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If there was a third party, they would only end up screwing their own ideological tilt. That is, if they can even manage to do anything at all.
There are two ways it could happen. One, if it were broad based, it would have no real importance, but it would shift the national vote in one way or the other. A third party could also have some small amount of success by having a strong regional base. There's no reason to think this might happen, but they could at least win a few electorals for their man, and send some legislators to DC.
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