Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post - Does Bonds' have a chance at the all-time HR record?

GTI03 · 08-22-2003, 08:16 AM

"Odd question, if you play less games in a season I think your batting average should be better then someone who plays more games."

Well, sample size issues are always a problem; if a player hits .400 in 100 at bats, it's much more likely due to a hot streak than if he hits .400 in 400 at bats.

The inverse is also true: a player is much more likely to hit .100 in 100 at bats than .100 in 400 at bats.

But the difference between 140 games played and 160 games played is not very big at all, in terms of maintaining batting average.

08-22-2003, 08:16 AM	#57 (permalink)
GTI03 Upright	"Odd question, if you play less games in a season I think your batting average should be better then someone who plays more games." Well, sample size issues are always a problem; if a player hits .400 in 100 at bats, it's much more likely due to a hot streak than if he hits .400 in 400 at bats. The inverse is also true: a player is much more likely to hit .100 in 100 at bats than .100 in 400 at bats. But the difference between 140 games played and 160 games played is not very big at all, in terms of maintaining batting average.