Tilted Forum Project Discussion Community - View Single Post

Hektore · 06-01-2010, 05:35 PM

When you pick your first door out of 1000 your chances of choosing correctly are .1%. The probability that the car is not behind the door is 99.9%. The probability that it is not behind the door you chose initially will always be 99.9%, no matter how many doors they choose to open, until the car's location is actually revealed. Which means if they chose to reveal every door you did not pick except 1, and they all contain goats, the probability that it will be behind the last closed door you did not pick is 99.9%.

06-01-2010, 05:35 PM	#22 (permalink)
Hektore Junkie Location: Greater Harrisburg Area	When you pick your first door out of 1000 your chances of choosing correctly are .1%. The probability that the car is not behind the door is 99.9%. The probability that it is not behind the door you chose initially will always be 99.9%, no matter how many doors they choose to open, until the car's location is actually revealed. Which means if they chose to reveal every door you did not pick except 1, and they all contain goats, the probability that it will be behind the last closed door you did not pick is 99.9%. __________________ The advantage law is the best law in rugby, because it lets you ignore all the others for the good of the game. Last edited by Hektore; 06-01-2010 at 05:41 PM..