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Old 11-23-2010, 01:32 PM   #6 (permalink)
roachboy
 
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alot of what i've been reading when i've had time this afternoon (busy? who knew?) links this to a few factors, all of which function to contain it:

the regime change in the north. the best outline of this is in today's le monde. the argument goes that dear leader is handing off power soon to the brilliant comrade, which creates a degree of question about the stability/continuity of the regime. so exploiting a south korean faux pas from last week's military "exercise"===which north korea interpreted to be "i know, kids...let's play Invade the North...Yay! Fun!===but which the south & us talked about in terms of "well they had prior notice..."---anyway that there was some dick-waving associated with this exercise had provided the north a chance to do some dick waving of its own with the effect, this argument goes, of assuring folk regionally and domestically, that it's the same old same old.

and apparently there's also this whole north korea needing food and washington and south korea not letting it in for whatever reason, likely connected to the nice north korean nuclear program, about which new infotainment came out last week by way of some guy from slac who said, basically

they showed me a slick looking nuclear processing facility

which meant that all those claims

we have a slick looking nuclear facility

mean something now.

as usual, the reality is that it's really the south that likes the status quo because they're convinced as they have been that changing it would mean they'd be swamped with people moving south

this even though they seem to have no problem fucking with food aid.

but this is nukes we're talking about here.

all in all, it's obviously volatile, but i don't thing this is armagiddeon time.
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