The US would win, probably not within that time frame but I think victory would be assured. The results?
- yet another country to rebuild. Friggin' Afghanistan hasn't barely been rebuilt yet, Karzai was just plonked there and everyone buggered off. Same will happen to Iraq if the US attacks NK. This will encourage the perfectly legitimate idea that the US stomps around the world removing those oppressive regimes it doesn't happen to like, and leaving uncontrollable anarchies behind.
- Many dead South Koreans, maybe even dead Japanese. Oh, and a bigger body count of US servicemen than the last two 'police actions' combined. Wow, everyone in East Asia suddenly becomes as hostile as the Middle East, whoops.
- Terrorist attacks. I wouldn't be surprised in the slightest if there were NK deep cover agents in the US as we speak, ready to cause havoc in the event of a war. Plus, it would give al-Qaeda a chance to regroup.
- China joining the Franco-Russo-German bloc in the Security Council, and making a huge fuss. And increasing their defense budget.
- An even larger deficit. Damn, this Pax Americana of yours is gonna be one expensive flirtation with imperialism. Oh, I'm sure a tax cut to the rich would be in order.
All in all, more trouble than its worth. Why attack North Korea at all? Idiotic. NK isn't the threat everyone thinks it is. The only reason they're acting so crazy is a survival strategy. I think of North Korea as somewhat akin to a frill-necked lizard. By raising itself up and trying to appear as big and scary as possible, NK is trying to discourage the US from trying their luck on an invasion, and on the off side to force the US to send more precious supplies. Doesn't seem all that insidious to me, really.
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