Quote:
Originally posted by Artsemis
The same as if I would have chosen the other remaining door in the begining.
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OK, then let's try an experiment.
I am Monty Hall. We have 1000 doors, but by your logic, you still have a 50-50 chance after the elimination.
I have picked a winning door. It is somewhere between 1-1000. I have written down the answer on a post-it on my monitor.
Pick a door, any door. I will then eliminate all doors but yours and one other. One of those two will be the winning door.
I will then give you the opportunity to switch, if you like.
I give you my pledge now -- switching will give you a 99.9% chance of winning.
Of course, since you think the odds are 50-50, we can go through several trials if you like.
Pick a door, Artsemis!