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Originally Posted by aceventura3
My premise is that outside intervention in a civil war can prolong the civil war causing more death and destruction than what would have occurred without the intervention and that history has examples where that can be proven to be true. I am not sure what your premise is or if it is just that you simply think that mine is wrong.
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Can does not mean will. I take it from this your not willing to take that risk. i wouldn't argue French, Dutch or Spanish intervention in the Revolutionary War. Even if it did prolong it, which I dont believe it did, I'm happy they did. I have no personal stake in anyone being wrong, I simply dont agree on the factor of the risk in this case... It is a case by case sort of thing though.
Quote:
Originally Posted by aceventura3
Also, looking at one of the bloodiest civil wars in world history, the US Civil War - France and England did make a point not to intervene. However, key to the Confederacy strategy was to obtain both British and French intervention. It was this hope that extended the war unnecessarily. Hence, my view that we will do the rebels in Libya more harm than good if we create the perception of the type of support that won't materialize.
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The difference is that the rebels dont expect our help via troops, nor do they want it. Thats been made clear by them since the beginning.
---------- Post added at 11:47 PM ---------- Previous post was at 11:27 PM ----------
Quote:
Originally Posted by aceventura3
Hence their failed strategy required outside intervention to prevent the massacre. The problem has not been resolved with a no fly zone - Kafafi can simply employ a different strategy - how is the UN going to respond??? That is the key question, isn't it? Obama, nor the UN is clear on this point. It is easy to see how the rebels may have been given false hope. Isn't that obvious?
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No. Saying that ignores countless historical instances in which seemingly unwinnable battles have been won. This also omits that this is not just a no fly zone, does it not?