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Bob Biter · 04-29-2003, 06:39 AM

Dragonlich, attempts at precognition are not a good way to support an argument. You could say "what if" for just about any situation and extrapolate like it's going out of style, but this isn't concrete evidence and so it doesn't support your point.

Any action has short-term and long-term impacts. The latter are obviously more difficult (if not impossible) to determine. By providing weapons and training to help push back Russia all those years ago, the US knew what the short-term impacts would be. Did they know about 9-11 or the current war? Of course not, since these things could not be predicted. They also could not have happened, but they did. Cause and effect can be extremely tricky, but while certain key events may certainly produce others, I think it's foolish to claim to know the future with any kind of certainty.

04-29-2003, 06:39 AM	#24 (permalink)
Bob Biter Non-smokers die everyday Location: Montreal	Dragonlich, attempts at precognition are not a good way to support an argument. You could say "what if" for just about any situation and extrapolate like it's going out of style, but this isn't concrete evidence and so it doesn't support your point. Any action has short-term and long-term impacts. The latter are obviously more difficult (if not impossible) to determine. By providing weapons and training to help push back Russia all those years ago, the US knew what the short-term impacts would be. Did they know about 9-11 or the current war? Of course not, since these things could not be predicted. They also could not have happened, but they did. Cause and effect can be extremely tricky, but while certain key events may certainly produce others, I think it's foolish to claim to know the future with any kind of certainty. __________________ A plan is just a list of things that don't happen.