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All the "reason" in the world isn't going to change things for her. She already <b>knows</b> the numbers. She's probably been looking the odds up online for a long time. This isn't happening in the rational, convinceable part of her mind.
This is what she means when she says you "don't understand". No amount of convincing or reinforcement of the reality of things is going to change how it's going for her, but it <b>will</b> make you look like a horny greedy sex-starved asshole. So unless that's what you're going for, I'd knock that off pronto.
Instead, you might look at what trust issues are present in your relationship. Maybe she doesn't trust you enough to be open and vulnerable with you, and one place it shows up is not trusting you not to get her pregnant? I'm guessing here, but take a look.
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