Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - Another of those crazy paradoxes (similar to Monty Hall problem)

Pragma · 12-10-2003, 05:55 AM

Nope, nothing is wrong with your math there. That is the actual sequence of events. You would be unable to make a decision, because the expected value of one is always higher than the other, regardless of which one you pick. We did this problem in my Stat class a month or two ago.

You're better off just flipping a coin, heads for the one on the left, tails for the one on the right, than trying to statistically figure out which will give you more money - you'll go insane trying to do that, as the math is cyclic. "If I choose A, then B gets me more money. So I choose B, but now A gets me more money - repeat"

12-10-2003, 05:55 AM	#2 (permalink)
Pragma I am Winter Born Location: Alexandria, VA	Nope, nothing is wrong with your math there. That is the actual sequence of events. You would be unable to make a decision, because the expected value of one is always higher than the other, regardless of which one you pick. We did this problem in my Stat class a month or two ago. You're better off just flipping a coin, heads for the one on the left, tails for the one on the right, than trying to statistically figure out which will give you more money - you'll go insane trying to do that, as the math is cyclic. "If I choose A, then B gets me more money. So I choose B, but now A gets me more money - repeat" __________________ Eat antimatter, Posleen-boy!