Odds of Dying - Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community

tecoyah · 01-06-2005, 04:34 PM

A little perspective on the untimely demise we are all likely to face at some point.....though probably not by Tsunami.

All figures below are for U.S. residents.
Cause of Death Lifetime Odds

Heart Disease
1-in-5

Cancer
1-in-7

Stroke
1-in-23

Accidental Injury
1-in-36

Motor Vehicle Accident*
1-in-100

Intentional Self-harm (suicide)
1-in-121

Falling Down
1-in-246

Assault by Firearm
1-in-325

Fire or Smoke
1-in-1,116

Natural Forces (heat, cold,storms, quakes, etc.)
1-in-3,357

Electrocution*
1-in-5,000

Drowning
1-in-8,942

Air Travel Accident*
1-in-20,000

Flood* (included also in Natural Forces above)
1-in-30,000

Legal Execution
1-in-58,618

Tornado* (included also in Natural Forces above)
1-in-60,000

Lightning Strike (included also in Natural Forces above)
1-in-83,930

Snake, Bee or other Venomous Bite or Sting*
1-in-100,000

Earthquake (included also in Natural Forces above)
1-in-131,890

Dog Attack
1-in-147,717

Asteroid Impact*
1-in-200,000**

Tsunami* 1-in-500,000

Fireworks Discharge
1-in-615,488

The more specific figures are based on 2001, the most recent year for which complete data are available. Other odds, indicated with an asterisk (*) are based on long-term data.

There.......feel better.....I thought you would

Coppertop · 01-06-2005, 04:38 PM

Quote:

Fireworks Discharge
1-in-615,488

Death by discharge? Ouch.

ShaniFaye · 01-06-2005, 04:42 PM

where are the sex accidents?

Coppertop · 01-06-2005, 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ShaniFaye

where are the sex accidents?

Right here:

Quote:

Air Travel Accident*
1-in-20,000

Or is that just me?

Slavakion · 01-06-2005, 04:47 PM

What do the asterisks mean? And I'm more likely to die from an asteroid than from being a jackass with fireworks? Kewl. Time to drive up to NH and stock up.
*flips off Death*

ShaniFaye · 01-06-2005, 04:50 PM

with my luck I'd die from a bee sting (Im HIGHLY allergic) while having sex in the woods

maleficent · 01-06-2005, 04:50 PM

Based on the number of miles I fly every year, I'm going down in a plane crash - I was sort of hoping to be more unique than 1 in 20,000.

JumpinJesus · 01-06-2005, 05:12 PM

You've just given me all kinds of stuff to worry about.

Mephisto2 · 01-06-2005, 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by maleficent

Based on the number of miles I fly every year, I'm going down in a plane crash - I was sort of hoping to be more unique than 1 in 20,000.

I'm with you mal

I do about 50,000 miles a year, and I still hate it.

Damn big metal bird just shouldn't stay up in the air. It's just not natural!

Mr Mephisto

Fate · 01-06-2005, 06:22 PM

hope I die instantly, with no pain. Like being at the center of impact from an asteroid. You'd be happy walking along... and bam you're like... wtf mate?
That's assuming the asteroid is undedectable and is going too fast for me to see/hear. Otherwise screw it, toaster in bathtub.

anleja · 01-06-2005, 06:31 PM

However I die, I hope the cameras present will enable the entire world to be stunned into total silence.

Pip · 01-07-2005, 03:02 AM

The risk of dying in a car accident is 200 times greater than in a plane crash. Still people think I'm silly because I'm nervous as hell about riding in a car. It's a rational fear!!!! I get no respect.

amonkie · 01-07-2005, 08:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pip

The risk of dying in a car accident is 200 times greater than in a plane crash. Still people think I'm silly because I'm nervous as hell about riding in a car. It's a rational fear!!!! I get no respect.

Actually, it's 241 times safer to fly from LA to New York than it is to drive there. Those expensive plane tickets don't seem so much anymore, if they keep ya alive.

maleficent · 01-07-2005, 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pip

The risk of dying in a car accident is 200 times greater than in a plane crash.

WHen you fly more than 100,000 miles a year, the odds of dying in a plane crash increase dramatically

maleficent · 01-07-2005, 08:35 AM

Quote:

Legal Execution
1-in-58,618

Tornado* (included also in Natural Forces above)
1-in-60,000

Was this figure taken from the state of Texas?

you are more likely to be on death row than to be taken to Oz on a cyclone?

Cynthetiq · 01-07-2005, 08:48 AM

all I know from reading this is that for 100% sure....

I'm going to die.

it doesn't matter which way. I'm going to die anyways.

Stompy · 01-07-2005, 10:23 AM

I don't think the Auto Travel Accident is accurate.

1 in 20,000? Your chances of dying in that manner are VERY slim, unless you fly every single day, which most people don't do.

Of all the thousands of flights a day, hundreds of thousands of passengers without a single accident or death, there's no way it could be 1 in 20,000.

CSflim · 01-07-2005, 11:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Stompy

I don't think the Auto Travel Accident is accurate.

1 in 20,000? Your chances of dying in that manner are VERY slim, unless you fly every single day, which most people don't do.

Of all the thousands of flights a day, hundreds of thousands of passengers without a single accident or death, there's no way it could be 1 in 20,000.

It is not saying that for every flight you take, there is a 1 in 20,000 chance of an accident. It is saying that of all the deaths in the past X number of years 1/20,000 of them were the result of an air travel accident.

So, if you were to fly as often as is average, you run a 1 in 20,000 risk of dieing because of it.

Rdr4evr · 01-07-2005, 11:58 AM

I would have thought asteroid impact would have been dead last. Either way, if I had to choose from that list, I would want to die from asteroid impact, it would be an amazingly awesome thing to see before you die. Although if the asteroid is in the Earths atmosphere and above you, the pressure alone would flatten you like a bug.

archer2371 · 01-07-2005, 01:12 PM

Never tell me the odds!

Coppertop · 01-07-2005, 01:24 PM

3,720:1

Or so I've heard.

TM875 · 01-07-2005, 01:55 PM

I want my death to be so horrifyingly terrific that they post pictures of me and the accident on the internet.

Perferebly on TFP or Fark.

BigGov · 01-07-2005, 05:21 PM

TM875: What about on rotten.com?

I'm just wondering why "natural causes" wasn't on that list anywhere.

Rdr4evr · 01-07-2005, 05:24 PM

nm.........

viejo gringo · 01-07-2005, 09:57 PM

Yea, that LEGAL EXECUTION figure will probably change down here in TEXAS since they put in that express lane (no waiting),,

they already did one this year..

Suave · 01-09-2005, 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by maleficent

Based on the number of miles I fly every year, I'm going down in a plane crash - I was sort of hoping to be more unique than 1 in 20,000.

That's pretty unique. Only about 300 000 people alive at this instant will die that way. If you want to be really unique, you could always hang around sharks as much as possible and die by shark attack (hopefully).

edit: male, no matter how often you fly, unless you live somewhere with few to no roads, and fly constantly, chances are that you will still be more likely to die from an auto accident than one of the aero type.

greytone · 01-09-2005, 06:41 PM

I am a little confused. I frequently see that that atherosclerotic causes 50% of deaths. That may include stroke and other cholesterol related deaths.

The one thing I am sure of, life is 100% fatal.

snowy · 01-09-2005, 06:48 PM

Death is death no matter how you cut it. I'd prefer to die in my sleep, painlessly, thanks--but either way I'm gonna end up dead someday. Might as well enjoy life in the meantime.

VitaminH · 01-09-2005, 08:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by anleja

However I die, I hope the cameras present will enable the entire world to be stunned into total silence.

That's like, the coolest thing I've heard all day...

I once had a girlfriend and I tried endlessly to convice her that she was in more danger driving her car (especially the way she did) than flying but she insisted that was impossible and that way more people died each year from plane crashes over car accidents.

She also insisted the WWF (now WWE) was real.

Man I don't miss those times at all. HAH.

Suave · 01-09-2005, 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VitaminH

I once had a girlfriend

Okay, NOW you're just making things up.

<3 VitaminH.

Ralli · 01-09-2005, 09:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pip

The risk of dying in a car accident is 200 times greater than in a plane crash. Still people think I'm silly because I'm nervous as hell about riding in a car. It's a rational fear!!!! I get no respect.

Dont worry I am the same. I am nervous when i am the passenger in a car.......I have had a few friends and family die in motor vehicle accidents so I get a little nervous. I am into cars myself, love racing them and love drag racing, but I am in control. ..... ......... Personnaly i would rather tandom skydive than sit in a race car being a passenger. weird huh !

yournamehere · 01-10-2005, 08:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by maleficent

Based on the number of miles I fly every year, I'm going down in a plane crash - I was sort of hoping to be more unique than 1 in 20,000.

It's a lot more unique.

There are 12 deaths per million hours flown in commercial aviation - that's about 1 every 83,000 hours. If you stayed airborne 24/7, it would take nine and a half years to fly 83,000 hours.

If you go on one rountrip flight per week; three hours each way, it would take over 265 years.

Don't worry - just be careful driving to and from the airport.

Stompy · 01-11-2005, 10:23 AM

Scary thing about odds... like in terms of plane crashes is... it HAS to happen. It WILL happen.

I couldn't imagine being so unlucky to be on that doomed flight... someone has to go through it. Why not you?

For some reason, the odds don't ease my mind much

ARTelevision · 01-11-2005, 10:45 AM

Life Itself:
1-in-1

It's a slam dunk, ain't it?

01-06-2005, 04:34 PM	#1 (permalink)
tecoyah Illusionary	Odds of Dying A little perspective on the untimely demise we are all likely to face at some point.....though probably not by Tsunami. All figures below are for U.S. residents. Cause of Death Lifetime Odds Heart Disease 1-in-5 Cancer 1-in-7 Stroke 1-in-23 Accidental Injury 1-in-36 Motor Vehicle Accident* 1-in-100 Intentional Self-harm (suicide) 1-in-121 Falling Down 1-in-246 Assault by Firearm 1-in-325 Fire or Smoke 1-in-1,116 Natural Forces (heat, cold,storms, quakes, etc.) 1-in-3,357 Electrocution* 1-in-5,000 Drowning 1-in-8,942 Air Travel Accident* 1-in-20,000 Flood* (included also in Natural Forces above) 1-in-30,000 Legal Execution 1-in-58,618 Tornado* (included also in Natural Forces above) 1-in-60,000 Lightning Strike (included also in Natural Forces above) 1-in-83,930 Snake, Bee or other Venomous Bite or Sting* 1-in-100,000 Earthquake (included also in Natural Forces above) 1-in-131,890 Dog Attack 1-in-147,717 Asteroid Impact* 1-in-200,000** Tsunami* 1-in-500,000 Fireworks Discharge 1-in-615,488 The more specific figures are based on 2001, the most recent year for which complete data are available. Other odds, indicated with an asterisk () are based on long-term data. There.......feel better.....I thought you would __________________ Holding onto anger is like grasping a hot coal with the intent of throwing it at someone else; you are the one who gets burned. - Buddha Last edited by tecoyah; 01-06-2005 at 04:52 PM.. Reason: added asterix info*

01-06-2005, 04:42 PM	#3 (permalink)
ShaniFaye Submit to me, you know you want to Location: Lilburn, Ga	where are the sex accidents? __________________ *I want the diabetic plan that comes with rollover carbs. I dont like the unused one expiring at midnite!!*

01-06-2005, 04:50 PM	#6 (permalink)
ShaniFaye Submit to me, you know you want to Location: Lilburn, Ga	with my luck I'd die from a bee sting (Im HIGHLY allergic) while having sex in the woods __________________ *I want the diabetic plan that comes with rollover carbs. I dont like the unused one expiring at midnite!!*

01-06-2005, 04:50 PM	#7 (permalink)
maleficent Junkie Moderator Emeritus Location: Chicago	Based on the number of miles I fly every year, I'm going down in a plane crash - I was sort of hoping to be more unique than 1 in 20,000. __________________ Free your heart from hatred. Free your mind from worries. Live simply. Give more. Expect less.

01-06-2005, 05:12 PM	#8 (permalink)
JumpinJesus Junkie Location: Chicago	You've just given me all kinds of stuff to worry about. __________________ "I can normally tell how intelligent a man is by how stupid he thinks I am" - Cormac McCarthy, All The Pretty Horses

01-06-2005, 04:47 PM	#5 (permalink)
Slavakion Mjollnir Incarnate Location: Lost in thought	What do the asterisks mean? And I'm more likely to die from an asteroid than from being a jackass with fireworks? Kewl. Time to drive up to NH and stock up. flips off Death

01-06-2005, 06:22 PM	#10 (permalink)
Fate Crazy Location: Montreal	hope I die instantly, with no pain. Like being at the center of impact from an asteroid. You'd be happy walking along... and bam you're like... wtf mate? That's assuming the asteroid is undedectable and is going too fast for me to see/hear. Otherwise screw it, toaster in bathtub. __________________ vB code is On Smilies are On [IMG] code is Off HTML code is Off

01-06-2005, 06:31 PM	#11 (permalink)
anleja disconnected Location: ignoreland	However I die, I hope the cameras present will enable the entire world to be stunned into total silence.

01-07-2005, 03:02 AM	#12 (permalink)
Pip Likes Hats Location: Stockholm, Sweden	The risk of dying in a car accident is 200 times greater than in a plane crash. Still people think I'm silly because I'm nervous as hell about riding in a car. It's a rational fear!!!! I get no respect.

01-07-2005, 08:48 AM	#16 (permalink)
Cynthetiq Tilted Cat Head Administrator Location: Manhattan, NY	all I know from reading this is that for 100% sure.... I'm going to die. it doesn't matter which way. I'm going to die anyways. __________________ I don't care if you are black, white, purple, green, Chinese, Japanese, Korean, hippie, cop, bum, admin, user, English, Irish, French, Catholic, Protestant, Jewish, Buddhist, Muslim, indian, cowboy, tall, short, fat, skinny, emo, punk, mod, rocker, straight, gay, lesbian, jock, nerd, geek, Democrat, Republican, Libertarian, Independent, driver, pedestrian, or bicyclist, either you're an asshole or you're not. What's the best nation in the world? DO-NATION!

01-07-2005, 10:23 AM	#17 (permalink)
Stompy Banned from being Banned Location: Donkey	I don't think the Auto Travel Accident is accurate. 1 in 20,000? Your chances of dying in that manner are VERY slim, unless you fly every single day, which most people don't do. Of all the thousands of flights a day, hundreds of thousands of passengers without a single accident or death, there's no way it could be 1 in 20,000. __________________ I love lamp.

01-07-2005, 11:58 AM	#19 (permalink)
Rdr4evr Banned	I would have thought asteroid impact would have been dead last. Either way, if I had to choose from that list, I would want to die from asteroid impact, it would be an amazingly awesome thing to see before you die. Although if the asteroid is in the Earths atmosphere and above you, the pressure alone would flatten you like a bug.

01-07-2005, 01:12 PM	#20 (permalink)
archer2371 Sarge of Blood Gulch Red Outpost Number One Location: On the front lines against our very enemy	Never tell me the odds! __________________ "This ain't no Ice Cream Social!" "Hey Grif, Chupathingy...how bout that? I like it...got a ring to it." "I have no earthly idea what it is I just saw, or what this place is, or where in the hell O'Malley is! My only choice is to blame Grif for coming up with such a flawed plan. Stupid, stupid Grif."

01-07-2005, 01:24 PM	#21 (permalink)
Coppertop Getting Medieval on your ass Location: 13th century Europe	3,720:1 Or so I've heard.

01-07-2005, 01:55 PM	#22 (permalink)
TM875 Addict Location: Amish-land, PA	I want my death to be so horrifyingly terrific that they post pictures of me and the accident on the internet. Perferebly on TFP or Fark. __________________ "I've made only one mistake in my life. But I made it over and over and over. That was saying 'yes' when I meant 'no'. Forgive me."

01-07-2005, 05:21 PM	#23 (permalink)
BigGov WoW or Class... Location: UWW	TM875: What about on rotten.com? I'm just wondering why "natural causes" wasn't on that list anywhere. __________________ One day an Englishman, a Scotsman, and an Irishman walked into a pub together. They each bought a pint of Guinness. Just as they were about to enjoy their creamy beverage, three flies landed in each of their pints. The Englishman pushed his beer away in disgust. The Scotsman fished the fly out of his beer and continued drinking it, as if nothing had happened. The Irishman, too, picked the fly out of his drink but then held it out over the beer and yelled "SPIT IT OUT, SPIT IT OUT, YOU BASTARD!"

01-07-2005, 05:24 PM	#24 (permalink)
Rdr4evr Banned	nm.........

01-07-2005, 09:57 PM	#25 (permalink)
viejo gringo Registered User Location: Deep South Texas	Yea, that LEGAL EXECUTION figure will probably change down here in TEXAS since they put in that express lane (no waiting),, they already did one this year..

01-09-2005, 06:41 PM	#27 (permalink)
greytone Junkie	I am a little confused. I frequently see that that atherosclerotic causes 50% of deaths. That may include stroke and other cholesterol related deaths. The one thing I am sure of, life is 100% fatal. __________________ I was there to see beautiful naked women. So was everybody else. It's a common failing. Robert A Heinlein in "They Do It With Mirrors"

01-09-2005, 06:48 PM	#28 (permalink)
snowy Kick Ass Kunoichi Location: Oregon	Death is death no matter how you cut it. I'd prefer to die in my sleep, painlessly, thanks--but either way I'm gonna end up dead someday. Might as well enjoy life in the meantime. __________________ If I am not better, at least I am different. --Jean-Jacques Rousseau

01-11-2005, 10:23 AM	#33 (permalink)
Stompy Banned from being Banned Location: Donkey	Scary thing about odds... like in terms of plane crashes is... it HAS to happen. It WILL happen. I couldn't imagine being so unlucky to be on that doomed flight... someone has to go through it. Why not you? For some reason, the odds don't ease my mind much __________________ I love lamp.

01-11-2005, 10:45 AM	#34 (permalink)
ARTelevision I change Location: USA	Life Itself: 1-in-1 It's a slam dunk, ain't it? __________________ create evolution