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I don't think Kerry can beat Bush for the simple reason that what most appeals to the far left (strong anti-war, anti-gun, etc.) is what alienates the swing vote.
If Kerry gets the nomination, I predict four more years of Bush.
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"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." – C. S. Lewis
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