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Again that is Illarionov talking.
It seems, and several news stories I have seen and heard offer this up, that Russia is playing the fence right now.
This is the single most powerful position they have had in the decision of a worldwide policy they have had in a long time. And they are trying to get some favors out of it. So, by playing both sides of the fence they are hoping that several European nations and Japan would give them some economic incentives to ratify the treaty.
Also they don't want to piss off the Bush admin by ratifying it. So they may want to hold off on making a decision until later in 2004 when a clear picture of which way our leadership will be going before they make their decision.
I think that is very likely what is happening with two government factions apparently warring over this issue.
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