Actually, everyone knows that Iraq had a weapons program; the point in question was whether or not they destroyed their WMD's.
And while you assert that the UN was effective since we've found no WMD's to date, I would assert that those weapons are safely in Syria, since Hussein liked to move sensitive war material to neighboring countries when he thought he would loose them (witness the planes he moved to Iran and Syria during GW1).
Anyway, Iran won't make the same mistake that Iraq did and prematurely strike. No, they'll wait until they have a bomb or two and then threaten to use them if anyone challenges them.
That strategy has proven a winner for NK and will prove a winner for Iran.
If Isreal is smart, they'll take out those Iranian nuke facilities while they can, like they did in Iraq.
If they don't, I see a glassy plain where Tel Aviv is within 20 years.
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"Of all tyrannies, a tyranny exercised for the good of its victims may be the most oppressive. It may be better to live under robber barons than under omnipotent moral busybodies. The robber baron's cruelty may sometimes sleep, his cupidity may at some point be satiated; but those who torment us for our own good will torment us without end, for they do so with the approval of their own conscience." – C. S. Lewis
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