history than his opponent, John McCain. (9/11.....9/11.....9/11.....9/11.....9/11....9/11.....)

In November, voters will be asked to pick one of the two pro-war candidates. McCain has made his position clear; his focus is on Iraq. Now it is up to Obama to point out why it's more acceptable to kill a man who is fighting for his country in Afghanistan than it is in Iraq. If he can't answer that question, then he deserves to lose.

Mike Whitney lives in Washington state. He can be reached at: fergiewhitney@msn.com


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