Quote:
Originally Posted by Derwood
If she somehow wins the Presidency in 2012, I will leave the country. That's not a hollow threat, either.
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I avoided going there in my comment, but I've been seriously thinking about this as I watch political discourse in this country degrade even further.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tully Mars
2010- GOP picks up seats. I'm hoping a lot. The US has short term memory issues and is basically ADHD. When the problems are not solved and the GOP does nothing but shut down the federal government they'll have shot themselves in the foot for any chances in 2012. Many of the tea party folks are on social programs, when they start losing their share of the hand outs they won't be very happy.
2012- Mitt Romney defeats Palin et el in the GOP primaries. He picks someone like Huckabe as VP in an attempt to win back evangelical and convince independents he's not a bat shit crazy Mormon, something the Dems and team Obama will be hammering away at him with.
Which give us 4 more yrs of Obama.. which the way he's getting things done probably won't be best but it'll beat the ideas coming from the GOP.
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I think this is a pretty accurate picture of what might happen, but there are two parts I'm not so sure about. First, I don't have a ton of faith that people will connect the dots and realize the tea partiers they voted for are the reason they are in worse shape by 2012 and the gap between the rich and poor is even greater. Second, because of the lack of insight, I'm not confident that the lesson will be learned in time for the 2012 presidential election.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Baraka_Guru
Well, here's my prediction.
Stocks and profits are up, building permits are gradually climbing, and auto production is up. To those who know, these are leading indicators of an economy on the upswing of a recovery, no matter how gradual. To the average Joe, they don't notice these things.
You see, they only notice things such as unemployment, which is an indicator that reflects the health of an economy after the fact.
So what's going to happen is the GOP will win more seats, and probably more power. Then, just as the 2012 election gears up, the unemployment rate will have dropped and the GOP will take credit. This despite the fact that it would be more apt to credit the Obama administration for it.
The timing is quite delicious for the GOP. After a disastrous Bush period, let's put a Democrat in the White House to weather a financial crisis. Let's call whatever the outcome is a failure, no matter how close it is to what Obama had hinted at beforehand. Take back power during midterm; take credit for economic turnaround when (not if) it comes. Use this as leverage for the next presidential election.
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Sadly, I think this is the most accurate prediction given my reservations about Tully's prediction. In fact, it's something I specifically worried about with the 2008 victories. It's fascinating (and extremely depressing) how shortsighted and unobservant people can be.