The BCS computer rankings don't take into account WHEN you lose, and the human pollsters aren't supposed to.
CFRC has the probabilities (based on the Massey Rankings) of a team running the table. (Click on the team name.)
Probabilities for the following teams winning the rest of the season (based on known opponents):
Oklahoma - 84.9%
Southern Cal - 85.8%
Florida State - 36.4%
Miami FL - 36.6%
Ohio State - 8.5%
Virginia Tech - 31.8%
LSU - 45.0%
Michigan - 60.7%
TCU - 12.3%
Georgia - 43.9%
Iowa - 17.3%
Texas - 29.4%
Tennessee - 16.4%
Purdue - 22.3%
Washington State - 47.8%
Southern Cal might be #2 because they genuinely are #2. Possibility?
TCU and Ohio State chances don't look too good, meaning that either one would significantly boost the standings versus everyone else just by running the table. Ohio State might not leapfrog Southern Cal with the pollsters, but they would with the ranksters. TCU still needs help even then, like losses by all but one of the teams above them.
It's a shame Northern Illinois lost to Bowling Green, or that Bowling Green lost to Ohio State. Either of those teams would be above TCU, and much more likely to give the BCS the spiked buttplug.