Quote:
Originally posted by Pragma
The fact that there was a third door that was eliminated shouldn't matter in terms of what you choose the second time around. You have two doors, both have a 50% chance of being the right door. Thus, you're stuck not knowing which to choose from.
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Have you been reading the posts???? it's not a 50/50.... it's a 2/3 chance of getting it if you chose to switch... the fact that you have 33% of getting it right the first try and 66% of getting it wrong. If you think about the whole picture.. if you chose the switch, you will get the prize if your first guess was wrong and if you chose to stay, you will only get it right if you guess right the first time. SINCE there is a 33% chance of getting it right, relatively, there only 1/3 of the time you chose not to switch and get it right. on the other hand, if you chose to switch, IF YOU CHOSE THE WRONG DOOR your first try, after switching, you will get it right.
In conclusion: Switching you answer in the end gives you a 2/3 chance of getting the prize. and i am sure of it. message me if you have any question...