Thread: debt ceiling
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Old 07-30-2011, 04:49 AM   #202 (permalink)
Tully Mars
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Gold, oil and other commodities are just some of the ways the very wealthy are "playing" this situation. Thursday someone placed a futures trade in area of one billion dollars. The trade only pays out if the US loses it's AAA rating.

Quote:
Someone dropped a bomb on the bond market Thursday – a $1 billion Armageddon trade betting the United States will lose its AAA credit rating.

In one moment, an invisible trader placed a single trade that moved the most liquid debt market in the world.

The massive trade wasn’t placed in bonds themselves; it was placed in the futures market.

The trade was for block trades of 5,370 10-year Treasury futures executed at 124-03 and 3,100 Treasury bond futures executed at 125-01.

The value of the trade was about $850 million dollars. In simple terms, if that was a direct bond buy, no one would be talking about it.

However, with the use of futures, you have to have margin capacity behind the trade. That means with a single push of a button someone was willing to commit more than $1 billion of real capital to this trade with expectations of a 10-to-1 return ratio.

You only do this if you see an edge.
Souce

Trades like will have a negative impact simply because it's so large. Much like high roller sport gamblers in Vegas can move point spreads by placing large bets so can investors in the markets. And someone just placed a huge bet that the US is heading down... big time. In fact at this point they're hoping the US tanks, they'll only profit if it does and I can assure you they have no concern for you or any other working class US citizen.
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