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The actual 'forecasting' of federal defict or surplus is a very very difficult job according to the Economist. I read an article a while ago and basicly it said there's no sure way to say that your defict there will end up 2+ trillion until the end of Bush's hegemony. It could, but then, it might not.
All the signs are pointing to the record high defict but so they were when Clinton came to power, and turned that to a nice surplus.
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