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Old 10-23-2003, 04:44 AM   #13 (permalink)
onetime2
Junkie
 
Location: NJ
Quote:
Originally posted by Peetster
There once was an industry that was comprised of people that shoveled coal into the locomotive's burner box. They all had to learn to do something else. Lots of folks made their living in the home gas lighting industry, overtaken by technology. Menial jobs migrate to where labor is cheap. On paper, it looks like we are losing jobs. We have the advantage of access to education. Perhaps I'll become a typewriter repairman.

Exactly right. "Permanent" job losses are a fundamental part of innovation and something that was bound to happen as we become more of a global economy.

IT jobs going out of the country is just like garment worker jobs going to China. It happens. Those that put all their faith in the "get into computers" career advice of the last 20 years were being set up for this type of thing.

Unemployment is typically at the 5 to 6% (median rate over the last decade has been 5.4%) level. To scream over .7% more unemployment than is "normal" is ridiculous.

Not to get too involved in the economics again since the other half a dozen times that this has been pointed out have been ignored, but GDP was growing at more than 5% a year. This rate is unsustainable, period. It is now growing in the 3% range which the Federal Reserve had as its target since Alan Greenspan has been there. The SLOWDOWN in the economy--that's right, slowdown, not a recession, not a depression--has been warned of for years. If you don't believe me I'll fax you some articles that I wrote 5 years ago, or better yet you can do some research since you probably won't believe anything I wrote anyway.

If anyone believes that these are bad economic times, you might want to leave the country to see what real bad economic times look like. Most countries only dream about the growth rates that we are still achieving to this day. When the economy does go into recession again (and it will) people better watch out. This economy is still growing. There are sections of the economy doing very well (check out the growth in service industries over the last several years), when ALL the sectors slow it will be an ugly sight.

And once again, the President has virtually nothing to do with the performance of the economy. Clinton didn't "give" us the 5% GDP growth just as Bush did not "give" us the 3% rate. The economy is made up of businesses by the thousands and hundreds of millions consumers. The interactions among these businesses and consumers are what generate GDP. Two-thirds of GDP (about 7 trillion dollars of the 10 trillion dollar GDP) comes from consumer spending.
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