12-13-2006, 10:12 PM | #1 (permalink) |
Crazy
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Illness could shift balance of power in Senate
Doesn't anyone realize how terribly wrong the statement the Democrats will have control of the Senate is? Or how terribly wrong the statement the Republicans will have control of the Senate is? Does anyone get appalled at the fact people talk about how any one body has control of the Senate, House, or the entire Congress? I do. No one is supposed to have control over either body let alone both concurrently. We can trace everything that is wrong with America back to the two party system. So it doesn't matter if Democrats, Republicans, Independents, etc have control of Congress, it only matters that one group can make decisions based on their political alignment. James Madison must be rolling in his grave.
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12-14-2006, 06:12 AM | #3 (permalink) | |
Asshole
Administrator
Location: Chicago
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I'm not sure if you're advocating a true democracy or outright anarchy, but you seem to have missed the basic idea that lawmakers answer directly to their constituents. Most would be offended at the idea that they didn't vote in their district's best interests. Oh, and James Madison founded the Democratic-Republican party with Jefferson. He might want more parties, but he certainly was never unfriendly to the idea of parties. Being offended by journalism's shorthand notation for the political leanings of the country seems like a waste of time to me, but if that's what you want to do, have at it. Otherwise, join a third party and go on a recruitment spree.
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"They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." - B. Franklin "There ought to be limits to freedom." - George W. Bush "We have met the enemy and he is us." - Pogo |
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12-14-2006, 06:47 AM | #4 (permalink) | |||||
Tone.
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I think he's advocating a return to sanity in politics. Many democrats are so far out on the left wing that they can barely see the airplane, and many republicans (neocons, I'm talking to you) are so far out on the right wing that they're on another airplane, while their constituents, both republican and democrat, sit in the middle wondering why they can't find good representation in government. It's funny how the politician dems and republicans are so far apart, but with the exception of the religion-based issues, the average joes I talk to every day, whether republican or democrat, are usually fairly close to each other in what they want to see happen in the country. Quote:
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12-14-2006, 08:21 AM | #5 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: bedford, tx
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I can't believe i'm going to agree with shakran 110%, but I am.
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"no amount of force can control a free man, a man whose mind is free. No, not the rack, not fission bombs, not anything. You cannot conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him." |
12-14-2006, 11:48 AM | #6 (permalink) |
Crazy
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Wow The_Jazz, taking things a bit literally? James Madison, in an essay written to some New Yorkers who opposed the new Constitution because of their fear of a faction gaining control of the Government, tried to diffuse their argument explaining that there would be too many political factions for any one to gain control. They may gain local control, but never on a national level. It's kind of like that Simpsons episode, the one where Mr. Burns has every disease. All the diseases keep themselves in check and Mr. Burns only get sick when one of the diseases is cured. Here's a link to one of his essays. http://www.yale.edu/lawweb/avalon/federal/fed10.htm
[QUOTE=Being offended by journalism's shorthand notation for the political leanings of the country seems like a waste of time to me, but if that's what you want to do, have at it. Otherwise, join a third party and go on a recruitment spree.[/QUOTE] I'm not sure how the Democrats having control of the Senate and the media saying the Democrats have control the Senate is shorthand. I don't think that Democrats and Republicans cover the spectrum of America's political leanings just as black and white don't cover the entire color spectrum. So I really don't understand where you were going with this. I guess you are trying to say that Dems and Repubs cover the political views of most Americans. [QUOTE=I'm not sure if you're advocating a true democracy or outright anarchy, but you seem to have missed the basic idea that lawmakers answer directly to their constituents. Most would be offended at the idea that they didn't vote in their district's best interests.[/QUOTE] Am I the one who missed the basic idea or are the lawmakers the ones who missed the basic idea that they work for their constiuents? I guess Americans want jobs shipped overseas where corporations reap the benefits of what is essentially slave labor. I guess Americans want no national healthcare. You could argue that it is too costly, but think of how much money is raised for election campaigns and how much is being pissed away in Iraq per week. Considering how literally you took my first post, I have to preemptively say I don't think the money we spend protecting American soldiers with things such as body armor and heavier armor for humvees is pissing it away. All of sudden, we have billions to spend and I don't understand why it couldn't have been used before. If the lawmakers worked for their constituents would we have the current raping of the middleclass? I feel that the two party system is detrimental to our country. I am not proposing anarchy but proposing that the media gives more attention to all of the political options. Why wasn't Nader allowed to debate? Because he isn't qualified or educated? Because he didn't fit into the neat shorthand notion of America's political leanings? How can a third party ever get more exposure if they are barred from being on the same stage as the two major parties? Maybe because America would truly get to see someone who will work for them. Whether we're Republican, Democrat, Independent, facist, socialist, etc we're still all Americans, and even further than that human beings. |
12-14-2006, 11:57 AM | #7 (permalink) |
... a sort of licensed troubleshooter.
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I am very impressed with this thread so far. Student, you make very well thought out arguments and, while you had me at hello, I am feeling as if you've said what needed to be said already. All I can really say is that you are absolutely right in my humble opinion.
Returning sanity to politics is a treuly worthy cause. |
12-14-2006, 12:21 PM | #8 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: NYC
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I dunno, guys, a man had brain surgery and is in critical condition, and the first thing a bunch of people think about is whether "their side" is going to be in power. Kinda ghouish, isn't it?
I have my own thoughts on the two-party system but I'll post on it another time, probably in another topic. Right now I'm just hoping Senator Johnson recovers his health. |
12-15-2006, 06:43 AM | #9 (permalink) | |||||||||
Asshole
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Location: Chicago
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OK, this is going to be a long one since I've only now seen the responses. The end of the year is hell, btw.
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Let me give you a little peek into insurance and what went wrong in 2005, chief. That was by far the worst year for insurance companies writing coastal property coverage ever. Just as a benchmark, Allstate Insurance, which was the biggest writer of homeowner's coverage back before Andrew, had all of their profits back to 1923 wiped out by that ONE storm. At the time, it almost put them under since they hadn't bought any reinsurance on that book of business to lay off any of the risk. When Wilma hit Tampa last year, it was the second worst storm in terms of dollars ever - #1 was Katrina. In the months after the storm, the companies that create the models for wind damage, storm surge and construction costs for insurance companies discovered that they had screwed up majorly. These companies basically help insurance companies recalculate property values every year since buildings increase in value every year (home equity loan, anyone?). When the claims started rolling in insurers discovered that the replacement cost for almost every policy they had were about 20% higher than what they originally thought and priced for. That caused a huge problem. At the same time, the reinsurers were being hit with big storm claims from Katrina, Rita and Wilma. Most of them decided to make the business decision to stop writing coastal wind business. Those that chose to remain jacked up their rates and cut their capacity (the total values that they'd insure in any one area). Right now there are no private insurers writing wind coverage in the Miami area. None. If you have a building down there and your wind coverage comes up for renewal between now and the end of the year, your only choice is Citizens Insurance, which was created by the State of Florida to write coverage when no other alternative was available. However, there are very serious doubts about its ability to pay claims in the event of a large storm simply because it now accounts for something like 45% of all property insurance in the state. Think about that for a second - that's a huge amount of risk, and it's the only thing available. If you build a new home anywhere within 5 miles of the coast in Tampa or Miami now, you cannot get homeowners coverage because all of the private insurers have stopped writing new business because the claims have been so bad. There are lots of Floridians that get very nervous when the wind blows because they are self-insuring their own risk. So tell me, how does the 2 party system contribute to corporations making business decisions to stop doing unprofitable things? Honestly, the private sector has completely failed to find a way to provide coverage in a profitable but affordable way. Let me know if you want more detail, because I'm up to my ears in it. Quote:
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I don't know about you, but the newspapers I read break down the votes of every local representative on every important piece of legislation that comes to the floor. I think that you're also ignoring the fact that voting record is generally the first issue mentioned in any political race. Quote:
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If you want my nutshell version of what the biggest problem in this country, it's the rise of the single-issue voter. Folks that think that, for instance, the anti-abortion candidate is their best choice despite the fact that they are voting against their class interest is a major problem. I don't mean to pick on conservatives, but many of them are violently opposed to the programs that keep the working poor afloat. However, if they cloak themselves in the anti-abortion guise, they get votes and contributions from the conservative churches that have taken up the pro-life cause. It doesn't matter that the representative routinely votes against the interest of the majority of their constituents so long as they vote correctly on that single issue. See Eastern Kansas for proof. Quote:
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"They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." - B. Franklin "There ought to be limits to freedom." - George W. Bush "We have met the enemy and he is us." - Pogo Last edited by The_Jazz; 12-15-2006 at 07:09 AM.. Reason: Automerged Doublepost |
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12-15-2006, 07:59 AM | #10 (permalink) | |
Junkie
Location: bedford, tx
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"no amount of force can control a free man, a man whose mind is free. No, not the rack, not fission bombs, not anything. You cannot conquer a free man; the most you can do is kill him." |
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12-15-2006, 08:13 AM | #11 (permalink) | |
Asshole
Administrator
Location: Chicago
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And the way that the balloting works, candidates should have been on the ballots in most states well before debate time, so being in a debate won't necessarily help you one way or the other. Remember, debate time starts about 2 months before the election. Generally speaking, ballots are finalized about 90 days out, sometimes more sometimes less.
__________________
"They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." - B. Franklin "There ought to be limits to freedom." - George W. Bush "We have met the enemy and he is us." - Pogo |
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12-15-2006, 08:59 AM | #12 (permalink) | |
Walking is Still Honest
Location: Seattle, WA
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Of course, that's a HUGE 'if' at the beginning of my paragraph there. Guess my point here is that single issue voting may be the right path to take at times.
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I wonder if we're stuck in Rome. |
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12-15-2006, 09:14 AM | #13 (permalink) |
Crazy
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Thank you for a great post, Jazzman. I hope you don't mind if I send excerpts to some friends in Florida.
I have quite an opinion in regard to people who repeatedly rebuild in an area that periodically gets destroyed by hurricanes or flooding. Often the cost of the rebuilding is borne by the taxpayers. I don't know if you've ever addressed that directly, but you do so indirectly with your post. The other philosophy not directly addressed here is that people should depend on the government to take care of them. It's not surprising that wilravel is so in favor of that, but it would be nice for someone to name some countries where that philosophy has actually worked. |
12-15-2006, 10:08 AM | #14 (permalink) | |
Asshole
Administrator
Location: Chicago
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As far as people that build in troublesome spots, let me point out that you neglected to include earthquakes, which are actually viewed as very similar to hurricanes by the industry. Actually the prices for CA earthquake coverage have substantially increased because of the 2005 storms. That's because the reinsurance treaties (the contracts to lay off risk for entire books of business) for both FL wind and CA earthquake are generally written together because the same players are interested in high risk/high dollar programs. I think that you're referring the National Flood Insurance Program, which is the only entity legally able to write flood coverage in Flood Zone A in the US. That was created at the insistence of the insurance companies because they started to refuse to give flood coverage for buildings in Flood Zone A (and B to some extent). The term "flood" can mean a lot of things, but it generally means non-wind-driven water or water that comes from the ground up (so rain isn't included). If your neighbor leaves his sprinkler on too long and it floods your basement. Or if a dam breaks. Or a real flood. Unless you buy special coverage (like from the NFIP), you don't have coverage. However, a lot of people decide not to buy the coverage (or not enough), and they're the ones that are usually SOL. Interestingly enough, if you take all of the high risk property areas (coastal wind hazard inland to 5 miles from Brownsville, TX to Maine, Flood Zone A and fault zone areas including S. CA, W. WA, the New Madrid fault, etc.), you're suddenly talking about a very statistically significant minority of all the homes and businesses in the country. It's something like 20% of all property values in the country, but I haven't looked at the number in a while. It could be higher or lower than it used to be. If a 7.0 earthquake hit LA the same year that a Catagory 2 hurricane rolled through Manhatten or Boston (neither is an abnormally strong event) there are probably 5 insurance companies and another 5 reinsurers that would immediately tank.
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"They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." - B. Franklin "There ought to be limits to freedom." - George W. Bush "We have met the enemy and he is us." - Pogo |
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12-16-2006, 02:31 PM | #15 (permalink) | |||
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balance, illness, power, senate, shift |
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