Quote:
Originally Posted by Strange Famous
I understand what I typed, but I dont understand how it can be possible!
|
If you look at your example, and read my previous post, you'll see your answer.
Monty is NOT opening a door at random. If he did that, sometimes (1 out of 3 times) he'd reveal the car. But he never does. If you work your examples so that he opens a door at random, you'd have more choices, and you would end up only winning half the time, as you expect. But because he ONLY opens a door with a goat behind it, he changes the probabilities of the outcome from the original conditions, favouring the switch.