Jet,
I finally figured out how to join the/your group and make my picks. So I did that a little while ago before reading your post. So my picks for this week and Monday night are saved. What are the "confidence points" about?
On your point formulas above, I like the 68 setup but not because I fully comprehend your system...just reading and trying to think of all those possibilities and odds made me dizzy...but mostly because I like the number "68" more than "50". It seems you really put a lot of thought and time into it so go with your instincts. I would say you have better than even odds at getting it just right.
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