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#1 (permalink) |
Observant Ruminant
Location: Rich Wannabe Hippie Town
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What do you think you'll be driving in 20 years?
This is not a Tilted Motors what's-your-favorite-ride question. Rather, what technology of car or vehicle do you think many or most of us will be driving in 20 years? Still internal combustion? Fuel Cell? Electric? Will the car of the future be bigger? Smaller? Will there be more one-seaters around? Will public transit actually prove to be worth a damn and reduce the need for cars?
Personally, I'm hearing of a growing global shortfall of oil in 5-10 years, given increasing demand (from all the usual suspects, plus India and China), a falloff in new oil discoveries, and flat production in current oilfields. I'm thinking that we'll all have fewer and/or smaller cars and that there'll be more "metro" vehicles: better-technology small electric cars, single-user electric vehicles vaguely similar to the Segway only less dorky and more capable, and maybe more multi-modal transit -- the kind where you can ride a small electric scooter or vehicle to the train, bring it on board, and ride away again once the train gets to destination. I'm in a minority here because I think electric vehicles have been written off too quickly; fuel cell is a nice technology, but the cost of the hydrogen producing/distributing infrastructure would be huge. You don't need that with electric, and some newer battery technologies would be great for electric cars if they ever get the cost down. But let's not let this all be about electric cars. Just _what_ do you expect to be driving, and why? |
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#4 (permalink) |
Please touch this.
Owner/Admin
Location: Manhattan
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According to various sources, I'll be teleporting to where I need to go.
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#5 (permalink) |
Not so great lurker
Location: NY
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Being semi-realistic, I'd think that we'd be driving some sort of electric/bio-diesel/ethanol type hybrid (maybe with a few solar panels).
Then again it would be nice to have transporters/flying cars like we were promised when we were kids (I think I watched waaaaaaaay too much tv as a kid ![]() |
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#8 (permalink) |
Insane
Location: Flying over your house
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I think the cars in Minority Report are still too far off, but I really see the same stuff, just things that look a little more like Chryslers. Chrysler seems to have the most futuristic looking cars atm. I don't think 20 yrs is enough time for change tho.
Although, the last 100 years have been the most productive and technologically advanced...ever. It just seems that there are too many conservatives in America to actually move forward. They are having too many hangups with technology and are fighting against change.
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I can't believe I ate the whole thing! |
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#10 (permalink) | |
who?
Location: the phoenix metro
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Quote:
i think the peak oil thing is an overreaction, but it is going to spur new hydrogen technology... i see cars using hydrogen sooner than later, with the possibility of cold fusion in the next 10-20 years replacing that as a cheap, safe alternative.
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My country is the world, and my religion is to do good. - Thomas Paine |
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#11 (permalink) |
Darth Papa
Location: Yonder
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There was a sci-fi novel I read once that featured vehicles that were basically enormous gyroscopes, riding on a single wheel. They got forward velocity by inclining the axis of the vehicle relative to the plane of the gyroscope, to produce gyroscopic precession forces to accellerate the vehicle. Pretty nifty!
Probably more than 20 years off, though. I think hybrids are the wave of the immediate future. Probably 10 years. By then we may have a battery that can last long enough to have a solely electric car (that actually has room in the trunk for something other than batteries). |
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#12 (permalink) |
zomgomgomgomgomgomg
Location: Fauxenix, Azerona
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I see myself driving an AWD zero-emmissions turbocharged gas-electric hybrid, with a continuously variable transmission and four-wheel steering. Petroleum will still be the primary fuel, because the oil industry is too big to just fade away.
It will have electormagnetic dampers for shocks, and all drive-by-wire controls with haptic feedback ("Force feedback", like in joysticks, so you can 'feel the road') You will be able to dial in the ride so it will drive like anything from a mostly-FWD stable commuter with a luxery ride and gentle to an AWD-supplimented RWD performance vehicle with stiffened suspension and close-ratio steering. It will have even more sophisticated skyline-like traction, stability, and ABS controls...and it will recognize the driver by the key-fob and learn their various habits (Manage drivetrain for economy vs. sport, for example) and remember their settings. As far as safety features, it will have quite a few smart air-bags, including some external low-speed collision airbags on the front bumper and side panels of the vehicle to help it pass new 35mph minimal-injury pedestrian collision requirements that the government will have mandated. Also, it will have front looking radar, both for smart and dynamic speed-adjusting cruise control (will keep you X distance from the car ahead, or XX speed, whichever is faster) and an accident avoidance measure (will apply the brakes if it calculates that the closing rate between the vehicles will result in a collision). Yup...that's about it. Now, if this were 50 years, I'd say lane-following and point-to-point autopilot, but i don't think they're going to get that advanced.
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twisted no more |
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#14 (permalink) |
The sky calls to us ...
Super Moderator
Location: CT
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In 20 years, we'll all be driving hybrids, and those who don't will be taxed nearly to death. All high-performance vehicles will be running TDI systems, reducing fuel consumption while maintaining performance (Like the new Lamborghini Gallardo that gets 35mpg and delivers over 600hp 980 lb-ft of torque to the rear wheels.) A universal mass transit system will be in the works, with tax credits and incentives for those who chose to leave the car at home, or to not own a car at all.
The art of bicycle riding will regain popularity among fears of diminishing oil supply, and cyclists will have their own safe lanes along most roads with barriers to separate them from traffic. It will be cheaper and more efficient to make short bike trips than to hop in the car and drive a few blocks. Home delivery services with online ordering will eliminate the need for most grocery store trips and other errands, reducing road congestion and pollution. |
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#15 (permalink) |
Addict
Location: P-Town, WA
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I'll be jacked into the matrix and thinking my way to wherever I want to go =)
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Old signature just wasn't doing it for me anymore, so now I have this new one. It's equally as stupid but at least it looks really long. I'm probably just going to keep typing until I run out of things to babble about and see how many people actually read this. I once ran down a hill, fell down and hurt my elbow; my mom said I would be ok, she kissed it and made it all better. I've run out of things to say now, so if you have read this whole thing, congratulations you get a gold star! |
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#16 (permalink) | |
big damn hero
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Quote:
Everytime I think of teleportation, I'm reminded of the scene in Spaceballs where the President's head gets slapped on backwards and facing his ass. No thanks. ![]() I really don't think in 20 years you'll need to leave the house all that much. Movies, plays, and concerts pumped into your home on demand. Everything you need will be delivered promptly. Working from home will be the standard and schools will be a combination of on-line curriculum and real-time with interactive lessons with instructors through the television. (Sort of like current "distance learning" classes, but beefed up with better support) Obviously there are some things that you will have to leave the house for. I really don't see much innovation for the car industry in the next 20 years. (They've always been rather reluctant) Optimistically speaking however, I think by then cars will have made the complete switch to an alternative power (electric, hydrogen, or something we haven't found yet.) I also think that the current crop of SUV/Sedan cars will become more the norm.
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#18 (permalink) |
Junkie
Location: Florida
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I'm not so sure cars of 20 years from now will be significantly different. My '88 Thunderbird is almost 20 years old. It has a turbo 4 cylinder and all the stuff a typical modern car has. Power everything, ABS, multiport fuel injection, modern emissions controls, etc. Aside from the styling and safety ietms (no airbags) it's not much different from most cars of today.
As for design, given the trend of retro styling and SUV+car hybrids, I think 1940s era designs might make somewhat of a comeback. |
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#21 (permalink) |
Nothing
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Gyrocars have been made before...
Gyro X Myself? I'm banking on us all transcending the physical form and becoming creatures of pure energy. *holds breath*
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"I do not agree that the dog in a manger has the final right to the manger even though he may have lain there for a very long time. I do not admit that right. I do not admit for instance, that a great wrong has been done to the Red Indians of America or the black people of Australia. I do not admit that a wrong has been done to these people by the fact that a stronger race, a higher-grade race, a more worldly wise race to put it that way, has come in and taken their place." - Winston Churchill, 1937 --{ORLY?}-- |
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#23 (permalink) | |
Knight of the Old Republic
Location: Winston-Salem, NC
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Quote:
50 years is a good time gap to see a big changes in cars. I think after 50 years there's a good possibility that most of the drivers will have hybrid cars. -Lasereth
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#24 (permalink) | |
Insane
Location: Flying over your house
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Quote:
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I can't believe I ate the whole thing! |
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#25 (permalink) |
Rawr!
Location: Edmontania
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I would really love to see fuel cell powered cars on the road in 20 years, but I don't think it;s really feasible. If hydrogen based power develops, I think it'll start with generators and portable power sources first before moving on to automotive applications.
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#26 (permalink) |
will always be an Alyson Hanniganite
Location: In the dust of the archives
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Hybrids and fuel cells aside...I'll probably still be driving my '77 Chevy pick-up. That thing won't die!!
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"I distrust those people who know so well what God wants them to do because I notice it always coincides with their own desires." - Susan B. Anthony "Hedonism with rules isn't hedonism at all, it's the Republican party." - JumpinJesus It is indisputable that true beauty lies within...but a nice rack sure doesn't hurt. |
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#27 (permalink) |
I'm a family man - I run a family business.
Location: Wilson, NC
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I think there will be more hybrid cars. Maybe some full-electric ones. But the biggest part will definitely be combustion engines still. No flying cars.
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#28 (permalink) | |
Huzzah for Welcome Week, Much beer shall I imbibe.
Location: UCSB
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Quote:
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I'm leaving for the University of California: Santa Barbara in 5 hours, give me your best college advice - things I need, good ideas, bad ideas, nooky, ect. Originally Posted by Norseman on another forum: "Yeah, the problem with the world is the stupid people are all cocksure of themselves and the intellectuals are full of doubt." |
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#29 (permalink) |
She's Actual Size
Location: Central Republic of Where-in-the-Hell
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I'm sure everyone else will have a nicer car, but *I* will be driving a flying Delorean
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#30 (permalink) |
Holy Knight of The Alliance
Location: Stormwind, The Eastern Kingdoms, Azeroth
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Hopefully I won't still be driving my piece of shit '90 Honda.
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#32 (permalink) |
The sky calls to us ...
Super Moderator
Location: CT
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I was just thinking, and since diesel engines can be easily converted to run on plant oils, I'll bet that legalization of THC-free hemp gives us a super-cheap and renewable source of fuel.
This kills the fuel problem and reduces the pollution problem. |
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#33 (permalink) |
Banned
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I think some of the biggest advances are the electromagnet shock systems. they are in working condition now, but they are trying to find a practical way to power it in a car. basically- when the car is in motion, the chassis, or any other part of the car for that matter, is NEVER touching the wheels. You basically float on the magnetic field it creates... smoothest ride you can have is a ride on a non-existent surface. You could be driving over rebar or rocks and you'd never know it.
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#34 (permalink) | |
Tone.
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Quote:
hey that's a great idea! Now i'll NEVER know when I'm starting to slide in a corner ![]() |
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#35 (permalink) |
Addict
Location: P-Town, WA
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that gyro wheel is actually made, it has been on Ripley's Believe it or Not and some motorcycle shows, really unstable but its also pretty fast
__________________
Old signature just wasn't doing it for me anymore, so now I have this new one. It's equally as stupid but at least it looks really long. I'm probably just going to keep typing until I run out of things to babble about and see how many people actually read this. I once ran down a hill, fell down and hurt my elbow; my mom said I would be ok, she kissed it and made it all better. I've run out of things to say now, so if you have read this whole thing, congratulations you get a gold star! |
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#36 (permalink) | |
Observant Ruminant
Location: Rich Wannabe Hippie Town
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Quote:
Aside from that, there's an outfit called Changing World Technology, backed by a lot of heavy hitters, that's rolling out a technology called depolymerization, that basically can break down any organic waste matter -- sewage, food processing waste, old tires, practically any any polymer -- into useful products, particularly fuel oil, in a cost-effective manner. They've got a pilot plant and one commercial operation going already. If you can image putting a plant like this at every sewage treatment plant in America, you could produce _a lot_ of oil. Here's the website: http://www.changingworldtech.com/home.html None of the above address the issues of global warming through vehicle emissions, of course, and that may be more of an issue as time goes on. Even soy-oil-burning cars put out CO2. |
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#38 (permalink) | |
The sky calls to us ...
Super Moderator
Location: CT
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Quote:
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#39 (permalink) |
Dubya
Location: VA
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Seriously, where's my fucking rocket pack?
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#40 (permalink) | |
Observant Ruminant
Location: Rich Wannabe Hippie Town
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Quote:
Paste this URL into your browser address blank (for some reason, it doesn't execute correctly as a link from within TFP: www.dailywav.com/0800/flyingcars.wav Last edited by Rodney; 04-18-2004 at 06:59 PM.. |
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