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09-17-2006, 08:06 PM | #1 (permalink) |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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Are the gas prices being controlled to change the outcome of the midterm elections?
Unless you have been under a rock, you have noticed that gas prices have come down a lot recently. On Aug 21, I paid $3.499 for a gallon of gas (true it was in the middle of the AZ desert, I only bought 2 gallons in order to get to where it was $3.20). Today, I saw gas for $2.059/gal in Ohio.
Now, I know that the price of a barrel of oil on the commodity market has fallen from ~$75 -> ~$63. But why would a ~15% drop in the price of the barrel cause the price of a gallon of gas to drop -33%? I'm not sure if these numbers are accurate or not, but someone else quoted them on another forum. Percentage breakdown in the cost of a gallon of gas: 47% crude oil market price 18% refining costs 23% taxes (I don't think taxes are that much, and aren't they a fixed amount) 12% distribution costs ?% profit But, I'm sure the percentages change when the price is $3.50 versus $2 versus $1. And the auto gas part is only ~19.5 gallons out of 42 gallons of crude. Last time the prices were this low, a barrel of oil cost around $50 (March 2005 by my records) http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:O...Short_Term.png http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:G...Short_Term.png So, were the oil companies just charging us more money for the past two years because they could (would it really be $90 -$100/barrel that would cost $3/gal, and they were taking the extra money in profits)? Or do the politicians worry about the challengers using the expensive gas argument against the people in office right now? And what has really changed in the world in the past 3 or 4 weeks? The Iran situation hasn't really changed, Iraq hasn't really started to produce too much, they have to shut down the BP pipeline in Alaska for a while to fix it, the demand for gas hasn't changed, there is no competition from alternative fuels yet, refinery costs haven’t changed, and taxes haven’t changed. The oil companies might be taking a lot less in the way of profits though, we will find out when the next quarterly statements come out. The only positive thing that might reduce the price is that they found some more oil a long way down in the Gulf of Mexico, and the summer driving season is slowing down. (Just to clearify, I am complaining about lower gas prices , and it probably is just the normal market forces at work, but it always seems to benefit the right people at the right times) Last edited by ASU2003; 09-17-2006 at 08:09 PM.. |
09-17-2006, 08:12 PM | #2 (permalink) |
Extreme moderation
Location: Kansas City, yo.
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Who gets more votes when gas prices are down?
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"The question isn't who is going to let me, it's who is going to stop me." (Ayn Rand) "The truth is that our finest moments are most likely to occur when we are feeling deeply uncomfortable, unhappy, or unfulfilled. For it is only in such moments, propelled by our discomfort, that we are likely to step out of our ruts and start searching for different ways or truer answers." (M. Scott Peck) |
09-17-2006, 08:34 PM | #3 (permalink) | |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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09-17-2006, 10:03 PM | #4 (permalink) |
Deja Moo
Location: Olympic Peninsula, WA
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And you thought this was Paranoia because?
ASU2003, this is a legitimate question that you could have posted in General or Politics. There is nothing at all paranoid about a question regarding the manipulation of gas prices. I suggest you request that this topic get moved to another forum. My choice would be Politics, because that is the source of price manipulation imo. Great topic btw. |
09-17-2006, 10:28 PM | #5 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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It belongs in parinoia until some sort of proof comes out to prove it.
I'm in an area with artifically high prices due to summer EPA regulations, gas has been 40-50 cents cheaper per gallon if you went about 50 miles west or east of Chicago, even at the height of the prices. Prices have also been predicted to plunge for a while now. Now of course those analyists could be in on it too...... Unless someone comes up with a paper trail its no more valid than someone who claims that the specualtion which brought oil prices so high was fueled by billionares who wanted to bring the gas prices up to effect the election. Here is some basic educational material on the subject. Quote:
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Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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09-17-2006, 11:35 PM | #6 (permalink) | |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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It is still a theory at this point. I had started to put it in politics, but decided to put it here because going through all of the oil companies earnings reports, verses the oil consumed, and the price per barrel, and speculation and equipment upgrades rolled into the price, it is really hard to do anything more than just take a wild guess. The numbers are out there, but it is hard to tell if this is just a market correction and the oil companies decided to cut back on the amount of profits they were getting from 15% to 5 for no reason, let's say. Or if the people who have close races come Nov. just happen to be friends with the guys who run the oil companies, and they had to call in a favor to get them to reduce the price. It will be even more interesting if the price goes up a lot right before Thanksgiving for some reason. |
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09-18-2006, 04:53 AM | #7 (permalink) | |
will always be an Alyson Hanniganite
Location: In the dust of the archives
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I don't see this as paranoia so much as common sense. Now, it could, I supose, all just be a very happy coincidence...but you'll forgive my marked skepticism.
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"I distrust those people who know so well what God wants them to do because I notice it always coincides with their own desires." - Susan B. Anthony "Hedonism with rules isn't hedonism at all, it's the Republican party." - JumpinJesus It is indisputable that true beauty lies within...but a nice rack sure doesn't hurt. |
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09-18-2006, 05:26 AM | #8 (permalink) | |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
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09-18-2006, 06:51 AM | #9 (permalink) | |
Rail Baron
Location: Tallyfla
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Every other year is an election year. So its not necessarily a "very happy coincidence" as it is a "common coincidence."
Are we going to say that every time the price of gas falls at the end of an even-year summer its a conspiracy? Here's a good explanation on why the drop: Quote:
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"If I am such a genius why am I drunk, lost in the desert, with a bullet in my ass?" -Otto Mannkusser |
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09-18-2006, 07:04 AM | #10 (permalink) |
Submit to me, you know you want to
Location: Lilburn, Ga
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for what its worth to whomever wants to believe it, this is what the radio here has been saying...
they changed the gas mix from the summer *smog control* mixture to the winter mixture....(which is why gas is always cheaper in winter than summer)
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I want the diabetic plan that comes with rollover carbs. I dont like the unused one expiring at midnite!! |
09-18-2006, 07:20 AM | #11 (permalink) |
Sauce Puppet
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I personally think they lowered prices, because people were complaining that they were $3/gallon. I don't know about elsewhere, but here gas is now in the high $2/gallon ($2.7, or 2.8ish). I think they want to give us a warm fuzzy feeling "Oh, at least I'm not paying 3.20 a gallon", and then prices will surge to $4/gallon next year, and they will ease gas prices to $3.8, or $3.60 so we'll say "phew, at least I'm not paying $4 a gallon!" The election might have something to do with it, but I really don't think so.
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09-18-2006, 07:26 AM | #12 (permalink) |
Submit to me, you know you want to
Location: Lilburn, Ga
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I paid 2.23 this morning for gas.....
somehow I dont think they lowered it because we were complaining lol....I've been complaining for a year
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I want the diabetic plan that comes with rollover carbs. I dont like the unused one expiring at midnite!! |
09-18-2006, 07:36 AM | #13 (permalink) | |
Rail Baron
Location: Tallyfla
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Quote:
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"If I am such a genius why am I drunk, lost in the desert, with a bullet in my ass?" -Otto Mannkusser |
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09-18-2006, 10:06 AM | #14 (permalink) |
Submit to me, you know you want to
Location: Lilburn, Ga
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for anyone that might be interested, this page shows you a breakdown of what each states gas price is made up of
http://www.southcarolinagasprices.com/tax_info.aspx for example, where I live in GA we pay 7.5 cpg (cents per gallon) on top of the federal tax of 18.4 cpg AND we pay a 4% sales tax Hawaii which has the most expensive gas on average of any state pays the federal of 18.4 cpg, the state of 16.1 cpg plus a local tax depending on where you are of anywher from 8.8 to 18 cpg AND a sales tax of 4.166
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I want the diabetic plan that comes with rollover carbs. I dont like the unused one expiring at midnite!! |
09-18-2006, 10:30 AM | #15 (permalink) |
...is a comical chap
Location: Where morons reign supreme
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I guess Utah lives under a rock, because the place I get gas has dropped from 2.84 a gallon to 2.82. Some of the pricier places have dropped about ten cents, from 2.99 to 2.89. Not much difference here.
*puts paranoia hat on* If this theory is true, gas companies wouldn't need to drop gas here, because Utah is a very conservative state and always votes Republican, which would benefit those already in office.
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"They say that patriotism is the last refuge to which a scoundrel clings; steal a little and they throw you in jail, steal a lot and they make you king" Formerly Medusa |
09-30-2006, 04:36 PM | #18 (permalink) |
We're having potato pancakes!
Location: stalag 13
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Steve Forbes predicted last year on Fox news that the gas prices would drop drastically right before the midterm elections. (I believe he said $1.70) I don't think it will get that low personally, but I'm not surprized by the sudden drop. The oil companies know that they'll have a much easyer time if the house and senate stay as they are. Don't be shocked though if were back up to $3 by Christmas.
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The Bully Boys are here! |
10-03-2006, 10:08 PM | #19 (permalink) |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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I had the thought today, that it might be the super rich who may have invested heavily in oil (through hedge funds, mutual fund managers, retirement managers), and then collectively decided to sell a few weeks ago. The investor premium might have artificially created demand and took off billions of oil from the market. They would also favor a tax cut friendly government...
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10-03-2006, 10:24 PM | #20 (permalink) |
Pissing in the cornflakes
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There are many things which are not a coincidence this election cycle.
Bob Woodwards book and the Foley stuff comming out 40 days before the election, are not a coincidence. Gas prices would be. And Asu2003 the super rich don't have to worry about taxes, in fact they can afford liberal policies in general. Its the 'working rich' who get nailed by the taxes.
__________________
Agents of the enemies who hold office in our own government, who attempt to eliminate our "freedoms" and our "right to know" are posting among us, I fear.....on this very forum. - host Obama - Know a Man by the friends he keeps. |
10-03-2006, 10:47 PM | #21 (permalink) | |
Crazy
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Saw this somewhere, I'm not sufficiently motivated to provide a link.
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10-08-2008, 04:41 PM | #22 (permalink) | |
immoral minority
Location: Back in Ohio
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Now, the economy is the big issue this election, it isn't the gas prices as much. But since this is in paranoia, I'll say I bet that the big oil producers are concerned that there is a lot of talk from both sides to develop alternative fuel cars. Even I am building one now. It would be interesting to see how much big oil lobbyists are putting into congressional elections this time around. So, did oil producers, oil investors and oil cartels figure out that $5/gallon is the price where Americans start complaining enough to actually do something about it? I'll have to look through my 2007 receipts to see if there is a pattern of gas prices coming down in Oct/Nov. |
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Tags |
change, controlled, elections, gas, midterm, outcome, prices |
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