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Whoa there, boys. Parliament was dissolved on Friday. It's a bit early to call it yet -- elections are won and lost on the campaign trail all the time.
I will make no effort to hide my dislike of Harper -- the man is slime, in my opinion. He's the worst sort of politician, because I honestly believe he's only in the game for the power trip. It's too bad his type are so common.
Ignatieff has a lot of negative sentiment to overcome, but it's almost entirely manufactured controversy. It's an uphill battle, but if he plays it right and doesn't fuck up, there's a chance the Liberals can pick up some seats.
I suspect that bringing up the sponsorship scandal would be a dangerous move for the Tories. It was almost a decade ago, and so far as I'm aware none of the major players in that little fiasco are still involved with the Liberal party. Bringing up scandals opens a door that they may not want open -- granted, I doubt they'll have much choice in that, but bringing up a decade old grudge in retaliation is going to seem petty, I think.
Let's be honest here -- there's little chance of a major shift in power in this one. I can see the Liberals potentially picking up a few seats. I don't see Harper getting a majority (though if he does I may just decide to go join Tully Mars down in Mexico). There will be a bit of a shuffle, but I'm not anticipating big changes here. A Liberal minority? It's a pipe dream.
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I wake up in the morning more tired than before I slept
I get through cryin' and I'm sadder than before I wept
I get through thinkin' now, and the thoughts have left my head
I get through speakin' and I can't remember, not a word that I said
- Ben Harper, Show Me A Little Shame
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