The question of who would win is largely dependent on the definition of victory. What is the objective.
Could we capture and hold large parts of the Soviet Union for a long period? No. Does that mean we lose? Perhaps not. If we affect change to the outlook of the Soviets, help the remnants of opposition to Stalin and cause insurrection in the smaller republics, liberate central Europe, then we are in a better position and it moves history up several decades. Remember, we were at war for the ensuing 45 yrs with the Soviets(and we won).
If you define Soviet victory as repelling a US invasion, then yes, they would win most likely. If their victory meant they affected constitutional change in the US or laid a glove on North America, no way, they had no military capability to do so and would not for years.
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'Tis better to remain silent and be thought a fool, than open one's mouth and remove all doubt.
Samuel Johnson (1709 - 1784)
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