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Historically third party people that run hurt the party in control of the White House more than the other. This happened with Gore and Bush 1 (Perot) Parties without control have a tendency to band together and not let a person like Nadar disrupt their fight. We will see if this trend continues, but I think he did a lot of damage to democrats in 2000, but will do more to Republicans looking for another option this time.
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